Atletico Madrid v Bayer Leverkusen: Back narrow win for hosts

• Bottom two can still make last-16
  
• Xabi Alonso in charge at Leverkusen
  
• Atletico won at Betis over weekend

Atletico Madrid 1.794/5 v Bayer Leverkusen 5.04/1; The Draw 3.953/1
Wednesday 26 October, 20:00
Live on BT Sport Extra

Bottom two still in with qualification chance

There's all still to play for in Group B, despite Atletico Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen occupying the bottom two positions.

Club Brugge have already sealed one of the qualification positions, leaving Atletico, Leverkusen and Porto to fight for the other place. It's Porto that are currently second on six points, with Atletico on four (P4 W1 D1 L2) and Leverkusen on three (P4 W1 D0 L3).

Leverkusen's sole victory came in the reverse fixture, which they won 2-0. Not only have they lost their other three games, but they have failed to score a single goal in those matches. Leverkusen's Bundesliga form has been equally dismal. Xabi Alonso was recently appointed as the new manager and enjoyed a 4-0 win over Schalke in his first game, but at the weekend they lost 5-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt, which leaves them in 15th place in the German top flight.

Atletico won 2-1 at Real Betis at the weekend, with Antoine Griezmann grabbing a brace which included a goal direct from a corner. They are now unbeaten in five (W3 D2) and are third in La Liga, but have struggled to find any real consistency this season.

Atletico have been reliably low scoring

Atletico Madrid are the 1.794/5 favourites, with the draw at 3.953/1 and Bayer Leverkusen at 5.04/1.

With Atletico at home and Leverkusen struggling for form, they look a fair set of odds. Yet we'd hesitate to recommend backing the hosts at these odds considering their unpredictability. They've drawn their last two home games against Club Brugge and Rayo Vallecano, both of whom they were expected to beat.

In order to get a bigger price, go for Atletico to win and under 3.5 goals at 2.588/5. Under 3.5 goals has landed in each of Atletico's last nine games.