India v New Zealand third T20 Tips: How to bet a Barsapara blitz

• India have 2-0 lead with three to play

• More carnage in offing for bowlers
• Barsapara RPO busts 9
• Back batters for milestones
• For Betfair's latest cricket betting odds click here

India v New Zealand
Sunday 25, 13.30
TV: Live on TNT

India v New Zealand third T20 team news

India put down a marker in game two. Although their bowlers went round the park and conceded 208, the response from the home batting was nothing short of sensational against a good Kiwi attack.

The game was all over inside ten overs with Ishan Kishan raising hell with 76 from 32. Suryakumar Yadav finished the job with an important return to the form. There were four overs and four balls left.

Jasprit Bumrah was rested so presumably will come back into contention. Arshdeep Singh probably comes out after an expensive show. Axar Patel is injured so surely won't be risked. Kuldeep Yadav continues instead.

Probable India XI: Abhishek, Samson, Ishan, Sky, Hardik, Rinku, Dube, Harshit, Kuldeep, Varun, Bumrah

New Zealand are probably shellshocked following a shellacking when they did little wrong. After batting well and scoring freely, it should not be forgotten they had India at eight for two. 

Playing Tim Seifert as opener was absolutely the right call and he got them off to a good start. When Finn Allen finishes in the Bash he can form a thrilling up-top partnership.

It seems unlikely they make changes to the XI. Michael Bracewell remains a significant doubt with a calf injury.

Probable New Zealand XI: Conway, Robinson, Ravindra, Phillips, Chapman, Mitchell, Santner, Foulkes, Sodhi, Duffy, Henry

India v New Zealand third T20 pitch report

There have been ten matches under lights at Barsapara with no toss bias present. The runs per over in that sequence is 9.06 and given that the span began in 2017 (when T20 was a very different beast) it is fair to reckon that we have a road in the offing. India have breached 220 on their last two visits batting first. There were two IPL matches last year with first-innings scores of 151 and 182. 

The even money that both teams score 180 might be a gimme with Sportsbook. Both 190 and 200 is 15/82.88 and 10/34.33 . Another popular market will be the 11/26.50 that a century is scored given some of the strike rates in game two. There were two in the last T20i and one in the game before that.

India v New Zealand third T20 match prediction

In the match-oods market New Zealand are a bit like a Saga cruiser on an 18-30. No matter what they do, or how hard they try, they are friendless. It says something about the power India's batters have in a market when they are 1.674/6 at the break to go at more than ten an over.

Often on these pages we talk about the ability of a team to trade. And New Zealand are a great team for that. But the fact they needed two wickets in the first two overs with 208 on the board makes life so much harder for bettors. From 4.01301/100 it is quite a long way to parity. 

In Barsapara New Zealand are expected to put down another big score if they were to bat first. But then what? The old one-two is required again on a flat one. Perhaps the shrewd money is on New Zealand at the break if they can somehow restrict the hosts to something similar that they got in Raipur.

India v New Zealand third T20 ODI player bets

On a flat one it is smart to look at batters for milestones. So Abhishek Sharma, such a consistent runscorer, is one to keep an eye on. He is 15/82.88. Sanju Samson is not a bad shout, either, at 11/53.20. For the Kiwis Seifert is a shout at 7/24.50. Having the opportunity to bat for the longest time on such a good deck and with the powerplay could make all the difference to these markets. 

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