Premier League 3pm Kick-Offs: Free-scoring QPR to win again at Loftus Road

Three points and a nice cuppa is all Harry wants for Christmas
Three points and a nice cuppa is all Harry wants for Christmas

It's the final round of Premier League fixtures before Christmas, and our man Mike Norman is hoping that 'silly season' doesn't start early with a lot of the fancied teams looking strong wagers on Saturday afternoon...

"Alan Irvine's men are struggling for goals at present (just four in their last eight matches) whereas QPR have hit the back of the net on average exactly two goals per game at Loftus Road since August. A home win looks a decent wager here."

Back QPR to beat West Brom @ 2.526/4

Aston Villa 6.411/2 v Man Utd 1.645/8; The Draw 4.1

United have a tremendous record in this fixture, winning eight and drawing one of their last nine matches against Villa while also emerging victorious at Villa Park from their last three visits.

They also score goals in this fixture too, averaging exactly three goals scored in the last seven meetings, so given how Louis van Gaal's men are performing at the moment then you have to fancy them to record their seventh consuctive Premier League win.

Villa have done well of late but reverted to type last weekend when losing to out-of-form West Brom, and even though we can all argue that United haven't been playing well during their recent victories there's no denying that they have goals in them.

Wayne Rooney has been in good form of late, Robin van Persie is back amongst the goals, Radamel Falcao is fit, and Angel Di Maria could return this weekend. United look a decent bet giving the hosts a one goal start.

Recommended Bet
Back Man Utd -1 to Win @ 8/5

Hull 3.185/40 v Swansea 2.68/5; The Draw 3.412/5

Swansea will still be wondering how they didn't take anything from their home game with Tottenham last week, but they've immediately been given an opportunity to make amends against out-of-form Hull.

The Tigers have won just one of their last 15 league and cup games, while their current run of nine Premier League games without a win has seen Steve Bruce's men drop to 19th in the table. They've scored just two goals in eight games and at this level that will always find you out.

Having said that, there were definite signs at Everton a few weeks ago that they were perhaps coming back to form, and their last three home defeats have been by a single goal only, so it's not as if they are getting thrashed every week.

It's difficult to recommend Hull though given their current form and lack of goals, so the tentative selection has to be the away side. Garry Monk's men play some lovely football and if Wilfried Bony has his scoring boots on this Saturday then the Tigers might be in trouble.

Recommended Bet
Back Swansea to Win @ 2.68/5

QPR 2.526/4 v West Brom 3.1511/5; The Draw 3.412/5

While QPR's away form is dreadful there's absolutely nothing wrong with what they are doing at Loftus Road and they rate a decent bet to get the better of struggling West Brom.

Harry Redknapp's men have won their last two on home soil against clubs at the bottom of the table so they'll be well used to this sort of test, and prior to those games they performed admirably and scored four goals in their home games against Man City and Liverpool.

They're a tough nut to crack in front of their own fans.

The Baggies have been quite poor of late - undoubtedly Saido Berahino's loss of form has played a big part in that - with last week's home win against a Villa side who were down to 10 men for 70 minutes being their first win in six weeks.

Alan Irvine's men are struggling for goals at present (just four in their last eight matches) whereas QPR have hit the back of the net on average exactly two goals per game at Loftus Road since August. A home win looks a decent wager here.

Recommended Bet
Back QPR to Win @ 2.526/4
(best bet)

Southampton 2.486/4 v Everton 3.211/5; The Draw 3.45

One of our three winners last Saturday was a lay of Southampton at 1.84/5 - as I said then, even though the Saints had been losing to decent teams it's very difficult to break a winless run and that's exactly what Ronald Koeman's men are going through at present.

A loss to Burnley and a midweek defeat at League One outfit Sheffield United means the Saints have now lost five on the spin, and prior to this poor run they also failed to beat a woefully out of form Aston Villa.

Dusan Tadic missed a penalty last week so you have to wonder how his confidence has been affected, while Graziano Pelle's hot goalscoring form has cooled considerably. That's all it takes at this level - two players who were in scintillating form to put in a few below par performances and suddenly a team who couldn't stop winning now can't buy a win.

So what does all that mean? We can't back Southampton to win on current form, but I'm not sure we can back Everton either.

The Match Odds is a real head scratcher, and probably best left alone, but Under 2.5 Goals at 1.910/11 could be the bet. Saints will be desperate to end this losing run and might set up more defensively than they normally would while Everton aren't in great form away from home (one point from the last nine available).

Recommended Bet
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.910/11

Tottenham 1.528/15 v Burnley 7.613/2; The Draw 4.67/2

A quick one this simply because of the way the Match Odds are priced up.

Put simply Tottenham aren't playing well, yet away from home they've been winning regularly. At White Hart Lane they've struggled though, especially in the Premier League, and that means having confidence in them to win at just 1.528/15 is difficult.

I'm just not sure I'd want to oppose Spurs either though, despite Burnley being in fine form and doing their level best to silence those who said they're certainties to finish bottom (present company included).

So my wager here is going to be Harry Kane to score at anytime. The youngster is quickly becoming one of the stars of the season and now has 13 goals to his name. His workrate is phenomenal, he is full of confidence, and he looks like he can score every time he plays.

Recommended Bet
Back Harry Kane To Score @ 2.89/5 or better

West Ham 1.75/7 v Leicester 5.95/1; The Draw 4.03/1

The only thing to be wary of here is that 'silly season' is about to commence because on all known form West Ham look banker material to win this weekend.

But with silly season - that's the Christmas and New Year period - comes strange results and absolutely nothing should surprise you in this game.

Leicester are in dreadful form though and it's difficult to see them turning that form around at the Boleyn Ground. The Foxes are starting to become cut adrift at the bottom of the table following a run of just two draws (and nine losses) from their last 11 league games.

The Hammers on the other hand are flying high in the top four and have a really good home record against clubs outside of the top seven (W4 D1 L0). Confidence is high amongst Sam Allardyce's men and they have enough goals in their side to win this one comfortably.

Recommended Bet
Back West Ham to Win @ 1.75/7

Premier League 2014/15 Season P/L

Staked: 83 pts
Returned: 79.29 pts
P/L: - 3.71 pts

*based on 1pt each bet, 2pts best bet

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