English Premier League

Premier League Tipsheet: Five stand-out bets for Saturday from 13/10 to 9/1

Dominic Solanke, Bournemouth
Solanke has form scoring against the top six this season

Ste Tudor highlights where the goals and three points will likely be found to get this weekend started...


Arsenal v Bournemouth (12:30) - Under pressure

In Dominic Solanke and Justin Kluivert the Cherries have players who can hurt Arsenal in transition and Andoni Iraola's men head to the capital in good spirits after posting back-to-back wins to nil.

Their 3-0 triumph over Brighton last Sunday saw them boss every meaningful stat despite only having 30% possession. That obviously bodes well for the Emirates.

Chances will likely come their way too, with the Gunners giving up an xG against of 2.42 in the NLD and 1.68 vs Chelsea. That's hardly a burst dam but it is a significant increase on weeks prior as the title-chasing pressure starts to take effect.

Up front, the free-scoring continues unabated however, epitomized by Kai Havertz, a player not usually known for his prolificacy. The German attacker boasts eight goals and five assists in his last 11 starts.

He has also been booked three times in his last six outings, which makes the 5/1 available on him being carded a must.

Arsenal have still to concede before the 44th minute in 2024 but may take time to assert their superiority here against an in-form opponent.

Back Havertz to be carded and under 1.5 goals in first half @ 9/110.00

Bet here

Brentford v Fulham (15:00) - Saintly Cottagers

Willian and Andreas Pereira are the obvious dangermen for the visitors, the former's tally of 69 passes into an opponent's box this term only bettered by Bruno Fernandes and Martin Odegaard. As for Pereira, he is fifth in the Premier League for key passes and pertinently his last five goal involvements have all come on the road.

Regarding the Bees, a lacklustre display at Goodison last week stalled momentum built up from a five-game unbeaten run, and it will concern Thomas Frank how easily his attacking roster were neutralized, limited to half-chances.

Idrissa Gueye's strike incidentally also continued the trend for Brentford to concede after the break. Twenty-two of their 29 goals against in 2024 have come in the second period.

All things considered, this is a tricky one to call from a results perspective, with each side capable of mediocrity and inspiration in equal measure.

Discipline therefore is the way to go. The hosts are the fifth worst offenders for yellow cards this season while Fulham have cleaned up their act of late, picking up just 1.3 cautions per 90 since March.

Back Brentford most cards @ 6/42.50

Bet here

Burnley v Newcastle (15:00) - Hot and cold Magpies

Newcastle's 2.2 goals per game is their best ratio in the top-flight for 72 years. Overall, they have scored just three fewer than Liverpool who were firmly in the title hunt until just last week.

Yet Eddie Howe's men sit seventh, a million miles away from a Champions League spot.

Injuries partly account for this, as well as a defence that has shipped in a hefty 55 goals. That's 22 more than last term with four to play.

A consistently poor away record is another factor that should not be ignored. Four wins in 16 smacks of being too open for their own good come-what-may.

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The Clarets will source genuine encouragement from all this but more so be buoyed by their impressive revival that has seen them lose only once in eight.

In early March they were down. Done. Now they're right in the mix.

Jacob Bruun Larsen's goals have helped in this regard but most intriguing is Lyle Foster's shot habits when stationed up top.

In his last two outings as Burnley's number nine, the South African forward has committed to three shots apiece in the first half - with four of the six on target - before drifting out of games.

Back BTTS and Foster to have 2 or more shots in the first half @ 16/54.20

Bet here

Sheff Utd v Nottingham Forest (15:00) - Knock on Wood

After enduring a thoroughly miserable campaign the Blades finally succumbed to the inevitable last week, their legacy from a nine-month stint in the top-flight largely amounting to breaking all the wrong kinds of records.

Yet ironically, their fate being sealed makes Chris Wilder's side more interesting this weekend, to last. Now the pressure is off. For the first time this season they can play with a bit of freedom.

This at least makes them unpredictable.

How though can we possibly overlook the pitiful manner in which they fought against the odds, conceding every 27 minutes in 2024 alone. They may offer a little bit more going forward, and the visitors will definitely be the more tentative of the two. But this is a rearguard that hemorrhages goals as per.

Which brings us to Chris Wood who has repeatedly knocked at the door in his last few outings and bagged four in four prior to that.
The targetman notched a late winner when these sides met way back in August.

Back Wood to score anytime @ 13/102.30

Bet here

Man City v Wolves (15:00) - Where's Kevin?

Every team fears Kevin De Bruyne when encountering Manchester City but Wolves have more reasons to than most.

Two seasons ago the Belgian schemer put in a display of sheer individual brilliance, scoring four times at Molineux and what is interesting to note is how similar the situation was then to now.

With less than a handful of games remaining this was a must-win for City, as they attempted to fend off a relentless title rival. Wolves meanwhile were mid-table, their race run.

All told, De Bruyne has conjured up 10 goal involvements in eight previous league meetings with Wolves, a side that has managed to keep one clean sheet since late January.

In sustained sensational form he has assisted every 86 minutes in 2023/24.

The return of Phil Foden is another cause for concern for Gary O'Neil's side, this season's Player of the Year hot favourite scoring five in his last two outings, and it's easy to deduce how the visitors plan to negate these twin threats.

Patrolling the midfield, Joao Gomes has committed the second highest number of fouls in the top-flight this term while as a team Wolves are guilty of 12.5 per game, a league low.

Back De Bruyne to assist and Gomes to be carded @ 18/5

Bet here

Read Jack Critchley's Saturday Championship tips here


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