Paul Higham expects a low-scoring contest when Nottingham Forest visit Crystal Palace on Saturday night, and has a big 9/110.00 Bet Builder to back at Selhurst Park.
-
Back 9/110.00 Bet Builder at Selhurst Park
-
Five Palace games level at HT this season
-
Goals off the menu at Selhurst Park
You never really know what you're going to get with Crystal Palace, as that win at Old Trafford showed, but they'll hope to back that up by beating travel sixk Nottingham Forest.
Steve Cooper's side only won once on the road last season, but on the bright side they've already matched that tally with an unlikely win at Chelsea.
And after also playing Arsenal, Man Utd and Man City on the road this is their most winnable trip of the season.
Roy Hodgson's results have been consistently inconsistent with a run of goalfests sandwiched in between five games with under 2.5 goals in, so maybe he's got back to basics.
Losing Eberechi Eze at Old Trafford is huge and could lead to Palace having to play more defensively with their attacking options limited - even against this leaky Forest away defence.
Back a first-half stalemate
The dominant stats here is that Palace games have been level at the break five out of seven times this season.
Forest have been ahead twice in seven games but on the road here in a game they'll feel they can win they'll be a tad more cautious given they know what's at stake.
They'll know Palace can be a stubborn side to break down when they want to be, and they settled for a 0-0 against Fulham last time at home.
It's important that keep Forest below them for now so Hodgson won't want to throw this away, and both sides will look at set pieces perhaps providing the chances and focus on keeping the ball out at the other end.
It looks a classic 0-0 at half-time to me but I'm happy to just back the HT draw at Evens.
Back a big 9/1 bad tempered Bet Builder
Forst have had over double the yellow cards Palace have had this season, with their 24 compared to 11 for the Eagles which are the joint-fewest in the league.
With those stats in place, we'll take Forest to have the most cards at 5/61.84 as the base for our Bet Builder to include cards and fouls.
Wily Boly isn't a bad price at 1/21.50 for a foul given he's done so in six out of seven games, while Callum Hudson-Odoi is also nicely priced at 8/111.73 to also give away a foul.
Hudson-Odoi has given away a foul in all three games he's played so far.
Although Forest have double the cards, Palace have actually given away more fouls this season - 79 to 76 - so they're obviously either getting away with it or just doing niggly fouls.
And it starts from the front with Jordan Ayew having a stratling record for fouls - giving away at least two in six of his eight starts this season.
That's good enough to back Ayew for 2+ fouls here at Evens and complete a big-priced Bet Builder.
Football... Only Bettor. Watch the latest episode now...