Saturday Premier League Tipsheet: Hornets at the mercy of impressive City

Yaya and his friends are back to their best... and they should thump Watford says Mike
Yaya and his friends are back to their best... and they should thump Watford says Mike

Mike Norman has a bumper six Premier League games kicking off at the traditional time of 3pm on Saturday, and it's a first appearance of the season for the likes of Chelsea, Liverpool, and Man City in this slot. Here's our man's thoughts on the day's action...


"So I know it's stating the obvious but unless complacency sets in then it's hard to see Man City conceding here, and it's difficult not to envisage them scoring two or three at the other end. Let's hope it's at least the latter."

Back Man City -2 to Win @ 13/10 (Sportsbook)

Aston Villa 1.9110/11 v Sunderland 4.94/1; The Draw 3.65

Aston Villa scored five goals in midweek, Sunderland scored six. That's the good news. The bad news is that the avalanche of goals came against League Two opposition in the shape of Notts County and Exeter respectively, and at the other end each side conceded an alarming three goals... on home soil.

On the evidence of what we've seen so far this season you have to fear for both sides - the Black Cats defend woefully, Villa struggle for goals at this level - but at the same time it's easy to fear for about five or six other clubs in what is sure to be another exciting season-long fight to avoid relegation.

Despite struggling for goals in the league Tim Sherwood's side probably won't come up against a more disjointed defence all season than the one they'll face at Villa Park on Saturday, and that alone gives the home side a massive chance of victory.

Sunderland haven't defeated Villa in any of their last eight attempts; they've scored just one goal against Villa in the last seven of those games, and in that sequence they've lost by scorelines such as 4-0 and 6-1. Nothing much has changed it seems.

Recommended Bet
Back Aston Villa to Win @ 1.9110/11


Bournemouth 2.245/4 v Leicester 3.45; The Draw 3.711/4

Credit to Bournemouth for scoring four goals and recording their first win of the season at West Ham last week, but at the same time, for as long as we'll all watch Premier League football you'll never again see a side at this level gift so many goals to the opposition.

Hammers manager Slaven Bilic labelled the goals his side conceded as 'unbelievable' mistakes. He wasn't wrong.

But the win for the Cherries will give them a huge boost, and perhaps an even more impressive victory was their 0-4 win at Hartlepool in midweek after manager Eddie Howe had made 11 changes to his starting line-up. Albeit against lower league opposition Bournemouth totally dominated, played some lovely football, and scored some great goals.

Leicester have started the season in tremendous fashion - second in the Premier League and four goals away from home themselves in the cup in midweek - so what we'll have at Dean Court on Saturday afternoon is two sides playing with as much confidence as they possibly can at this stage of the campaign.

I can't call the outcome with any confidence but I will be very surprised if we don't see an entertaining affair containing a few goals.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.9210/11


Chelsea 1.374/11 v Crystal Palace 11.521/2; The Draw 5.39/2

We welcome Chelsea, Liverpool, and Manchester City to the Saturday afternoon 3pm slot this week, and all three have home games that should result in a victory.

Chelsea perhaps have the hardest of the three however, and that's simply down to the fact that Crystal Palace are a much improved outfit under Alan Pardew with two league victories to their name already, while the Blues have been far from impressive for a long time now.

And I say a long time because despite winning the title comfortably last term, Jose Mourinho's men put in some poor performances towards the end of the campaign, a far cry from the free-scoring side that we saw before Christmas. Chelsea were also poor in pre-season, and as we know, they haven't started their title defence great either.

But back at Stamford Bridge and with their first victory of the season now safely tucked away they should edge this. I'm just not convinced I want to take 1.374/11 about them doing so.

The Eagles have scored in every game they've played this season and all four have gone over the 2.5 goals mark; the Blues have conceded in all three of their league matches, again, with all three witnessing at least three goals. A similar outcome in terms of goals looks a safe bet on Saturday afternoon.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.784/5


Liverpool 1.384/11 v West Ham 9.89/1; The Draw 5.49/2

Is it fair to say that Liverpool have had the rub of the green so far this term? A wonder goal won them the points at Stoke on the first weekend of the season, two huge mistakes from the officials arguably won them the points at home to Bournemouth, and Aaron Ramsey had a perfectly good goal disallowed against them in their clash with Arsenal on Monday.

On the flip side, but for Petr Cech earlier in the week Brendan Rodgers' men could have been a few goals in front themselves. Their display at the Emirates was the best I've seen Liverpool from an attacking point of view so far this season.

West Ham were poor in the Europa League, and they have been poor in two home games since that magnificent victory over Arsenal on the opening weekend of the season. So we know what Slaven Bilic's men are capable of at their best, but I think it's safer if we now judge them on their overall form rather than that one-off game.

And with that being the case I'm expecting a comfortable home win on Saturday. You sense that the Reds are starting to find their stride and a flurry of goals are just around the corner. They look solid at the back, while, put simply, West Ham don't. Back Liverpool to overcome the -1 goal handicap.

Recommended Bet
Back Liverpool -1 to Win @ 2.111/10


Man City 1.222/9 v Watford 17.016/1; The Draw 8.07/1

This will probably go down as everyone's banker of the weekend, and although odds of 1.222/9 won't get you rich it's impossible not to see Man City scoring a few goals and taking all three points.

Manuel Pellegrini's men have looked sensational so far with whatever was bothering some of their star names last term now being a distant memory... for now anyway. And while the likes of Vincent Kompany and Yaya Toure look back to their best, and little magicians like David Silva and Sergio Ageuro are fit and in form, you just can't see how they are going to get beat.

It's eight goals scored in three games so far for the Citizens, and it's no exaggeration to say they could quite easily have scored five or six against Chelsea in their only game at the Etihad Stadium so far. An early goal against Watford and the floodgates could really open.

Watford did magnificently to draw 2-2 at Everton on the opening day of the season but they've since failed to find the back of the net in two home games. And in midweek Hornets boss Quique Flores made 11 changes to his side, only to see them play miserably and draw another blank in a 1-0 defeat at Preston.

So I know it's stating the obvious but unless complacency sets in then it's hard to see Man City conceding here, and it's difficult not to envisage them scoring two or three at the other end. Let's hope it's at least the latter.

Recommended Bet
Back Man City -2 to Win @ 13/10
(Sportsbook) (best bet)


Stoke 2.01/1 v West Brom 4.67/2; The Draw 3.55/2

Perhaps one of the surprises of the early part of the season is the failure by Stoke and West Brom to win any of their opening games, and that includes Capital One Cup fixtures against lower league opposition where both were level after 90 minutes.

I fully expect the Baggies and the Potters to be closer to mid-table than the relegation zone come the end of the season, but it's important they get that first win of the campaign sooner rather than later.

Stoke deserve to be favourites in this match virtue of playing on home soil but with Tony Pulis returning to his old club it really is a tough match to call. With Saido Berahino's future still up in the air I can't see the Albion striker starting this game and therefore perhaps Pulis will play just one up top and set out to defend a clean sheet.

Stoke drew a blank in their only home game so far this term and I can see something similar here. I'm expecting a cagey, low-scoring affair at the Britannia Stadium on Saturday afternoon but the odds reflect this also, so rather than back the 'Unders' option I'll take a chance on the draw.

Recommended Bet
Back The Draw @ 3.55/2


*You can follow me on Twitter - @MikkyMo73


**For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.


Premier League 2015/16 Season P/L


Staked: 17 pts
Returned: 16.33 pts
P/L: -0.67 pts

*based on 1pt each bet, 2pts best bet


**2014/15 P/L = +35.3 pts from 215 staked (ROI = 16.42%)

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