Championship Weekend Previews: Expect more goals at Ashton Gate

Bristol City boss Derek McInnes

Goals have been the norm at Ashton Gate this season says Mike Norman, and our man expects them to fly in once more as outlined in this weekend's Championship preview...

"That’s a staggering 33 goals witnessed in six games at an average of exactly 5.5 goals per game. Add in the fact that their last four away games have averaged 3.5 goals per game then it’s reasonable to suggest that the Robins can both score goals in abundance as well as concede them."

Blackpool 2.3211/8 v Brighton 3.39/4; The Draw 3.711/4

It's a pretty difficult task just to fathom who is in worse form out of these two; Blackpool have taken just four points from the last 18 available, whilst Brighton have taken just two from the last 15.

In an extremely open Championship you don't seem to lose much ground when you go on a winless run as everyone seems to be beating everyone, but it's now getting to the point for these two clubs where they must get back to winning ways if they want to stay in touch with the promotion places. Of the two, I fancy the Tangerines are the side most likely to take the three points.

The reasoning is simple; the most obvious factor is that they have home advantage, a place where they have already beat good clubs like Leeds and Middlesbrough this season. The second factor is that Ian Holloway's men are still scoring goals during this poor run. True, six goals in six games doesn't sound prolific, but compare it to Brighton and you'll see my point.

Gus Poyet's men have scored just one goal during their last 450 minutes of football, and from 13 league and cup games this term they've failed to score in seven of them. I can see Blackpool getting on the scoresheet, and I sense that just one goal might be enough to win this.

Recommended Bet: Back Blackpool to win @ 2.3211/8


Ipswich 2.47/5 v Sheff Wed 3.185/40; The Draw 3.613/5

A game that will test the 'new manager syndrome' theory. Ok, not quite with Ipswich not finding a replacement for Paul Jewell yet, but it is quite bizarre how many times a team go out and win their next game immediately following a managerial departure.

And the Tractor Boys won't get a better chance of getting back to winning ways than the one they face at Portman Road on Saturday. Opponents Sheffield Wednesday are second bottom of the Championship after picking up an alarming two points from the last 27 available to them. The Owls' away record is dismal, the worst in the division in fact, conceding 10 goals during their last five ventures out of Sheffield and taking just one point in the process.

True, bottom-of-the-table Ipswich are in equally poor form results wise, but their last four defeats have been by just a single goal margin and they have managed to find the net in each of their last six games. And with loanee striker DJ Campbell, and the established Michael Chopra (at this level) in their ranks I can see the home side pinching this one.

Recommended Bet: Back Ipswich to win @ 2.47/5


Bristol City 3.185/40 v Hull 2.447/5; The Draw 3.55/2

If it's entertainment you're after then Ashton Gate is the place for you. Six leagues games into the season and Bristol City's home scorelines read 4-1, 4-2, 3-5, 2-3, 1-1, 3-4.

That's a staggering 33 goals witnessed in six games at an average of exactly 5.5 goals per game. Add in the fact that their last four away games have averaged 3.5 goals per game then it's reasonable to suggest that the Robins can both score goals in abundance as well as concede them.

With any sequence like the one Derek McInnes' men are on currently it has to come to an end sooner rather than later, and with Saturday's visitors Hull being a well organised side then this could be that time. But the Tigers themselves were on a bizarre 'goals' run not so long ago - 23 goals being witnessed in a total of five games involving Steve Bruce's men - so I'm hopeful that the net will carry on bulging in this live Sky Sports encounter.

I've mentioned previously that Hull have a plethora of players that can score goals, and this could be the perfect ingredient for another high-scoring Ashton Gate spectacle.

Recommended Bet: Back Over 4.5 Goals @ 6.611/2 (Best Bet)


Season P/L (1pt each bet, 2pts Best Bet)

Wagered: 44 pts
Returned: 53.68 pts
P/L + 9.68 pts

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