Tuesday Football Cheat Sheet: Best bets for EFL Cup and more

• Goals likely as Toffees travel to Cherries
• Mark O'Haire backs Hornets to beat Royals
• Bayern Munich and Barcelona both in action

Everton v Bournemouth: Cherries conceding regularly

Bournemouth 2.88 v Everton 2.6; The Draw 3.35
19:45

Dan Fitch says: "Everton's weekend loss to Leicester means that they have only won one of their last six (D1 L4), failing to score in four of those games."

"That goalless run should end against a Bournemouth side that are charitable defensively. Bournemouth's last two games have seen them score five and concede seven and you can back both teams to score at 1.73."

Dan's bet: Back both teams to score @ 1.738/11

Watford v Reading: 'Orns expected to bounce back

Watford 1.8910/11 v Reading 4.84/1, the Draw 3.814/5
20:00
Live on Sky Sports Football

Mark O'Haire says: "The draw has been prominent when Watford and Reading lock horns in the Championship since 2004. Watford boast the head-to-head supremacy yet almost half of the duos meetings have ended in stalemates (W6-D8-L4) and it's been a similar story at Vicarage Road with the two teams sharing the points in four of their last nine match-ups (W3-D4-L2)."

"Watford 1.89 won three on the spin before Saturday's surprise home reverse. It means the Hornets have posted W5-D0-L4 under Slaven Bilic, including W2-D0-L2 at Vicarage Road. However, the hosts have picked up maximum points in four of their six home encounters with fellow top-half teams, highlighting an ability and sit sixth on Expected Points (xP)."

"Reading 4.70 were amongst the ante-post favourites for relegation yet Paul Ince's outfit have upset the odds to sit inside the top-half as we approach the midway point of the campaign. Even so, the Royals have registered just W1-D2-L5 since the start of October, have earned 69% of their points tally against the bottom-half and lost six of nine away days."

Mark's bet: Back Watford @ 1.89

Bayern Munich v Werder Bremen: Champions to win a thriller

Bayern Munich 1.192/11 v Werder Bremen 17.016/1, the Draw 9.417/2
19:30
Live on Sky Sports Mix and Betfair Live Video

Kevin Hatchard says: "Julian Nagelsmann's Bayern side has been full of goals all season. They have bashed in 41 league goals in 13 games, and in all competitions they have netted 74 times already. The goals are coming from lots of different sources - they have nine different players who have already scored multiple goals in the league."

"I expect Bayern to beat newly-promoted Werder on Tuesday night, but I think the swashbuckling northerners can score at least once. Ole Werner's side is ahead of schedule, with 21 points collected already. That means they can play with the handbrake off, and they have netted 23 league goals, so I'll back Bayern to win and BTTS on the Sportsbook at 1.92. If you look at Bayern's 13 league matches, seven of them have seen both teams find the net."

"I'll also back Jamal Musiala to score at 2.4. The German international has scored 11 goals in all competitions, and has found the net in four of his last six appearances."

Kevin's bet: Back Bayern and BTTS at 1.92

Osasuna v Barcelona: Another win for Barca

Osasuna 7.06/1 v Barcelona 1.538/15, The Draw 4.94/1
20:30
Live on ITV4 and LaLigaTV

Dan Fitch says: "Barcelona face a tough test at in-form Osasuna on Tuesday night, in week 14 of the La Liga season."

"Osasuna won 2-1 at Celta Vigo over the weekend. They are up to fifth in the table and unbeaten in four (W3 D1). Barcelona also enjoyed a weekend victory, defeating Almeria 2-0 at home to go top of La Liga, taking advantage of Real Madrid not being in action until Monday."

"As good as Osasuna have been in recent weeks, we have to assume that Barcelona's quality will tell. No game involving Osasuna has seen more than three goals this season and you can back a Barca win and under 3.5 goals at 2.226/5."

Dan's bet: Back Barcelona to beat Osasuna and under 3.5 goals @ 2.226/5

Tuesday Football Tips: Goals on the cards in drop battle

Elche 3.55/2 v Girona 2.3411/8, The Draw [3.4.]
18:00
Live on Viaplay Sports 1

Andy Schooler says: "Elche sit rock bottom and remain winless but they will doubtless be targeting a home game with 14th-placed Girona to break that duck.

Girona have notably had defensive problems, conceding 21 times in 13 games so far, so they are far from watertight.

With only six teams having scored more goals than their 18, it's easy to see why a whopping 85% of their games have seen both teams score, including the last 10.

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Elche may have struggled for goals but BTTS has also landed more often than not in their matches this season, including five of the last seven. That option looks worth backing at 20/23.

Andy's bet: Back both teams to score and Yangel Herrera 1+ shot @ 2.6

Football Bet of the Day: Magic Marcus worth backing

Bochum 3.3512/5 v Borussia Mönchengladbach 2.265/4, the Draw 3.711/4
19:30
Live on Betfair Live Video

Kevin Hatchard says: "Marcus Thuram is out of contract at the end of the season, and whether he is cynically upping his game to attract admirers in the market or just genuinely having a good season under a coach he trusts, the results have been impressive. The French international has scored nine Bundesliga goals already this term, and new boss Daniel Farke has put him front-and-centre of his attack, rather than using him in wide areas as his predecessors did.

"As a result, Thuram is getting into really good scoring areas, and he found the net once again in Friday's 3-1 win over Stuttgart. Thuram has had a league-high 49 shots, with the vast majority of those inside the box. He has a personal xG of 8.2, far and away the highest number on his team, and he is outperforming that figure."

Kevin's bet: Back Marcus Thuram to score at 2.76

The Daily Acca: A trio of Championship home wins at 11/1

Paul Robinson says: "On current form, Stoke probably aren't a good bet at 11/10 to beat Luton this evening, but Luton manager, Nathan Jones, has been heavily linked with the Southampton job, it could just be a good time to play the Hatters...

"Coventry are flying up the table following a slow start and fixture postponements, and with 1-0 wins over Blackburn and Watford already in November, I fully expect them to beat Wigan tonight...

"Birmingham have exceeded expectation so far this season, and fresh from an away win at the weekend, I think they are a big price to make it back to back victories."

Paul's bet: Back Stoke, Coventry & Birmingham to Win @ an Odds Boost of 12.0