Next Labour Leader Odds: Burnham backed after Tories win Hartlepool

Max Liu
07 May 2021
3:00 min read

Burnham is backed to succeed Starmer as Labour leader

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The next Labour leader betting exploded into life after it became clear the Conservatives had won the Hartlepool by-election. Max Liu has the details...

"The odds on the Conservatives winning the next election narrowed to 2.245/4 as they pulled off an historic by-election victory."

Andy Burnham is the favourite to succeed Keir Starmer as the next Labour leader after the party suffered an historic defeat in the Hartlepool by-election.

The Conservatives won the seat, which had been Labour since 1964, by around 7,000 votes with a 16% swing from Labour to the Tories.

It is rare for a party of government to take a seat from the opposition.

The result comes as a blow to Labour leader Keir Starmer's efforts to win back support in the party's traditional heartlands.

The odds on the Conservatives winning the next election narrowed to 2.245/4.

Keir Starmer Labour 956.jpg

Just 13 months after Starmer succeeded Jeremy Corbyn there is already speculation about who could be the party's next leader.

In the last 24 hours 90% of bets placed in the Next Labour leader market were on Burnham 6.611/2.

The Mayor of Manchester twice stood for the party leadership - in 2010 and 2015 - before leaving Westminster.

But he has been a staunch critic of the government during the Covid-19 pandemic and has attracted support from across the divided party.

Deputy leader Angela Rayner comes next in the betting at 7.87/1 but in the past day 6% of bets were for David Miliband 44.043/1 while Rebecca Long Bailey 4.1 and Lisa Nandy 7.26/1 both received 2%.

The latter pair were both defeated by Starmer in the leadership election while Miliband was famously overcome by his brother Ed in 2010.

These are grim times for Labour and it's likely to get worse as the result from council elections and the Scottish parliament elections come in over the next few days.

I'll provide an update on the latest UK politics betting on Sunday.

Tuesday 31 March, 5.00pm

Market rules

	Back	Lay
Andy Burnham
Wes Streeting
Lisa Nandy
Angela Rayner
Yvette Cooper
Rachel Reeves
Bridget Phillipson
Jess Phillips
Rosena Allin-Khan
Sadiq Khan
Emily Thornberry
David Lammy
Dan Jarvis
Stella Creasy
Louise Haigh
Zarah Sultana
David Miliband
Stephen Kinnock
Jonathan Ashworth
Chris Bryant
Lucy Powell
Anneliese Dodds
Ed Balls
Clive Lewis
Jonathan Reynolds
Nick Thomas-Symonds
Jim McMahon
Jon Trickett
Hilary Benn
Richard Burgon
Dan Carden
Chi Onwurah
Barry Gardiner
Jeremy Corbyn
Liz Kendall
Rebecca Long-Bailey
Seema Malhotra
Matthew Pennycook
Ian Lavery
Laura Pidcock
Janet Daby
Angela Eagle
Kate Osamor
Nia Griffith
Cat Smith