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African Nations Cup Day 11 Tips: Mane the main man as Senegal seek success

Liverpool and Senegal attacker Sadio Mane
The Lions of Teranga will look to their Premier-League based star player to finish the group stage with a flourish

Monday will see some tremendous action in Egypt as two more groups come to a close, writes James Eastham...

"Algeria's bench is packed with talent, so even if the group winners rotate heavily, they should still be far too strong for Tanzania."

Best Bet: Algeria to Win to Nil v Tanzania @ 1.855/6

Elephants ready to trample underdogs

Namibia v Ivory Coast
Monday July 1, 17:00 BST
Live on Eurosport 1

Ivory Coast need to win to be sure of claiming their place in the knockout phase as one of the top two top teams in Group D and will be confident of securing victory against a Namibia side yet to get any points on the board.

The Elephants are still licking their wounds after their 1-0 defeat to Morocco in their last match. That setback means they cannot finish top of the pool and they've yet to even come close to fulfilling their potential at this tournament. Anything other than an Ivory Coast win would be a major shock, however, and the odds reflect their expected superiority.

Ivory Coast are 1.341/3 to win, with Namibia 12.5 and The Draw 4.1. It's impossible to make a case for Namibia: the underdogs lost 1-0 to Morocco before suffering defeat by the same scoreline to South Africa in their second match. They simply don't have the quality to cause Ivory Coast serious problems.

With Ivory Coast such a short price it would be smart to look at supporting Ibrahim Kamara's side in other ways. Ivory Coast-Ivory Coast in the Half Time/Full Time market is 2.111/10, while Ivory Coast -1.0&-1.5 Asian Handicap and Ivory Coast to Win to Nil - both around 1.9520/21 - are worth considering as well.

Renard's boys to secure top spot

South Africa v Morocco
Monday July 1, 17:00 BST
Live on Eurosport 2

It's slightly surprising to find Morocco as short as 2.001/1 favourites considering they've already qualified for the knockout phase and need only a point to be sure of claiming top spot in Group D. Thanks to their 1-0 win over Ivory Coast in their second game Herve Renard's side are in a commanding position and may do the bare minimum rather than going all-out for victory.

South Africa are in a different position: they need to get something out of the game and do better than Ivory Coast in the group's other match in order to qualify directly as one of the top two teams in the pool. There's always the chance South Africa make it through to the knockout phase as one of the best third-placed teams but Stuart Baxter's side would rather not have to rely on that route.

South Africa haven't impressed so far, however: they were outplayed and lost 1-0 to Ivory Coast in their opening match before beating group wooden-spoon holders Namibia by the same scoreline in the second match. South Africa are 4.1 to win but The Draw at 3.211/5 is more appealing: a stalemate would ensure Morocco top the group and South Africa lack the quality to suggest they can collect all three points here.

Mane finally set to shine

Kenya v Senegal
Monday July 1, 20:00 BST
Live on Eurosport 1

With Kenya and Senegal tied on three points, this game's a straight fight to see who will qualify for the knockout phase by finishing second behind group winners Algeria. Head-to-head results are the deciding factor for teams tied on points at this tournament, so this game really is winner-takes-all.

It shouldn't be close. Senegal may still be smarting from their 1-0 defeat to Algeria in their last outing but they ought to have far too much quality for Kenya. Aliou Cisse's side went into the tournament as second favourites behind hosts Egypt and may still justify that rating.

To do so Sadio Mane will have to improve on his showing against Algeria but this is the ideal opportunity for him to step up. The Liverpool attacker has the pace and skills to cause Kenya's occasionally pedestrian defence serious problems. Expect him to make his mark in this match.

Senegal are 1.454/9 to win, with Kenya 10.09/1 and The Draw 4.03/1. With Senegal so short to collect all three points consider backing them to Win to Nil at 1.855/6 or on the Asian Handicap with a -1.0&-1.5 start at 2.26/5. Senegal certainly have the firepower to win by two or more goals - alongside Mane, Mbaye Niang, Keita Balde, Ismaila Sarr, Sada Thioub and Henri Saivet will be keen to be decisive in the final third.

Second-string Algeria still too strong

Tanzania v Algeria
Monday July 1, 20:00 BST
Live on Eurosport 2

There's nothing serious at stake here as Tanzania are already out of the competition and Algeria have already secured top spot in Group C. That plays straight into Algeria's hands, with the Fennecs the smart bet to run out easy winners.

Algeria manager Djamel Belmadi is likely to rotate heavily in order to rest some of his side's key players for the more important matches to come. Yet Algeria's bench is packed with talent, meaning they should still be far too strong for Tanzania even if they make several changes.

The likes of right-back Mehdi Zeffane, centre-back Mehdi Jean Tahrat, left-back Mohamed Fares, midfielder Mehdi Abeid, wingers Adam Ounas and Yacine Brahimi and striker Andy Delort are contenders to be handed their first starts of the tournament. All are good players, with Delort likely to be a particular threat if he starts.

Algeria are 1.374/11 to win, with Tanzania 11.010/1 and The Draw 3.711/4. As Algeria are so short to collect all three points, look instead to back them -1.0&-1.5 Asian Handicap, or to Win to Nil, as they're eminently capable of recording their third consecutive clean sheet.

James’ tournament P/L

Staked: 24pts
Returned: +27.91pts
P/L: +3.91pts

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