Tottenham v Everton: 13/1 Richarlison can be Spurs' hero and villain in final day decider

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A season of unwanted drama for Spurs

The rollercoaster ride has gone something like this if you're a Spurs fan:

This isn't great ... we surely couldn't go down ... oh my god, we're going down ... De Zerbi's rescued us, we're fine ... hang on, we're in trouble again.

Teams	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	PTS	xGF	xGA	xGD	EXP	FCST
1 Arsenal	38	26	7	5	71	27	85	0	0	0
2 Man City	38	23	9	6	77	35	78	0	0	0
3 Man Utd	38	20	11	7	69	50	71	0	0	0
4 Aston Villa	38	19	8	11	56	49	65	0	0	0
5 Liverpool	38	17	9	12	63	53	60	0	0	0
6 Bournemouth	38	13	18	7	58	54	57	0	0	0
7 Sunderland	38	14	12	12	42	48	54	0	0	0
8 Brighton	38	14	11	13	52	46	53	0	0	0
9 Brentford	38	14	11	13	55	52	53	0	0	0
10 Chelsea	38	14	10	14	58	52	52	0	0	0
11 Fulham	38	15	7	16	47	51	52	0	0	0
12 Newcastle	38	14	7	17	53	55	49	0	0	0
13 Everton	38	13	10	15	47	50	49	0	0	0
14 Leeds	38	11	14	13	49	56	47	0	0	0
15 Crystal Palace	38	11	12	15	41	51	45	0	0	0
16 Nottm Forest	38	11	11	16	48	51	44	0	0	0
17 Spurs	38	10	11	17	48	57	41	0	0	0
18 West Ham	38	10	9	19	46	65	39	0	0	0
19 Burnley	38	4	10	24	38	75	22	0	0	0
20 Wolves	38	3	11	24	27	68	20	0	0	0

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A point at Chelsea would have kept Spurs up. But Tottenham never get anything against Chelsea. And so, we go to the final day with this simple doomsday scenario: if Spurs lose and West Ham win at home to Leeds, Tottenham are relegated.

Toffees have slipped up

Everton's push for a European spot has rather run out of steam.

Although they played out a thrilling 3-3 draw with Manchester City at the Hill Dickinson, home defeats either side against Liverpool and Sunderland really hurt.

Reassuringly for Spurs, David Moyes' side haven't won any of their last six Premier League games. Then again, perhaps they're due!

Draw looks best match odds bet

Backing Spurs at odds-on doesn't seem a great idea given that they haven't won a home league game since early Decemeber! That's a 10-match stretch.

They're 9/101.90 for the win, with Everton 29/103.90.

It's hard to think how this won't be nerve-shredding for Tottenham and having finished all-square in their last two home games, The Draw looks the best bet here at 13/53.60. A couple of scenarios help such a bet.

If the Hammers are losing late on, Spurs will be happy enough to see things out if their game is level.

And if West Ham are winning, Tottenham will be hanging on for dear life for the draw rather than pushing for a winner.

The Toffees have drawn two of their last three on the road and it would be three except for conceding a last-gasp strike at West Ham.

Try 13/1 Spurs card double

Richarlison always seems to be one of the main lightning rods for drama in situations like this. So let's start with the cards markets.

He'll be playing on the edge as it is due to what's on the line but being left out of the Brazilian World Cup squad will surely only get him pumped up further.

Add in Everton being his former club and an ability to go full 'housery if needing to run down the clock if Spurs are in a favourable position and an 11th yellow booking of the season awaits.

Back Richarlison to be shown a card at 16/54.20.

In the same market I'll also play Richarlison in a double with Micky van de Ven.

The Dutchman plays the game at high speed and often has to cover ground rapidly to bail out teammates in crucial situations.

That can lead to bookings if his timing is a fraction off and the defender has picked up 12 yellows and a red this season.

He's also 16/54.20 so the double is an attractive 13/114.00.

English Premier League - Top 5 Cards

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Spurs have picked up more yellows than any another side in the Premier League this season, their tally of 96 almost double that of Arsenal (50).

Michael Oliver takes charge. He's shown 84 yellows in 28 top-flight matches this term.

Richarlison appeals in scorer markets

Richarlison also appeals in the scorer market.

He gave Tottenham hope in the 2-1 loss at Chelsea and that was his second goal in three games. Zooming out, he has four in nine.

The frontman also has scored four times in his last five league games against Everton, his former side.

For the Toffees, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall boasts a decent strike-rate this season and he's netted seven times in his last 20 top-flight games. Away from home it's three in the last six.

A goalscorer double of Richarlison and Dewsbury-Hall pays 10/111.00.

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