English Premier League

Saturday Football Cheat Sheet: 16/1 Bournemouth to beat Arsenal and more Tipster best bets

  • Max Liu
  • 4:00 min read
Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta
Is Arteta set for an anxious Saturday?

Get our experts' best bets for another big day in the Premier League title race, the push for Championship promotion and much more...

  • 15/116.00 Bournemouth backed to Arsenal

  • 10/111.00 Correct score bet for Forest's trip to Blades

  • Bumper batch of Championship bets on final day

  • Bayern Munich and Barcelona tips

  • Read about Betfair's 90 Minute Payout Offer

Premier League Tips and Predictions

12:30 - Arsenal v Bournemouth: Why 15/1 Cherries can cause huge upset

Lewis Jones: "Since the Cherries were beaten 6-1 by Man City in November, Andoni Iraola has masterminded a run of form that has seen Bournemouth take 42 points from 25 games.

"This run of form is backed up by some sensational underlying defensive metrics, suggesting they are unfortunate not to have even more points in their bag.

"In those last 23 games, they are working at an expected goals-against ratio of 1.22 per 90 minutes - a process only bettered by Arsenal, Man City and Liverpool. And, when assessing the xG battles across their last 27 games in all competitions, they have won 21 of them.

"A giant just might be slayed before the season is out, so I'm happy to lay Arsenal and also back Bournemouth to win the game at 16.0 on the Exchange."

Back Bournemouth to beat Arsenal @ 16.0

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15:00 - Burnley v Newcastle: Back the Clarets

Alex Boyes: "Burnley have lost just one of their last eight Premier League games (W2 D5), going down 1-0 at Everton last month. Before the first game in this run, the Clarets were bottom of the table and 10 points from safety, while coming into this weekend's games they're just two points behind 17th.

"Indeed, just 14 of Newcastle's 53 Premier League points this season have come in away games, the lowest percentage of any side this term (26%)."

Back Burnley @ 5/23.50

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15:00 - Sheff Utd v Nottm Forest: Back 1-3 at 10/1

Mike Norman: "Sheffield United have been one of the worst teams to ever grace the Premier League. They haven't won a league game at Bramall Lane for the best part of five months, and they're relegation is already confirmed.

"I don't see them suddenly relaxing and playing well enough to win as that would suggest they've been playing with pressure all season when that's not been the case. They just haven't been good enough and I'll be very surprised if a Nottm Forest team that created so many chances against Man City last week don't win this relatively comfortably."

Prediction: 1-3 @ 10/1

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15:00 - Brentford v Fulham: Back hosts for most cards

Stephen Tudor: "All things considered, this is a tricky one to call from a results perspective, with each side capable of mediocrity and inspiration in equal measure.

"Discipline therefore is the way to go. The hosts are the fifth worst offenders for yellow cards this season while Fulham have cleaned up their act of late, picking up just 1.3 cautions per 90 since March."

Back Brentford most cards @ 6/4

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17:30 - Man City v Wolves: Back O'Neil's men to contribute

Mark O'Haire: "There is a way to back Guardiola's group at a more palatable price by giving Wolves a shot of at least getting on the scoresheet. Man City to win and Both Teams To Score pays [13/8] - an enormous increase on the straight City success, and holds plenty more appeal considering the threat Wolves could cause in transitions.

"With both Cunha and Hwang starting together this season, Wolves have won nine out of 18 games, losing just five. Without one of both of them starting, the Old Gold has claimed only four victories in 17, highlighting their influence. The pair have each racked up 11 Premier League goals with O'Neil's outfit averaging 1.70 goals per-game with the duo involved.

"Considering Man City have conceded in nine of 11 Etihad encounters against teams inside the top-14, as well as leaking here against Luton last time out, the 13/8 stands out as the obvious angle to take in a lopsided betting heat."

Back Man City to win & BTTS @ 13/8

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EFL Championship Tips and Predictions

12:30 - Leeds v Southampton: Whites backed

Mark O'Haire: "Leeds suffered a shock first home Championship loss of the season in their last Elland Road outing against Blackburn, but the Whites should be backed to at least avoid defeat against Southampton on Saturday. Daniel Farke's troops have posted W16-D5-L1 here across the campaign, and comfortably top all the major performance data indicators on home soil.

