Premier League Predictions: Opta Stats Number Crunch MD5
- Betfair's Stats guru Alex Boyes runs you through the pre-match Opta stats to provide the best stories of each Premier League fixture to aid your football betting ahead of the midweek action
- MD4 gave us a 2.47/5 and a 2.89/5 win, with one push and seven losses
- As patterns of the new season begin to emerge, all Betfair Bets are driven by the data
- You can get a £5 free bet from Betfair by placing a £5 Bet Builder on Manchester City v Nottingham Forest
Crystal Palace v Brentford
Eze as that
The Opta Stat:
"Crystal Palace's Ebere Eze has assisted three goals in his last six Premier League appearances, as many as in his previous 25 games in the competition. Eze already has more assists this season (2 in 4 games) than he managed last season (1 in 13 games). Indeed, the Eagles Crystal Palace have won four of their last six home Premier League matches (D1 L1), as many as in their first 15 at Selhurst Park under manager Patrick Vieira (W4 D7 L4)."
The Betfair Bet:
Fulham v Brighton & Hove Albion
Magical Potter keeps it clean
The Opta Stat:
"Brighton have kept a clean sheet in each of their last seven Premier League games against promoted sides (W5 D2) since a 1-0 loss at West Brom in February 2021. That defeat to the Baggies is their only loss against a promoted side in their last 15 such games (W7 D7)."
The Betfair Bet:
Southampton v Chelsea
Sterling to plunge Saints into recession
The Opta Stat:
"Chelsea's Mason Mount has been involved in five goals in his four Premier League starts against Southampton (4 goals, 1 assist), while only against Norwich (5) has he scored more Premier League goals than he has against Saints (4). Meanwhile, only against West Ham (14 - 8 goals, 6 assists) has Chelsea's Raheem Sterling been involved in more Premier League goals than he has against Southampton (11 - 7 goals, 4 assists)."
The Betfair Bet:
Read Mark O'Haire's match preview here!
Leeds United v Everton
All spies on Lampard
The Opta Stat:
"Leeds have won 49% of their Premier League games on a Tuesday (17/35), their highest win rate on a specific day of the week in the competition. They've won five of their six such games since returning to the top-flight in 2020, though the exception was a 7-0 loss against Man City."
The Betfair Bet:
Read Ben Steele's match preview here!
Arsenal v Aston Villa
Gunners continue perfect start
The Opta Stat:
"Each of the last 10 league games between Arsenal and Aston Villa at the Emirates Stadium have produced at least three goals. In Premier League history, only one specific fixture has produced 3+ goals on 11 consecutive occasions - Manchester City hosting Newcastle between September 2007 and July 2020."
The Betfair Bet:
Read Simon Mail's match preview here!
Bournemouth v Wolverhampton Wanderers
Jimenez to pick off Cherries
The Opta Stat:
"Wolves' Raúl Jiménez has scored in all four of his Premier League appearances against Bournemouth - no player has a better 100% scoring ratio against an opponent in the competition."
The Betfair Bet:
Manchester City v Nottingham Forest
De Bruyne's De Man
The Opta Stat:
"Man City's Kevin De Bruyne has been involved in 20 goals in his last 20 Premier League appearances against promoted sides, scoring seven and assisting 13. At the Etihad, the Belgian has been involved in 18 goals in 16 such games overall (7 goals, 11 assists)."
The Betfair Bet:
Read Nathan Joyes' match preview here!
West Ham United v Tottenham Hotspur
All hail Michail
The Opta Stat:
"Only Carlton Cole (14) and Manuel Lanzini (13) have scored more Premier League goals for West Ham in Premier League London derbies than Michail Antonio (12) - half of these have come in 11 appearances against Tottenham, including netting once in each of his last three against them at the London Stadium."
The Betfair Bet:
Read Andy Schooler's match preview here!
Liverpool v Newcastle United
Don't forget about Mo
The Opta Stat:
"Mohamed Salah has scored in all five of his Premier League home games for Liverpool against Newcastle. The only player with a better 100% home scoring record for a club against an opponent is former Man City striker Sergio Agüero, who scored in all seven of his games at the Etihad against Liverpool."
The Betfair Bet:
Read Mike Norman's match preview here!
Leicester City v Manchester United
Rashford to out-fox Foxes
The Opta Stat:
"Man Utd's Marcus Rashford has scored more Premier League goals against Leicester than he has any other opponent (6). Rashford has also scored in three of his last four appearances at the King Power Stadium against the Foxes."
The Betfair Bet:
Browse through the rest of the best bets for Tuesday's Premier League action here.
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