Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Last 16 Tips: Back quick starters Morocco to strike early

Manchester United and Morocco midfielder Sofyan Amrabat
Sofyan Amrabat looks set for another successful evening

Morocco and Burkina Faso are the selections as the final two Last 16 matches take place in Ivory Coast on Tuesday, writes James Eastham...

  • Burkina Faso's hopes underrated

  • Back Morocco to see off South Africa

  • Atlas Lions the early goal kings

Mali vs Burkina Faso - Tue, 17.00

Mali's chances of beating Burkina Faso are not as good as the market suggests as these two sides face-off on Tuesday.

Mali are 2.265/4 to win, while Burkina Faso are 3.39/4 and the Draw is 2.915/8. At those odds, Eric Chelle's favourites don't appeal to us.

We backed Mali to win Group E at 13/82.63 before the tournament began and that tip ended up paying off for us as they topped the pool.

But they were not wholly convincing in doing so, as their W1-D2-L0 record underlines. Mali kicked-off with a 2-0 win vs South Africa but could then only draw against Tunisia (1-1) and Namibia (0-0).

In the opening two games of the group phase, Burkina Faso played as well as Mali. They beat Mauritania 1-0 and then drew 2-2 with Algeria before rotating for their final group game (they'd already qualified for the knockout phase) when they lost 2-0 against Angola.

Fully refreshed and with their strongest line-up back out on the field, Burkina Faso will be capable of troubling Mali, and are underrated.

On the Asian Handicap, they'd be our pick. With our selection, you'll make a profit if Burkina Faso win or if the game ends in a draw.

In the goalscoring stakes, look out for Bertrand Traore. He scored two of Burkina Faso's three goals during the group phase - both from the penalty spot - and should be more dangerous in open play now as well.

He went into the tournament with an injury but is getting fitter and fitter and will be the player to watch. At 9/25.50, he'd be our selection in the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Back Burkina Faso 0 & +0.5 Asian Handicap @ 2.111/10

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Morocco vs South Africa

Morocco are favourites to win in 90 minutes and look a good bet to overcome unpredictable South Africa.

Morocco claimed seven points from their three group games. They made the perfect start with their 3-0 win over Tanzania before drawing 1-1 vs DR Congo and then beating Zambia 1-0.

The Atlas Lions are 1.618/13 to win in 90 minutes and we wouldn't argue with those odds. South Africa are 7.413/2, while the Draw is 3.814/5.

South Africa are one of the toughest sides to read at this tournament. They were beaten 2-0 by Mali in their opening game, before thrashing Namibia 4-0 and then drawing 0-0 against Tunisia.

Overall, however, Monaco have the quality and also, crucially, the big-tournament experience to triumph , and we fully expect them to go through in regulation time.

If the odds on Morocco simply winning are too short for you, then consider backing Morocco on the Asian Handicap.

With our first selection on this match, you'll make a small profit if Morocco win by a single goal and a bigger profit if they go on to win by two or more goals.

Back Morocco -0.5 & -1.0 Asian Handicap @ 1.855/6

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Also look out for early goals in this game. Morocco scored in the first-half in each of their three group fixtures: on 30 minutes vs Tanzania, six minutes against DR Congo, and 37 minutes vs Zambia.

To make this pay, consider backing Over 0.5 Goals in the Home Team Over/Under First Half market at 4/51.80. An alternative would be Morocco in the Team To Score First Goal First Half market @ 1/12.00.

Back Over 0.5 Goals in the Home Team Over/Under First Half market @ 4/51.80

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And why not try this Bet Builder?

Back Morocco to win, Over 1.5 Goals and Over 0.5 Goals in the 1st Half @ 2.3811/8

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Now read more Football previews and tips here.

Recommended bets

James' AFCON P/L

Staked: 28pts
Returned: +28.94pts
P/L: +0.94pts


Available to new and existing customers. Bet at least £10 (can be £10 win or £5 each-way) on the Euro 2024 Outright Winner market and get a free bet per every goal scored by your selection in the Group stage of the tournament. Opt in required. T&Cs apply.

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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