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Wednesday Football Cheat Sheet: All the best bets in one place

Max Liu
17 May 2023
3:00 min read

De Bruyne struck for City in Madrid. Can he do it again in Manchester?

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Get our experts' best bets for a big night in the Champions League as Man City try to reach the final at Real Madrid's expense while in the Championship Middlesbrough host Coventry in their play-off second leg...

Bet Builders for Man City v Real Madrid
Alex Keble backs Madrid to frustrate hosts
Mark O'Haire's best bet for Boro v Coventry

Man City v Real Madrid: Back 14/1 & 11/1 Bet Builders for Etihad epic

Man City 1.645/8 v Real Madrid 5.79/2, the Draw 4.67/2
20:00
Live on BT Sport 1

Paul Higham says: "City have won their last 15 games at the Etihad so rightly they go in as 6/10 favourites while Real Madrid are a huge price at 4/1 to win the game within the 90 minutes.

Manchester City

Real Madrid

Brighton and Hove Albion 1 1 Manchester City
Manchester City 1 0 Chelsea
Manchester City 4 0 Real Madrid
Everton 0 3 Manchester City
Real Madrid 1 1 Manchester City
Manchester City 2 1 Leeds United

Sevilla 1 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 2 1 Rayo Vallecano
Valencia CF 1 0 Real Madrid
Manchester City 4 0 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 1 0 Getafe
Real Madrid 1 1 Manchester City

Manchester City vs Real Madrid Wednesday 17 May, 20:00

Full stats

"It's 17/5 on the draw, which is the only result that will take us to extra-time and possibly penalties, which is a nice and easy scenario with no away goals these days.

"Either team to win in extra-time at 6/1 looks intriguing going on the first leg and how Real's knockout ties with City and Chelsea last year went. It's 7/1 on the ultimate drama of a penalty shootout to decide who goes to the final.

"It was a tight and tactical affair in the Bernabeu last week with both sides having spells of dominance, both scoring wonderful goals and both keepers making important saves.

"Both teams to score this week is 8/13 and it's hard to imagine that not coming off, while over 2.5 goals is favoured at 4/7 this time with all the firepower on show and the history of goals when these two meet."

Back over 12.5 corners, City over 1.5 cards & Real over 2.5 cards

11/1

Man City v Real Madrid: Real repeating counter model could work

Alex Keble says: "Real will sit back in their stubborn 4-4-2, compressing space between the lines and holding a deep defensive line to stop Erling Haaland getting on the ball.

"It took a long-range shot, with City reduced to this unusual pot-shot tactic, for Kevin de Bruyne to rescue a draw from the first leg.

"It is certainly possible that Man City will be frustrated again, especially after Everton managed to do something similar for most of the first half last weekend.

"Considerably more talented and experienced Real Madrid players will be much better at keeping their shape and waiting for chances to counter-attack at speed through Vinicius Junior.

"Vinicius's battle with Kyle Walker was one of the defining features last week and it will be again, although it is worth noting the Brazilian began to drift infield as the match wore on, escaping Walker in order to isolate the Man City centre-backs instead."

Back the draw @

17/5

Tipman Tips' Champions League Booking Double: Back Rodri and Vinicius Jr at a boosted 11/1

Tipman says: "Referee Szymon Marciniak shows an average of 4.36 cards per game this season and over 26 fouls per game.

"The Polish ref is well known for his World Cup final performance between Argentina and France and showed eight yellows during that match. He likes to stamp his authority early, unlike the ref from the opening leg.

"The two sides average 3.6 cards per game but this is a huge Champions League semi-final with everything to play for, so we expect to see a a full-blooded affair.

"There were five cards shown in the first leg and five cards shown in last year's semi-final second leg at the Bernabeu."

Back Rodri and Vinicius Jr to be booked

11/1

Wednesday Football Tips: Back De Bruyne's shots and a Carvajal card in 9/1 Bet Builder

Paul Higham says: "Kevin De Bruyne [is] for me the undoubted star of this Man City team. Antonio Rudiger was all over Haaland like a cheap suit last week but nobody could stop De Bruyne's arrowed finish into the bottom corner.

"The Belgian playmaker is just 4/6 for a goal or assist but a more juicy 13/5 to have 2+ shots on target.

"It's not a regular occurrence by any means, but he had three in the Bernabeu and has managed this in two of his last three games - and if City are to win this they'll need him to be leading the way.

"Real will be deep to avoid space in behind for Haaland, but De Bruyne will have some room to shoot from range, and on such a big night he's the big-game player who needs to step up."

Back De Bruyne 2+ shots on target & a Carvajal card in Man City v Real Madrid

9/1

Middlesbrough v Coventry: Back Akpom and Gyökeres to hit the target at odds against

Middlesbrough 1.9110/11 v Coventry 4.84/1, the Draw 3.65
20:00
Live on BT Sport 1

Mark O'Haire says: "Middlesbrough 1.88 have managed only three wins across their last 11 matches (W3-D4-L4) as momentum stalled towards the campaign's conclusion.

Middlesbrough

Coventry City

Middlesbrough 0 1 Coventry City
Coventry City 0 0 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 1 1 Coventry City
Rotherham United 1 0 Middlesbrough
Luton Town 2 1 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 3 1 Hull City

Coventry City 1 1 Luton Town
Middlesbrough 0 1 Coventry City
Coventry City 0 0 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 1 1 Coventry City
Coventry City 2 0 Birmingham City
Coventry City 2 1 Reading

Middlesbrough vs Coventry City Wednesday 17 May, 20:00

Full stats

"However, Boro's record at The Riverside remains formidable; the Teessiders have posted W10-D2-L1 in Championship outings here since the World Cup break, plundering 35 goals in the process.

"Coventry 5.00 come into this clash having suffered a solitary reverse in 18 outings (W8-D9-L1) and the Sky Blues are unbeaten in nine successive road trips (W4-D5-L0), conceding just four goals and keeping five clean sheets in that run...

"Akpom has scored 29 goals in all competitions and has landed the bounty in 31 (79%) of 39 appearances for the hosts, whilst averaging 1.43 on-target efforts per-90.

"Meanwhile, Gyökeres has scored more away goals than any other player in the Championship this term. He's managed a SoT in 30 (64%) of 47 outings, averaging 1.27 per-90."

Back Akpom & Gyökeres to have 1 Or More Shots On-Target @ 2.07

2.07

Football Bet of the Day: Glut of goals for Fatih

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul 3.45 v Adana Demirspor 2.01/1, Draw 4.67/2
18:00

Tobias Gourlay says: "We've come to Turkey today to catch Andrea Pirlo's Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul in action against Adana Demirspor. Fatih won this fixture 4-0 last season and we reckon there are more goals on the way this evening.

"Karagumruk have built some strong goal trends at their home ground this season. Both teams have scored in 12/15. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 11/15. And 8/15 have got to Over 3.5 Goals - including six of the most recent nine."

Back Over 3.5 Goals in Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul v Adana Demirspor @

2.04

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