South Africa v Canada: Back co-hosts to edge it & a 7/2 SoFi sending off

More clinical Canada backed for 12/53.40 victory

Click here for South Africa v Canada odds
Sunday 28 June, 20:00 kick-off
SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles

And into the knockout stages we go with South Africa a surprise second-place side after an upset win over South Korea in the last group game - and they're big outsiders again as 9/25.50 shots in Los Angeles.

Both sides are making their World Cup knockout debut, with co-hosts Canada missing the chance to stay on home turf when losing to Switzerland, but they'll hope to take plenty of fans with them on the trip south from Vancouver to California.

Jesse Marsch's side are 7/101.70 favourites and have generally outplayed the up-and-down Bafana Bafana - who were useless in the opening game of the tournament against Mexico but improved from there.

They have only scored two goals though, one a penalty, and despite generating a decent xG from it still only had 38% of the ball against the Koreans - that won't be enough if the Canada from the last half hour of the Swiss game turn up.

That's a sizeable 'if' as I'm not overly convinced by Marsch, and Canada aren't usually gung-ho from the start - and neither are South Africa who've seen under 2.5 goals in six of seven - for the Canadians it's 10 of 13. Under 2.5 goals is 8/131.61 as a result.

South Africa just don't score enough goals for me, and Canada have shown a better cutting edge so we'll back them to edge this one in 90 minutes.

Stats are strong for SoFi sending off at 7/24.50

Top scorer Jonathan David is 8/52.60 anytime goalscorer favourite with Cyle Larin 9/52.80 after looking pretty dangerous himself since coming on as a sub in the opening game.

Nathan Saliba is 4/15.00 to score or assist and with a goal and two assists from just 124 minutes of football so far that looks a sound investment.

Both teams have been shown five yellow cards in the tournament so far, and they're both pretty feisty sides so it's worth a look at the disciplinary markets - with preference for each team to get 2+ cards at 11/43.75.

That covers both bookings and red cards, but this game looks to have a sending off written all over it.

South Africa obviously had those two red cards in the opening match, and Canada games have been filled with red cards for their opponents - Qatar had two men sent off here in the second group game, making it six red cards in the last 10 games Canada have been involved in.

Just to sweeten the deal, referee Joao Pedro Silva Pinheiro dished out a red card in his only game of the World Cup so far - and that came in the Switzerland v Bosnia game held at this same So-Fi Stadium in Hollywood.

A red card here then is 7/24.50 and makes the list.

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