Premier League Opta Stats: Best bets for Matchday 34 this weekend

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Sunderland v Nottm Forest - Back Tricky Trees

Friday 24 April, 20:00, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

Only Crystal Palace's Premier League games (71) have seen fewer goals this season than Sunderland's (76), with their 4-3 defeat to Aston Villa last time out making up 9% of the goals scored in games involving the Black Cats in 2025-26.

Nottingham Forest are unbeaten in their last five Premier League matches (W2 D3), their best run of the season. They last had a longer run across December and January last season (eight games).

Fulham v Aston Villa - Back Villans to win without conceding

Saturday 25 April, 12:30, Live on TNT

The Opta Stat: 

Aston Villa have won their last six Premier League games against Fulham, since a 3-0 loss in October 2022. Fulham have failed to score in four of their last five Premier League matches, as many as in their previous 25 combined. They've had 71 shots over these five games and scored just three times, a conversion of 4.2%.

The Bet: Back Villa to win to nil @ 7/24.50

Liverpool v Crystal Palace - Back Salah to strike again

Saturday 25 April, 15:00

The Opta Stat: 

Liverpool's Mohamed Salah has scored in each of his last three Premier League starts (three goals), having only scored two goals in his previous 14 starts. He'll be 33 years and 314 days on the day of this game, with Cristiano Ronaldo the last player that old to score in four starts in a row in the competition (37 years, 86 days in May 2022).

The Bet: Back Salah to score @ 11/102.11

West Ham v Everton - Back Wilson to extend goals against Toffees run

Saturday 25 April, 15:00

The Opta Stat: 

Callum Wilson has scored eight goals in his last seven Premier League appearances against Everton; indeed, only against his current side West Ham has he netted more times overall in the competition (12).

The Bet: Back Wilson to score @ 2/13.00

Wolves v Tottenham - Back Wolves to deny Spurs

Saturday 25 April, 15:00

The Opta Stat: 

Wolves are unbeaten in their last six Premier League games against Spurs (W4 D2), with their four wins in that time just one fewer than they had in their first 17 against them in the competition (W5 D3 L9).

The Bet: Back Wolves and Draw @ 1/12.00

Read Lewis Jones on why Wolves are a "must-bet"

Arsenal v Newcastle - Back Gunners to win narrowly

Saturday 25 April, 17:30, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

Following their 2-1 win at St James' Park in September, Arsenal are looking to complete the league double over Newcastle for the first time since 2020-21. 

Newcastle are winless in their last 13 Premier League away games against Arsenal (D1 L12), and have scored just one goal in their last nine visits to the Emirates Stadium.

Man Utd v Brentford - Back home win with goals at both ends

Monday 27 April, 20:00, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

Since losing 1-0 to Everton in November, Manchester United have scored in 21 consecutive Premier League matches. It's their longest scoring run since Alex Ferguson retired - they last scored in that many in a row 
between November 2012 and April 2013 (23). 

Manchester United lost 2-1 to Leeds United in their last home Premier league match, but they haven't suffered consecutive home league defeats since May 2025.

Now read Kevin Hatchard's tips for the pick of this weekend's European football