Tuesday Football Cheat Sheet: Champions League best bets

• 6/17.00 Bet Builder for BVB v Newcastle

• Young Boys backed on handicap at Man City

• Atleti look too good for Celtic

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Champions League Tips & Predictions

17:45 - Borussia Dortmund v Newcastle: Back BVB to edge tired Toon and 6/1 Bet Builder

Paul Higham: "The Magpies have given away 14 and 15 fouls in two of their last three games - and also eclipsed 12 fouls in two of their three Champions League games so far.

"And don't think Dortmund can't put their foot in either, and despite them being bigger at 11/10 for 12+ fouls that's actually landed in three of their last four.

"Dortmund gave away 15 fouls at St James' Park so even if they have the crowd on their side this time they could certainly reach 12 again this time.

"We'll complete a Bet Builder treble here by backing Dortmund for 5+ shots on target at 4/6 - just as they managed in the first game against Newcastle. Dortmund have had 5+ shots on target in four of their last six games, and in Newcastle's last Champions League road trip they faced eight shots on target at AC Milan from 25 attempts."

17:45 - Shakhtar Donetsk v Barcelona Tips: No UCL cakewalk for Barca

Andy Schooler: "Siding with Shakhtar in the handicap market, where they get a two-goal start, looks to have potential. They covered this in the reverse fixture and, as already explained, six of Barca's seven UCL opponents have managed it when hosting them in the past couple of years.

"The worry is that Shakhtar will be missing two of their regulars in the starting XI from a fortnight ago - Yukhym Konoplya is suspended and midfielder Artem Bondarenko injured.

"That said, Barca will also be missing Gavi (banned), while star striker Robert Lewandowski is only just back form an ankle injury and has failed to score in his last five appearances."

20:00 - Man City v Young Boys: If Erling Haaland is missing, back Swiss side on handicap

Lewis Jones: "There's a fine line between bravery and stupidity - and this bet won't be for everyone, but I'm confident that Young Boys rate as the value call in the handicap market. I'm happy to row in with the 1.95 on offer for them on the Asian Handicap with a +2.75 start on the Exchange.

"This means we'll cop a full return if they win, draw or lose by one or two goals. If they lose by exactly three goals, we'll get a half stakes loss and if City run riot by four or more then we'll suffer a full stakes loss.

"My desire to give City a swerve revolves around Erling Haaland potentially being given the night off, owing to an ankle injury sustained on Saturday.

"Explaining his reasoning for removing his striker at half time, Guardiola told Match of the Day: "We didn't want to take risks with him, he didn't feel comfortable. He'll be back maybe Tuesday but maybe next Sunday."

"Haaland hasn't started in 12 games across all competitions since signing for Manchester City - and their aggregate score in those matches works out as 20-7. Not the usual tub-thumping numbers we expect.

"In fact, they have lost three of their last six fixtures without scoring when Haaland isn't in the starting XI - in defeats to Southampton, Brentford and Newcastle."

20:00 - Atletico Madrid v Celtic: Bhoys no match for Simeone's strutters

Mark O'Haire: "Atletico have won all six of their home fixtures across all competitions this term, striking at least twice in each with all six also featuring Both Teams To Score 2.10 winners.

"Celtic are winless in 13 Champions League days (W0-D3-L10), have lost each of their last six trips to Spanish sides in this competition (shipping 22 goals) and have managed a solitary shutout in their most recent 34 UCL showdowns. In this season's competition, the Bhoys have taken the fewest shots and produced the lowest Expected Goals (xG) output.

"With that in-mind, I'm quite happy to support Atletico Madrid to win and Over 2.5 Goals at 5/6. It's a wager that's banked in eight of Los Colchoneros's nine victories across all competitions in 2023/24, whilst Celtic have shipped at least two goals in all three of their group-stage games thus far."

20:00 - AC Milan v PSG: Back the away win at 5/4

Dan Fitch: "In their last Champions League outing, Milan were beaten 3-0 in the reverse fixture. It's part of a run of four games without a win (D1 L3). Failing to beat Juventus, PSG and Napoli is no disgrace, but their 1-0 home defeat to Udinese on Saturday was a worrying result.

"In contrast, PSG have won all five games since losing to Newcastle at St James' Park. At the weekend they defeated Montpellier 3-0, leaving them two points clear at the top of Ligue 1.

"Based on Milan's form, we have to fancy the away win. Odds of 5/4 for a PSG victory are pretty chunky, so let's just go for a straight win, without complicating matters."

20:00 - Porto v Antwerp: Belgian champs to look like chumps

Kevin Hatchard: "Porto have had some struggles domestically (they lost at home to Estoril at the weekend and are six points off top spot), but they have already racked up six points in the Champions League, and another win here would put them within touching distance of the last 16.

"I'll use the Sportsbook's Bet Builder to back Porto to win, Mehdi Taremi to have a shot on target and Over 7.5 Corners at 1.98.

"Taremi's shot numbers have dipped slightly this season, but he's generally someone who averages well over a shot on target per 90, and he's already had four shots on target in this Champions League campaign.

"In terms of corners, Porto's games in the Primeira Liga average 11.5 corners per game, and there were ten corners in the reverse fixture."

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