Dan Fitch is backing Wolves to put Newcastle into further trouble on Saturday, in what he thinks will be a game of few goals...
"In six games playing with a back three, Wolves have only conceded three goals, keeping clean sheets against the likes of Chelsea, Leicester and Leeds."
Newcastle 3.711/4 v Wolves 2.285/4; The Draw 3.412/5
Saturday 27 February, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports Main Event
Newcastle battle against drop with Fulham
Newcastle could slip into the relegation zone this weekend if they lose to Wolves.
The Magpies are 17th in the Premier League table, only three points ahead of Fulham. With Fulham having a much better goal difference than the Newcastle, they could move out of the bottom three if they win at Crystal Palace and Newcastle failed to get a positive result against Wolves.
Fulham remain available at the shorter price to be relegated at 1.981/1, compared to Newcastle at 2.829/5, but on current form you'd have to say that these odds should be much closer. Fulham are unbeaten in four (W2 D2), while Newcastle have lost three games over the same period (W1). With Callum Wilson injured, Newcastle are now without their main source of goals. Steve Bruce's team have lost all four of the Premier League games that they've played without Wilson this season, failing to score in three of them.
Joelinton replaced Wilson up front in the 3-1 defeat to Manchester United last weekend, but had to come off with a back problem and is now a doubt. Also injured are Javier Manquillo and Fabian Schar, while Federico Fernandez will face a late fitness test.
Nuno finds success again with back three
Wolves have found some form of late, after Nuno reverted to some familiar methods.
After the 3-2 home defeat to West Brom back in January, Nuno ditched the 4-3-3 formation that he'd been using and reverted back to the 3-4-3 that has been so successful for Wolves since they won promotion to the Premier League in 2018.
In six games playing with a back three, Wolves have only conceded three goals, keeping clean sheets against the likes of Chelsea, Leicester and Leeds. Unsurprisingly, they have only lost one of these games and though Wolves still lack potency in attack, that is less of an issue now that they have tightened up defensively.
Raul Jimenez is still unavailable for Wolves after fracturing his skull. Also injured are Willy Boly and Daniel Podence.
Visitors good price to win and they could keep clean sheet
Wolves are the 2.285/4 favourites, with the draw at 3.412/5 and Newcastle out at 3.711/4.
That seems to be a decent price for Wolves given their current form. If you're looking for something a bit bigger, then Wolves to win to nil seems an obvious choice, considering that they've just kept a clean sheet against Leeds and that Newcastle will miss Wilson.
Lots of options for low scoring game
Though their form has improved over recent weeks, Wolves are still slow starters. They've not scored in the first-half of any of the six Premier League games they've played, since changing formation.
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Dan Fitch 2020/21 Season P/L
Staked: 442.00 pts
Returned: 451.85 pts
P/L: +9.85 pts