Premier League Opta Stats: Nine bets priced from 5/2 to a 9/1 Bet Builder on Monday
13/102.30, 2/13.00 & and 7/24.50 winners last week pave the way for the next round of Premier League action with a profitable beginning to this season's stat-lead column...
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Can we match last season's 80% hit rate this week?
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Szoboszlai was a huge threat v Chelsea
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Get on Haaland before prices are cut once more
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Read on to see what record Saka will break
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Claim your free Acca or Bet Builder here!
Nottingham Forest v Sheffield United
Taiwo to go
The Opta Stat:
"Nottingham Forest won their last three Premier League home games in the 2022-23 campaign. whilst striker Taiwo Awoniyi has scored in each of his last five Premier League games, coming off the bench to net against Arsenal on MD1. On the other hand, only Burnley (0.3) posted a lower expected goals total on MD1 than Sheffield United (0.5) while Nottingham Forest were one of three teams (along with Everton and Wolves) to post a higher xG than their opponents but still lose the match (1.2 - 0.8)."
The Betfair Bet:
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Fulham v Brentford
London derbies raining goals
The Opta Stat:
"Fulham have won just one of their last seven league games against Brentford (D2 L4), though it was a 3-2 victory in this exact fixture last season. In fact, both fixtures bewteen these two sides finished 3-2 to the home side last season. Fulham, meanwhile. had an expected goals against figure of 2.7 in their 1-0 win over Everton on MD1, the highest xG faced by a winning side in the opening round of Premier League matches this season."
The Betfair Bet:
Liverpool v Bournemouth
Reds could run riot once more
The Opta Stat:
"Bournemouth have kept just one clean sheet in their 12 Premier League meetings with Liverpool, conceding 36 goals in the process (3 per game). Indeed, Liverpool's Mohamed Salah has scored eight goals in eight Premier League appearances against Bournemouth, though he didn't score in either meeting with the Cherries last season. Also, on MD1, new signing Dominik Szoboszlai created more chances (3) and made more off-the-ball runs into the box (6) than any other Liverpool player on his debut against Chelsea on MD1."
The Betfair Bet:
Wolverhampton Wanderers v Brighton & Hove Albion
Who can stop Brighton?
The Opta Stat:
"Brighton have scored 12 goals in their last three league games against Wolves, as many as they had in their previous 13 against them combined. They've netted three goals on each of their last two visits to Molineux in the Premier League. Indeed, Brighton had the most shots (27) and the highest xG (4) of any Premier League side on MD1, while only Newcastle (13) had more shots on target (12). Indeed, only against Brentford in April last season have the Seagulls ever had a higher xG (4.6) and more shots on target (15) in a Premier League match."
The Betfair Bet:
Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United
Maddison to break Man U duck
The Opta Stat:
"James Maddison provided two assists against Brentford on MD1, becoming the first ever player to assist more than one goal on his Premier League debut for Tottenham. He's provided two assists in nine league games against Man Utd, but the Red Devils are the side he's faced the most without ever scoring in his league career."
The Betfair Bet:
Manchester City v Newcastle United
Profit from Erling once again
The Opta Stat:
"Erling Haaland has scored 38 goals in 36 Premier League appearances, netting twice in Man City's opening day victory against Burnley. The Norwegian has also been involved in 29 goals in just 18 league games at the Etihad Stadium, scoring 22 and assisting seven. Newcastle meanwhile have netted exactly three times in two of their last four games v Man City, though both instances were at St James' Park."
The Betfair Bet:
Aston Villa v Everton
Young by name, old by nature
The Opta Stat:
"In Everton's first game of the season against Fulham, Ashley Young became the Toffees' oldest outfield Premier League player (38 years, 34 days) since Richard Gough in 2001, who was 39. Young has more Premier League assists at Villa Park than any other player (28), with one of those coming as an opposition player for Man Utd in 2014-15. He also committed two fouls last week, and will be up against Moussa Diaby here. He scored Aston Villa's goal in their 5-1 defeat to Newcastle ilast week, with only four players have scored in their first two Premier League appearances for Villa - Dalian Atkinson (1992), Dion Dublin (1998), Ross Barkley (2020) and Danny Ings (2021)."
The Betfair Bet:
West Ham United v Chelsea
Moyes to feel the Blues
The Opta Stat:
"West Ham have alternated between winning (4) and then not winning (D2 L2) in their last eight Premier League home games against Chelsea, drawing 1-1 in this exact fixture last season. Indeed, the Hammers have lost 11 of their last 16 Premier League London derbies (W2 D3), with both wins in that time coming against Fulham last season. The Hammers have lost more London derbies in the Premier League than any other side (119)."
The Betfair Bet:
Crystal Palace v Arsenal
Saka setting records
The Opta Stat:
"As well as scoring on MD1, Bukayo Saka has now featured in each of Arsenal's last 81 Premier League games. If he plays in this match, he will equal Paul Merson's club record of playing in 82 in a row in the competition, set between February 1995 and February 1997. Indeed, Arsenal's xG v Forest despite winning was just 0.8, the third lowest total of the weekend."
The Betfair Bet:
Completely Free Acca or Bet Builder
Remember, Betfair are offering a completely free acca each remaining weekend in August, and you can claim yours for this weekend right here!
Based on the reccomendations above, why not try this match odds 90 acca this weekend?
Nottingham Forest, Brighton, Liverpool and Fulham to draw with Brentford is priced up at 9/110.00.
Recommended bets
Opta Stats P/L (Reccomended bet of the week)
Stake: 1pt
Return: 3.0
P/L: + 2.0
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Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.
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