Nations League Thursday Tips: Back another Haaland double & 39/1 Acca

Denmark v Portugal Tip - Danes to bag a point at 10/34.33

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Thursday 1 October, 19:45 kick-off
Live on Amazon Prime PPV

It's two out of two for holders Portugal after they snuck past Norway, winning 2-1 despite 38% possession, losing the xG battle (2.52-1.04) and having fewer shots (9-5) and shots on target (6-4) - throw in six cards including one for manager Jorge Jesus and it was a classic Portugal performance in Oslo.

A touch lucky, yes, but it's now just one defeat in 12 for Portugal, that being the World Cup quarter-final against Spain, so they make the short trip to Copenhagen as 21/202.05 favourites.

Denmark, unbeaten in eight at home, are [23/10] after beating Wales and also running Norway close - so they'll have every chance here if they can avoid mistakes and not get drawn into a typical Portuguese street fight.

They've scored in 11 of 12 at home so I'll back goals at both ends, and I'll stick my neck out here and back Denmark to get a point - Portugal have superior quality but got away with one in Norway and I fancy Cristiano Ronaldo might start this one, which on recent displays I've got as a negative.

Wales v Norway Tip - Back another brace for 11/53.20 Haaland

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Thursday 1 October, 19:45 kick-off
Live on BBC Two

You've got to fancy Norway to hit back and take their frustrations out on Wales as 4/91.44 favourites in Cardiff, with Craig Bellamy's side huge 5/16.00 home underdogs after two defeats and zero goals scored so far. Bellamy's yet to beat a side who made this year's World Cup in nine attempts, and failed to score in six of those.

Those struggles against the better sides should continue here with Stale Solbakken's side so impressive in attack. Even in defeat to Portugal, just their second 90-minute loss in 18 competitve games, they created plenty and scored for the 22nd game in a row.

Norway have scored goals for fun in the Nations League and World Cup qualifying, with 52 goals in the last two campaigns, with Erling Haaland obviously bagging most of them. He's only 4/91.44 to score but one of our favourite bets of Haaland to score twice must be in play here at 11/53.20.

The big man scored twice against Denmark and he's now scored at least two goals in eight of his last 11 competitive internationals, including three times at the World Cup finals and in his last four qualifiers in a row. I can't see Wales being able to stop him.

Germany v Serbia Tip - Back a first win for Klopp at 6/42.50

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Thursday 1 October, 19:45 kick-off
Live on Amazon Prime PPV

Jurgen Klopp is still looking for his first win after being stunned by Greece at the weekend, and he'll have an almost entirely new squad to work with as he looks to make it third time lucky in Munich - where the hosts are backed for victory at 1/51.20.

Serbia are 11/112.00 with Germany's wholesale changes in personnel not seen as enough of a negative against a side who didn't win an away game in the last Nations League, have lost five of six internationals this year and haven't kept a clean sheet in 11.

Klopp's style does take some getting used to though so there will be teething problems with his new group of players, and Germany have now conceded in seven straight games overall, so with goals in both games so far Serbia can at least strike again.

Greece v Netherlands Tip - Dutch to triumph in Athens

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Thursday 1 October, 19:45 kick-off
Live on Amazon Prime PPV

Shock winners in Germany, can Greece now do a huge double and beat the Dutch in Athens? They're 23/103.30 for another upset win while the Netherlands are 11/102.11 to restore some sort of order to the group after battling to a 2-1 win over Serbia.

The Greeks scored with their only shot on target against Germany and in the 95th minute to beat Serbia so you could say they've been riding their luck, and again they'll not have too much of the ball.

But Xavi's Oranje simply can't keep a clean sheet of late, going 10 games without one, and with the last seven seeing both teams score this could be another.

Rep. Ireland v Austria Tip - Austrians on song in Dublin

Click here for Rep Ireland v Austria odds
Thursday 1 October, 19:45 kick-off
Live on Amazon Prime PPV

Two 3-1 home wins in the bag already for Austria as they head to Dublin as 23/202.15 favourites to beat the Republic of Ireland, who are fresh off that 3-0 win over Israel in a highly charged game politically.

Ralf Rangnick's side have won three of four on the road but Ireland have strung together four clean sheets at home so will prove tough to break down. You have to respect the draw then at 21/103.10 but I like the way Austria have started this campaign and odds against is good enough to take the plunge on an away win.

Back Paul's 39/140.00 Nations League Acca

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