Premier League Tuesday Night Tipsheet: United to underline improved form with another home win

United look like getting back to their best

It's a swift turnaround in the Premier League with six games on Tuesday night so, with Jaymes Monte covering Leicester-Liverpool elsewhere, Joe Dyer takes a look at the un-televised action...

"Opta tell us that Stoke have lost their last 11 away games against United in all competitions and the home defence has developed a mean streak in recent weeks to match the undoubted quality in attack, conceding just two in four top-flight games last month."

Back United -1 @ 6/42.5 or better 

Burnley 2/12.94 v Newcastle 13/82.68; The Draw 12/53.4 
Burnley are undefeated in three Premier League games, their 1-1 draw with Aston Villa at the weekend coming after decent wins at Stoke and at home to Hull. Aside from long-term absentee Sam Vokes and midfielder Matt Taylor, Sean Dyche's men don't have any fresh injuries to worry about, but scoring goals has been a huge problem for the Clarets. A return of just nine league goals means they're the second lowest scorers in the division ahead of Villa, and they'll need to step it up in that department if they're to survive this season.

Newcastle, meanwhile, had been on a great winning run until they were beaten by West Ham on Saturday, but overall things are looking much rosier for Alan Pardew's side. That said though, they do struggle slightly for goals away from home and with Burnley building their survival bid on a solid home defensive unit, Under 2.5 Goals at a decent-looking 4/51.82 is the call.
Recommended Bet 
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 4/51.82 


Manchester United 40/851.47 v Stoke 15/28.6; The Draw 4/14.8
Slowly but surely United are regaining that sheen of invincibility and they welcome Stoke on Tuesday night from an impressive position - the Reds sit fourth in the league after a winning run of three games. 

Though they have suffered some odd results this season most of those have come away from Old Trafford with United's home form showing 16 points from a possible 21. 

Stoke are a danger to any punter as they are so tough to get right. They've beaten Manchester City, Newcastle and Spurs but lost to Leicester, Aston Villa and Burnley.  

But you have to look at this as another home win. Opta tell us that Stoke have lost their last 11 away games against United in all competitions and the home defence has developed a mean streak in recent weeks to match the undoubted quality in attack, conceding just two in four top-flight games last month. 

It's almost impossible to read anything into Stoke's results but the league table shows they aren't particularly heavy scorers and this looks a game where United can beat the Handicap. The market is gaining liquidity but you should be able to get matched at 6/42.5 or above. 
Recommended Bet 
Back United -1 @ 6/42.5 or better 


Swansea 8/111.75 v QPR 9/25.6; The Draw 3.9  
Swansea are one of the league's most infuriating sides. They can really trouble the best but continually come unstuck against the lesser lights - this is the team that comes from behind to beat Arsenal, gives Manchester City a big scare with an early goal but then fails to beat Crystal Palace despite going a goal up. 

There's a distinction between home and away form, however. It's four wins from seven in front of their own fans in the Premier League so far with three clean sheets in that sequence so we can see that the Liberty Stadium is something of, yes, a fortress. 

QPR's away record is nothing short of terrible - six games, six defeats; two goals scored, 15 conceded. On the bright side Harry Redknapp's side have shown signs of life in recent weeks, beating Aston Villa and Leicester in a six game return of seven points, and Charlie Austin is clearly a danger.  

But really this is set up for a home win and the Match Odds price offers acceptable returns at 8/111.75, although the temptation is to have a crack at bigger odds with variants on the Swans picking up all three points.  
Recommended Bet
Back Swansea @ 8/111.75 


Crystal Palace 11/102.08 v Aston Villa 4.1; The Draw 5/23.5
Yes, Villa are bad but can you justify taking such a short price on the home win? Given they have secured just three Premier League victories in 13 attempts trusting a Palace team at nearly even money seems a little too risky for us.  

That doesn't mean we recommend piling into Villa. Paul Lambert's side are without a win since September 13 after all. 

There's not much to cling onto with this match but we do know that Villa are not heavy scorers while Palace have allowed the opposition precisely one goal per match in the last three fixures. Can one or both of these sides keep a clean sheet? At nearly even money we are prepared to take a chance on the answer to that being yes. 
Recommended Bet 
Back Both Teams to Score? No @ 20/211.94
 


West Brom 7/52.44 v West Ham 9/43.25; The Draw 3.45 
The Baggies stretched their winless run to three games on Saturday and now face Sam Allardyce's in-form Hammers at the Hawthorns. If results go against them Alan Irvine's side could end the midweek fixtures in the bottom three. 

With such a wide gap between the two sides in the table it's a bit surprising to see such a wide gap between the two sides in the Match Odds, with WBA just 7/52.44 for the win and the Hammers enticing at 9/43.25

A close look at West Brom's losing streak shows that they have kept it relatively competitive against three tough sides - beaten 2-0 at home by Newcastle and then by the same scoreline at Stamford Bridge when Claudio Yacob was sent off. Arsenal, of course, left the Hawthorns with all three points thanks to Danny Welbeck's towering 60th minute header. 

And it looks like another tricky assignment on Tuesday night. West Ham won their sixth game of the season on Saturday despite missing the deadly strike duo of Diafra Sakho and Enner Valencia. Laugh all you like but Andy Carroll isn't a bad back-up option and the feeling is that the Happy Hammers have enough about them to trouble the hosts.   

Though West Brom have kept it close in recent defeats against good opposition we can't resist taking a chance on the in-form Hammers to deepen the home side's gloom. 
Recommended Bet
Back West Ham @ 9/43.25  


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