Shakhtar v RB Leipzig: 4/1 hosts are hard to beat

• RB Leipzig need draw to make last-16
• Win would see Shakhtar qualify instead
• Shakhtar won reverse fixture

Shakhtar Donetsk 5.24/1 v RB Leipzig 1.728/11; The Draw 4.216/5
Wednesday 2 November, 17:45
Live on BT Sport 1

Last game shootout to decide second qualifier

This game between Shakhtar and RB Leipzig will decide who qualifies for the last-16 of the Champions League from Group F, alongside Real Madrid.

It's RB Leipzig that currently occupy second place a point behind the Champions League holders. Shakhtar are in third place, three points behind Leipzig.

Having won the reverse fixture 4-1, another victory with Shakhtar would see them move level on points and ahead of the Germans with a superior head-to-head record.

RB Leipzig therefore just need to avoid defeat to make the Champions League knockout stages, while a win would give them a chance of finishing top of the group.

They are certainly in the form to get the result they need. At the weekend Leipzig beat Bayer Leverkusen 2-0, extending their unbeaten run to nine games (W7 D2). This run includes their last Champions League outing, in which they beat Real Madrid 3-2.

Shakhtar are on a five match unbeaten streak themselves, after their 2-2 draw with Oleksandria over the weekend (W2 D3). The Ukrainian club are currently playing their home ties in this competition in Warsaw, Poland. They have drawn 1-1 against both Celtic and Real Madrid in these home ties.

Shakhtar are being underrated

RB Leipzig are the 1.728/11 favourites, with the draw at 4.216/5 and Shakhtar at 5.24/1.

It's hard to see why RB Leipzig are such big favourites. Shakhtar have been extremely competitive in this group with their only defeat being a 2-1 loss at the Bernabeu against Real Madrid. They are unbeaten in the other four games (W1 D3), with their win coming in the reverse fixture.

Shakhtar are 2.285/4 to avoid defeat in the double chance market. This covers the draw, which is a result that would suit RB Leipzig. Both teams to score has landed in all five of Shakhtar's group games and when combined with Shakhtar double chance, you can get odds of 2.93193/100.