India v New Zealand
Thursday October 20 09.00
TV: live on Sky Sports
Suresh Raina, who missed the first match in Dharamsala with illness, has again been ruled out. No replacement has been named. And why not? India strolled to victory by six wickets.
A reserve bowling attack knocked over the Kiwis for 190. Then Virat Kohli (85 not out), with a little assistance from Ajinkya Rahane, set about the target with aplomb - reaching it with almost 17 overs to spare.
Ravi Ashwin, Ravi Jadeja and Mohammad Shami will sit this one and the next one out, meaning Umesh Yadav and Hardik Pandya can work on their new-ball pairing and Amit Mishra (three wickets) can whirl away happily.
It's probably a little churlish to pick holes considering they won so easily but we're a little concerned by Nos 5-6-7 for India. Are MS Dhoni, Kedar Jadav and Pandya potent enough?
To work out exactly how poor New Zealand were in game one you have to trawl through the record books back to 1987. That was the last time a team had so few runs on the board for five wickets against India plaing in India.
Zimbabwe were five down for 47 in Mumbai. New Zealand lost their five for only one run more. Kane Williamson, Ross Taylor, Corey Anderson and Luke Ronchi contributed only seven runs.
With such a collective failure, New Zealand were never going to recover despite the best efforts of Tom Latham, who carried his bat, and Tim Southee (half-century).
Weirdly, New Zealand decided to rest their two best ODI bowlers for the match. But surely Trent Boult and Matt Henry, Nos 1 and 5 respectively in the rankings, will come back. Ish Sodhi and Doug Bracewell may miss out.
Here are the last eight first-innings scores at the Feroz Shah Kotla (stretching back to 2009): 263/167/237/189/198/330/222/229. The average is 229. Hardly a batsman's paradise is it? The 330 was by the West Indies against the Dutch, by the way. In List A domestic cricket the last five scores read: 183/194/176/100/225.
It would be bonkers, therefore, to expect runs. Laying 275 or more for the side batting first should represent great value at short odds.
India are 1.4740/85 and New Zealand, who we tipped in game one, are 3.185/40. Guess what? We're retaining faith in the touring team.
It's the sensible, value call. We must not overreact to one game. Indeed, it could be argued that the Kiwis were victims of their own over-confidence. The collapse was just down to how they play. They are aggressive and we wouldn't want them to change.
Factor in that they should have their two best bowlers back for what is a bowler-friendly wicket they should be able to remind us all why they are rated ahead of India in the rankings.
The toss should be key, too. The last five List A matches at Delhi have been won by the chaser. In day-night internationals it's five from eight. So dew could well be a factor.
Top India runscorer
Kohli shared runscorer honours with Raina in the last match at this ground. Both notched 62. Kohli also has a century there against England in 2011. He is expected to go off at around 3.7511/4.
Top New Zealand runscorer
Wiliamson should be jolly at around 3.613/5 with Martin Guptill next best at 4.57/2. But we're most interested in the horrific form of Taylor, who has four ducks in his last eight international innings. He appears to have become distracted by the imminent publication of Brendon McCullum's book. It won't help that Big Mac has arrived in India to tour the country with the Kiwi prime minister. If we can get 2.01/1 to lay on the 'to score 25' market, we'll take it.
Back New Zealand at 3.185/40
Lay R Taylor for 25 or more at 2.01/1