League One Betting: Make a profit out of the super Shakers for Saturday

New Bury manager Lee Clark has been an instant success at Gigg Lane
New Bury manager Lee Clark has been an instant success at Gigg Lane

Alan Dudman enjoyed a clean sweep of League One winning bets on Tuesday, and he is sticking with Bury, Fleetwood and Shrewsbury to make a profit for this weekend...


"However, my hunch is to play it safe with backing Bury. Clark has now collected 13 points from 15 available since he took over at Gigg Lane, and his team looked as though they had a real spring in their step on Tuesday night."

Back Bury to win @ 2.407/5

Shrewsbury Town 2.265/4 v Coventry City 3.4012/5, the draw 3.505/2


Once again we have a Shrewsbury match where the hosts should be a bit shorter, and the visitors should probably be nearer to 4.03/1. I highlighted this for Salop's Tuesday's game with Charlton - and they won 4-3, so we go in once more with a punt on the home victory.

The three points against the Addicks in midweek represented Shrewsbury's fifth successive League One victory at the Greenhous, and according to Opta stats, only Fleetwood Town have won more points from their last ten matches (24) than the Shrews (20). Yet we can back them at 2.255/4.

If that wasn't glum enough for Coventry fans, Opta reveal that Shrewsbury have lost only once in 15 home league fixtures with the Sky Blues (W10 D4).

My last column highlighted what a great job Paul Hurst has done at Greenhous Meadow, and he's the right man to warn against any sort of complacency in facing the rock-bottom team in the division. Hurst mentioned he actually enjoyed watching the thrilling success against Charlton. It was a real end-to-end match and Town attempted plenty of shots that night with nearly 60% of the ball.

West Brom loanee Tyler Roberts received a standing ovation after his Tuesday stint. The 18-year-old bagged his third goal for the club (and also has three assists) playing in the No10 role, and he is causing defences all sorts of problems. The hosts also have width to the side and they have now scored 12 goals in their previous six matches at home.

With Coventry's away record of just one success all season, it's easy to pass on them. They have shipped 36 goals on the road with just one clean sheet all season - and facing an opponent in form with an average of two goals per match makes Shrewbsury once again the bet.

Recommended Bet
Back Shrewsbury Town to win 0.5pt @ 2.265/4


Scunthorpe United 2.305/4 v Fleetwood Town 3.505/2, the draw 3.6013/5


February has been a rotten month for Scunthorpe. For the team currently second in the table, their form reads LDDDLL. Iron chairman Peter Swann has urged fans not to get on the players' backs and has asked them not to panic due to the recent run of poor results.

We shouldn't forget they have been a decent side though, and they are the division's top scorers with 34 at home this term. Before their recent wobbly run - they had enjoyed a fantastic unbeaten record of 26 league games at Glanford Park. I am wary of the hosts here.

However, Fleetwood are a massive price considering they haven't been beaten since November, and victory for Uwe Rosler's team can take them above Saturday's opponents into second place.

Rosler's team adapted well to a physical Northampton approach last weekend (and won 3-0), once again showing their skills down their flanks with their wing-backs. They play well on the counter-attack, and often expose a team's midfield out wide.

Opta speak favourably about an away victory too. Scunthorpe have won just once in six league matches with the Cod Army, whilst Fleetwood have scored in 32 of their 34 games in the third tier this term (more than any other side).

The visitors will be fresher as they didn't play on Tuesday, and they have recently beaten league leaders Sheffield United 0-2 at Bramall Lane. I expect a close Under 2.5 match here as four of the Iron's last six have crossed the line for that bet, whilst Fleetwood's last six away matches have all been Under 2.5.

Recommended Bet
Back Fleetwood Town Draw No Bet 0.5pt @ 2.608/5


Bury 2.407/5 v Gillingham 3.2011/5, the draw 3.6013/5


There have been a league-high 115 goals scored in League One matches involving Bury this term according to Opta, but the spectre of having the worst defence in the third tier is gradually fading away as new boss Lee Clark saw his Shakers collect a crucial 2-1 victory against Coventry on Tuesday.

Goals should be the order of the day here, and the Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score markets are sure to be popular. Gillingham are not in the greatest of form, and five of their last seven matches have ended that way. Backers of the BTTS have been in clover though with the Gills - all nine of their previous games have produced the goods.

Throw in Gillngham's record of just two clean sheets all season - which is fewer than any other team in the league according to Opta - there are several ways to play a potential high-scoring game.

However, my hunch is to play it safe with backing Bury. Clark has now collected 13 points from 15 available since he took over at Gigg Lane, and his team looked as though they had a real spring in their step on Tuesday night. Strikers James Vaughan and Tom Pope both scored, with the former now on 19 goals from 28 starts. Pope is the target man, and these two will be a handful for any defence.

Bury also have a knack of producing some quality young footballers, and Tuesday was the turn of 16-year-old Callum Styles to impress in the midfield. He bossed the game and supplied an assist for Pope to earn rave reviews. He played with no fear in midweek and according to the match reports, Bury played with a fair bit of confidence.

Gillingham are dangerous on the recent Southend victory, but they concede too many goals to be interested in backing them for Saturday.

Recommended Bet
Back Bury to win 0.5pt @ 2.407/5


*You can read more League One tips as well as Ian Lamont's thoughts on the week's League Two action (who is showing a profit of over 40 points this term) by visiting our dedicated English Football League section here on Betting.Betfair.


Alan Dudman's P&L 2016/17

League One: +1.52

FA Cup: +8.05

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