Premier League Matchday 5: Opta stats and tips for every game

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Premier League Matchday 5 Opta Stats and Tips

Brentford v Chelsea - Back Bees to avoid defeat

Friday 18 September, 20:00, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: Ten of Brentford's last 14 Premier League games have been drawn (W2 L2). However, the Bees are unbeaten in their last six league games (W1 D5), only enjoying longer runs in the competition in March 2023 (12 games) and September 2023 (7).  

Chelsea have won just one of their previous six Premier League away games (D1 L4). Their Premier League games this season have seen more goals than any other side (19 - 10 for, 9 against).

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Read Kevin Hatchard's in-depth preview of Brentford v Chelsea

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Tottenham v Aston Villa - Back unders as misfiring pair meet

Saturday 19 September, 12:30, Live on TNT

The Opta Stat: Tottenham Hotspur (3.45) and Aston Villa (3.39) rank 19th and 20th in the Premier League so far this season for expected goals. Meanwhile, Spurs are bottom for xG per shot (0.07), and only Hull City (47) have had fewer touches in the opposition's box than Villa (62).  

Betfair Bet: Back under 2.5 goals @ 10/111.91

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Brighton v Arsenal - Back Seagulls to score as champs win again

Saturday 19 September, 15:00

The Opta Stat: Arsenal have won four of their last six Premier League games against Brighton (D2), as many as they had in their first 12 against the Seagulls (D3 L5).

Brighton have scored more goals than any other side in the Premier League this season, with nine of their 13 goals coming across their two wins so far (4-0 v Aston Villa, 5-0 v Coventry). It's the 10th time a team has won two of their opening four Premier League games by 4+ goals, and first since Manchester City in 2021-22. 

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Everton v Ipswich - Back Moyes to outwit O'Neil again

Saturday 19 September, 15:00

The Opta Stat: Ipswich manager Gary O'Neil has lost all four of his Premier League games against Everton's David Moyes, his joint most defeats against another manager (four vs Erik ten Hag and Mikel Arteta); O'Neil is the manager that Moyes has faced most without dropping a point.

Betfair Bet: Back Everton @ 3/41.75

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Newcastle v Hull - Back more goals at St James'

Saturday 19 September, 15:00

The Opta Stat: In the last two seasons, Premier League matches at St. James' Park have seen more goals than any other venue (74), with Newcastle scoring the fourth-most home goals in that time (40) but also 
conceding the joint most (34, level with Wolves). 

Betfair Bet: Back over 3.5 goals @ 6/42.50

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Nottm Forest v Coventry - Back more MGW impact

Saturday 19 September, 17:30, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: Only Bruno Fernandes (7 goals, 15 assists) has been involved in more Premier League goals in 2026 than Nottingham Forest's Morgan Gibbs-White (13 goals, 5 assists), with Gibbs-White the leading scorer this year. Only Chris Wood in 2024 (18) and Stan Collymore in 1995 (14) have netted more in one calendar year for Forest.

Betfair Bet: Back Morgan Gibbs-White @ 4/61.67

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Want EFL tips? Get Jack Critchley's best bets for every Championship game this weekend

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Leeds v Crystal Palace - Back Calvert-Lewin to score again

Saturday 20 September, 14:00, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored in each of his last five home Premier League appearances, only the second Leeds player to achieve that after Mark Viduka between March and August 2003. The 
last Englishman to score in six consecutive home top-flight appearances for Leeds was Arthur Hydes between October and December 1932.

Betfair Bet: Back Calvert-Lewin to score @ 6/52.20

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Bournemouth v Liverpool - Back Cherries for SOTs

Sunday 20 September, 14:00, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: Liverpool have drawn three of their first four games (W1) in a Premier League season for the first time since 2005-06. They drew their fifth game that season and that remains the only time the Reds have drawn four of their five league games in a season. 

Bournemouth have drawn 13 of their 23 Premier League matches in 2026 (W8 L2), the highest ratio by a team in a single year in the history of the English top-flight (56.5%).

Betfair Bet: Back the Draw @ 27/103.70

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Read Ste Tudor's weekend tips including one for Bournemouth v Liverpool

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Man City v Sunderland - Back Black Cats to find the net

Sunday 20 September, 14:00, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Sunderland have scored in each of their last eight away Premier League matches, their best run of scoring away from home in the top-flight since a run of eight between November and February in the 2015-16 season. They last had a longer run between April and October 1956 (10). 

Betfair Bet: Back Man City win and BTTS @ 15/82.88

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Fulham v Man Utd - Back Reds for morale-boosting win

Sunday 20 September, 16:30, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: Fulham are winless in their last 10 Premier League home games against Manchester United (D2 L8) since winning back-to-back matches against them at Craven Cottage in 2009. 

Manchester United had more shots (84) than any other Premier League side across the first four matchdays of this season, and only Brighton (10.2) accumulated a higher xG (8.3). It's the most shots they've had in the first four games of a season on record since 2003-04. 

Betfair Bet: Back Man Utd win and BTTS @ 23/103.30

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Now read Alan Shearer on why Tottenham desperately need a win and bumps along the road for Newcastle

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