Premier League Sunday Tipsheet: Back card treble at 40/1 in Liverpool v Man City

Hull v Everton Tips - More mauling's from the Tigers?

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Sunday, 14:00
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I don't even think the most delusional Hull fan could have conjured up the start the Tigers have made to the Premier League. 

According to the dreaded data, they should have been relegated from the Championship last season, not promoted. 

Now five games into the season, they have only lost once, taking eight points from clashes with Manchester United, Coventry, Aston Villa, Chelsea and Newcastle. 

It was the 2-2 draw at Stamford Bridge which felt like the result where the neutral said, hang on a minute, these might have a chance. 

In hindsight, getting promoted via the play-offs after a second tier season where they were so tactically versatile, was probably the best preparation of any of the three promoted sides. 

But, after a lengthy international break, I'll be interested to see if it's sapped their momentum or if they can pick up where they left off. 

Everton are unbeaten this season (W4 D3), snatching points at Bournemouth and against Manchester United in injury time. 

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest Tips - Glasner's back at his old stomping ground

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Sunday, 14:00
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Oliver Glasner returns to Selhurst Park, the manager who oversaw the clubs most successful in the clubs history. 

It'll be interesting to see what sort of reception he gets from his old club but I'd imagine once the game kicks-off, Crystal Palace will be double keen to get one over the man who made no secret of his desire to leave. 

This context is enough to put me off the visitors at 13/82.63 to win with the Sportsbook.

Although it is worth pointing out, according to the underlying data, Forest rank third behind only Arsenal and Manchester City for xPTS this season making them the biggest underachievers in the division.

The Eagles sit fourth from bottom in the same metric.

Liverpool v Man City Tips - On the cards

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Sunday, 16:30
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Thank you fixture computer and legal system. You two have really pulled it out of the bag here. 

Manchester City's first game after the guilty verdict sends them to Anfield to play a Liverpool side they pipped to the title twice by a single point (18/19 and 21/22). 

It's almost too good to be true. 

With a favourable referee appointment, the player card market has to be the way to play this one. 

Chris Kavanagh has dished 6-6-5 cards in the Premier League this season and averaged 4.2 a game last season, brandishing at least five cards in all bar three of his last 10 appearances in the top flight. 

At 16/54.20, Dominik Szoboszlai's price to be shown a card appeals. He was carded in both league meetings last season and has 16 cards to his name across the last three campaigns (including the current campaign).

At an industry best price of 11/43.75, Alexis Mac Allister's price to be shown a card also appeals. 

Since making the switch to Liverpool, he's picked up 22 cards in four Premier League seasons and he has two in six appearances in the league and Champions League this term.

I'll also throw in Enzo Fernandez alongside Mac Allister and Szoboszlai for a 40/141.00 card treble. The former should be bang up for this one, committing six fouls in his last two league appearances and picking up a caution at Old Trafford.  

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