With Juventus needing three points, Dan Fitch is expecting goals from both teams when the Italians travel to Benfica...
- Benfica unbeaten all season
- Juventus must win
- Hosts won 2-1 in reverse fixture
Benfica 2.0421/20 v Juventus 4.03/1; The Draw 3.7511/4
Tuesday 25 October, 20:00
Live on BT Sport Extra
Last chance saloon for Juve
Juventus must beat Benfica to stand any chance on making the knockout stages of the Champions League.
Based on what we've seen so far in Group H, it will be the Portuguese giants that will qualify alongside PSG. Against all the odds, Benfica remain unbeaten (P4 W2 D2), drawing both games with PSG and winning the reverse of this fixture in Turin. At the weekend they came out on top in another difficult fixture, winning 1-0 away at Porto. Across all competitions, Benfica are unbeaten in all 19 of their games this season (W15 D4).
Juventus' hopes of making the last-16 were dealt a massive blow in the last round of fixtures when they lost 2-0 away at Maccabi Haifa. They now need to win this match and away at PSG to stand any chance of qualification. The Old Lady have at least bounced back from that defeat against the Israelis, winning 1-0 away at local rivals Torino and then defeating Empoli 4-0 at home over the weekend.
Back bet that landed in reverse fixture
Benfica are the 2.0421/20 favourites, with the draw at 3.7511/4 and Juventus at 4.03/1.
The markets have cottoned onto the fact that Benfica are not to be underestimated, to the extent that there's not that much value in backing them at this price. A single point after all, is almost certain to be enough for Benfica to qualify for the knockout stages.
The reverse fixture ended 2-1 to Benfica. With Juve really needing a result here, they should get on the scoresheet again. Both teams to score looks a reasonably safe bet at 1.834/5.