"In contrast, Southampton have collected only 10 triumphs in 22 road trips, including defeats at top-two teams Leicester and Ipswich. Saints have tabled just two victories on their travels against top-half opposition, whilst picking up a solitary point in their most recent four games as guests since early March. Russell Martin's men have managed three clean sheets in 16.

"I'm therefore happy to oppose a Southampton side that's shipping an average of 1.50 goals per-game outside of St Mary's and so backing Leeds to win and Over 1.5 Goals at 8/11 stands-out. This approach has paid dividends in six of Leeds' seven home wins against fellow top-half teams with the Whites averaging an exceptional 2.02 Expected Goals (xG) as hosts."

Back Leeds to win and Over 1.5 Goals @ 8/11

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12:30 - Ipswich v Huddersfield: Tractor Boys to steamroller sorry Terriers

Mark O'Haire: "Ipswich will be eager to wrap promotion up in-style in front of a capacity Portman Road crowd and bedraggled Huddersfield could be the most forgiving opposition in the Championship this weekend. There are various potential ways to profit from a one-sided Tractor Boys triumph, including the Half-Time/Full-Time market where Ipswich are [1.77].

"Kieran McKenna's crew boast a W13-D2-L0 home record when entertaining teams outside of the top-eight this term, striking at least twice in each victory. In fact, Ipswich have scored three goals or more in 10 of those 13 triumphs and a similar haul could be in the offing - backing Ipswich to score Over 2.5 Goals holds plenty of appeal at [19/20] quotes."

Back Ipswich to score Over 2.5 Goals @ 19/20

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12:30 - Birmingham City v Norwich City: Back 9/2 Blues

NTT20: "Birmingham are well found in the market and wouldn't be anywhere near the 5/4 they are if this was priced up purely on form and quality.

"It's understandable though that they are favourites given what's at stake, and the 9/2 about a draw at half-time and then a home win at the end looks a savvy way to get Birmingham on side."

Back Draw at HT and Birmingham to win @ 9/2

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European Football Tips and Predictions

14:30 - Stuttgart v Bayern Munich: Kane to move closer to history

Kevin Hatchard: "Although I expect coach Thomas Tuchel to make wholesale changes ahead of the second leg of the Champions League sem-final in Spain, he can't take too many liberties against a Stuttgart side that could still overhaul Bayern in the race for second place. Last weekend, Stuttgart were just moments away from becoming the first team to beat Bayer Leverkusen, but they had to settle for a 2-2 draw.

"Stuttgart have been outstanding this term, but they lost 3-0 to Bayern at the Allianz Arena, and they look a little short at 2.18. VfB have only won two of their last five league games, and they have leaked seven goals along the way.

"Rather than back Bayern to pick up a positive result, the price for Harry Kane to score at any time really stands out at 2.3. Kane has 35 league goals, six short of equalling Robert Lewandowski's record of 41 in a single Bundesliga season. The pragmatic and sensible thing to do would probably be to rest Kane, but with the England captain chasing that record and looking to stay in rhythm, I think there's a good chance he'll start."

Back Harry Kane to score at 2.3

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17:30 - Girona v Barcelona: Goals to flow

Jamie Kemp: "Along with six goals, the reverse fixture between Barcelona and Girona had a combined 46 shots and 92 touches in the penalty area - both of which remain the most in a single game in La Liga this season. Indeed, the 18 shots on target is second only to another game in which Girona were involved this term (21 v Atletico Madrid in January).

"Despite all the potential storylines from Girona's perspective, it's not to say that this will be an easy game or another three points in waiting. Barcelona's form has been steady since Xavi announced he would step down (although he's since walked that back), and their only defeat in their last 12 in La Liga came away from home in the Clasico - a game they lost in added time.

"In the absence of picking a result for fear of an end-to-end, chaotic game opening up and just about anything happening, I'll stick with there to be plenty of goals at Montilivi. As well as that, a goal or assist for Ilkay Gundogan looks a decent bet - he's been a menace from set pieces this season (12 assists in all competitions) and scored in the reverse fixture against Girona in December."

Back over 3.5 goals and Ilkay Gundogan to score or assist @ 10/3

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