Dolphins v Warriors RamSlam Betting: Can visitors cause a shock?

Pietersen has whacked two tons
Pietersen has whacked two tons

Ed Hawkins previews a bit of a mismatch from Kingsmead in Durban on Sunday and hopes the Warriors can show some fight in the face a KP onslaught

"Look to get with the Warriors if they bat first for a free wager by trading out at six or seven ticks"

Recommended Bet
Back-to-lay Warriors at 2.789/5 to 2.111/10 if they bat first

Dolphins v Warriors
Start time: 12.30
TV: live on Sky Sports


Dolphins

The Dolphins have three wins from three thanks in no small part to the blade of Kevin Pietersen. The Natal boy has made it a homecoming to remember with two centuries.

Last time out against the Knights, Pietersen whacked exactly 100 from just 45 balls as they chased down 168 with nine wickets to spare and more than three overs in the bag.

There were other notable performances. Cameron Delport, the opener, went off like a rocket with a strike rate of 242 and between him and Pietersen nine sixes were struck.

With KP in such good nick the Dolphins have a powerful batting line-up. David Miller bats further down while Khaya Zondo is no slouch either.


Warriors

As we have said before, the Warriors are not a squad brimming with household names. They are about as unfashionable as it gets.

Rusty Theron, the fiery paceman, is recognisable and so too is wise old head Colin Ingram but there is little else to excite the punters about this line-up. JJ Smuts is also a man they can rely on with bat and ball.

It was Ingram's half-century which enabled the Warriors to tie their opener against the Knights and go on to win the Super Over. In their second game they were squeezed out by the Cape Cobras by five runs.

It was a game they probably should have won. Chasing 141 they were cruising at 100 for one but they got horribly bogged down and despite wickets in the shed they panicked.


First-innings runs

The last ten first-innings scores at Durban's Kingsmead read: 174-110-151-195-84-126-82-169-194-181. The 84 you see was a ten-over affair but the 82 (Dolphins) was not, proving that the Green Mamba still has some venom. The average score then (not including the reduced overs affair) is 154. If Dolphins were to bat first we would be confident they would breach 160.


Match odds

The Dolphins, not surprisingly, are jollies for this one. They are as short as 1.454/9 with the Warriors 2.789/5.

When faced with such odds in a Twenty20 match the natural reaction is to believe a case can be made for the outsiders. The most simple rationale being: this is T20 anything can happen.

Indeed, if you subscribe to that view - and it is far from folly - then go ahead. It would only take a couple of Warriors players to really come off to address the balance.

After all, it is a simple wager to have. A pressure free one to just have an interest in the action. A 2.789/5 chance is a 2.789/5 chance and you hope you get a run for your money.

Realistically, Warriors probably need to bat first to have a sniff. If they have to bowl and Pietersen and co get going their odds may not recover. Alas there is no toss bias to assist them - in the last ten it is a fifty-fifty split.

A trade at the Warriors is worth a poke if you want to be more sensible. Look to get with them if they bat first for a free wager by trading out at six or seven ticks. But be aware this is more hope than expectation. It's one to warm the cockles on a cold day sat in front of the telly.


Top Dolphins runscorer

Pietersen, obviously, is hot favourite at 3.3512/5. Morne van Wyk and Delport, the openers, are 4.47/2. Vaughan van Jaarseveld, who is 5.04/1 top scored in the corresponding fixture last term with a fifty. Miller at 6.25/1 and Zondo at 8.07/1 could be considered the best value. Cody Chetty is not to be sniffed at with a mark of 15.014/1 either.


Top Warriors runscorer

At 3.39/4 Ingram is even shorter than KP, which says something about the strength of this Warriors batting. Ingram, who might bat at No 3, is 19th on the all-time domestic T20 run list. Smuts is 23rd and is priced at 4.3100/30. Colin Ackerman, who got a fifty against the Cobras, is 4.3100/30.


Recommended Bet
Back-to-lay Warriors at 2.789/5 to 2.111/10 if they bat first

Ed Hawkins P/L

2015: +£367.80
2014: +315.10
2013: +250.80
To £10 level stakes (unless otherwise stated), based only on available prices. Does not include back-to-lay in-running match advice or commission rate.
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