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class="entry_header"> <h1 class="entry_header__title">What The Stats Say: Wolves can inflict Hammer blow</h1> <ul class="entry_header__meta"> <li><a href="https://betting.betfair.com/authors/dan-fitch/">Dan Fitch</a></li> <li><time datetime="2020-09-24">24 September 2020</time></li> <li>Three minutes min read</li> </ul> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "NewsArticle", "headline": "What The Stats Say: Wolves can inflict Hammer blow", "name": "What The Stats Say: Wolves can inflict Hammer blow", "description": "Using Opta Stats, Dan Fitch picks out his best Premier League bets and he especially likes the price for Wolves to win away at West Ham.", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/football/opta/what-the-opta-stats-say-tips-wolves-can-inflict-hammer-blow-240920-629.html", "mainEntityOfPage": "https://betting.betfair.com/football/opta/what-the-opta-stats-say-tips-wolves-can-inflict-hammer-blow-240920-629.html", "datePublished": "2020-09-24T17:45:00+01:00", "dateModified": "2020-09-24T17:47:00+01:00", "articleBody": "Using Opta Stats, Dan Fitch picks out his best Premier League bets and he especially likes the price for Wolves to win away at West Ham. More defensive issues for United Brighton [5.1] v Manchester United [1.83]; The Draw [3.9] Saturday 26 September, 12:30 Live on BT Sport 1 "Neal Maupay was involved in all three of Brighton's goals in their 3-0 win against Newcastle last weekend (2 goals, 1 assist.)" With Brighton looking so dangerous going forward against Newcastle and Manchester United so poor defensively against Crystal Palace, both teams to score should land at [1.84]. Positional change not reflected by odds Crystal Palace [3.95] v Everton [2.14]; The Draw [3.5] Saturday 26 September, 15:00 Live on Amazon Prime "Crystal Palace's Wilfried Zaha has scored three goals in his two league games so far this season, netting the winner in both matches. It's just one goal fewer than he scored in 38 Premier League games last season." Zaha has been playing as a striker and considering that positional change, odds of [4.5] for him to continue his scoring streak are far too big. Three points for Chelsea West Brom [9.8] v Chelsea [1.4]; The Draw [5.3] Saturday 26 September, 17:00 Live on Sky Sports Main Event "West Brom have conceded more goals than any other Premier League side so far this season (8); indeed, their eight goals against is the most they've ever shipped in their first two games of a league campaign." Chelsea have the attacking talent to take advantage of West Brom's defensive shortcomings, with an away win and over 2.5 goals available at [2.0]. Burnley will breach Saints defence Burnley [3.3] v Southampton [2.42]; The Draw [3.4] Saturday 26 September, 20:00 Live on Sky Sports Main Event "Since Ralph Hasenhüttl's first game in charge in December 2018, Southampton have dropped more points from winning positions than any other Premier League side (37), letting a further three slip from a 1-0 lead in their defeat vs Spurs last weekend." Southampton's defensive issues were badly exposed against Tottenham and you can back both teams to score at [1.87]. Leeds are new entertainers Sheffield United [2.8] v Leeds [2.8]; The Draw [3.5] Sunday 27 September, 12:00 Live on BT Sport 1 "Leeds United's first two Premier League games this season have seen 14 goals scored (7 for, 7 against), more than in any other team's first two matches of a Premier League campaign. They are the first top-flight side to both score and concede seven goals in their first two matches since Liverpool in the 1932-33 season." It looks like Leeds are going to be an extremely entertaining team to watch this season and over 2.5 goals seems big at [2.08]. Kane is able Tottenham [1.49] v Newcastle [8.2]; The Draw [4.8] Sunday 27 September, 14:00 Live on Sky Sports Main Event "Harry Kane assisted all four of Son Heung-min's goals in Tottenham's 5-2 victory at Southampton last weekend. Since the start of 2015-16, the pair have combined for more Premier League goals than any other duo in the competition (24)." Kane's fine form since returning from injury after lockdown has gone under the radar a little. The England captain is [1.83] to score. Home win but Foxes can steal goal Manchester City [1.31] v Leicester [11.0]; The Draw [6.6] Sunday 27 September, 16:30 Live on Sky Sports Main Event "Manchester City have won six of their last seven Premier League games against Leicester City, losing the other 1-2 on Boxing Day in the 2018-19 season." The hosts should have too much for Leicester again, but it seems likely to be competitive. A home win and both teams to score is [2.5]. Third straight defeat for Hammers West Ham [3.8] v Wolves [2.2]; The Draw [3.5] Sunday 27 September, 19:00 Live on BT Sport 1 "Wolves have won both of their Premier League visits to the London Stadium since their promotion in 2018 - it's the first time they have ever won back-to-back away league games at West Ham." With West Ham losing both of their first two Premier League games, Wolves look a little overpriced to inflict another defeat at [2.2]. No clean sheets at Cottage Fulham [3.1] v Aston Villa [2.62]; The Draw [3.4] Monday 28 September, 17:45 Live on Sky Sports Main Event "Aston Villa haven't kept a clean sheet in any of their last 26 away games in the top-flight, since a 0-0 draw vs West Brom in January 2016." Fulham have conceded seven goals in two games, so both teams to score seems a safe bet at [1.84]. Goals will flow at Anfield Liverpool [1.53] v Arsenal [6.6]; The Draw [5.0] Monday 28 September, 20:00 Live on Sky Sports Main Event "Since Jürgen Klopp's first Premier League game in charge of Liverpool, only Manchester City (35 v Watford & 30 v Bournemouth) have scored more goals against a side than his Liverpool team has versus Arsenal (27)." Arsenal have started the season in fine goalscoring form and over 3.5 goals is worth backing at [2.5].", "image":[ "https://betting.cdnppb.net/football/Nuno Celebrating 1280.728x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/football/Nuno Celebrating 1280.547x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/football/Nuno Celebrating 1280.410x410.jpg" ], "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Betting.Betfair", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/assets/img/betfairlogoblack.ea48b4e0.png" }, "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/" }, "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Dan Fitch", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/authors/dan_fitch" } } </script> </header> <div class="two_column_layout"> <main class="entry_main"> <div class="entry_img"> <img src="//betting.cdnppb.net/football/Nuno Celebrating 1280.728x410.jpg" srcset="//betting.cdnppb.net/football/Nuno Celebrating 1280.450x253.jpg 450w, //betting.cdnppb.net/football/Nuno Celebrating 1280.600x338.jpg 600w, //betting.cdnppb.net/football/Nuno Celebrating 1280.728x410.jpg 728w" alt="Wolves manager Nuno."> <figcaption class="entry_img__caption">Will the Wolves manager Nuno be celebrating after his visit to West Ham?</figcaption> </div> <div class="entry_actions"> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBGC01B10G30A&prod=90&rfr=977214">Join</a> </div> <div> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--twitter"> <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet/?text=What%20The%20Stats%20Say%3A%20Wolves%20can%20inflict%20Hammer%20blow&url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ffootball%2Fopta%2Fwhat-the-opta-stats-say-tips-wolves-can-inflict-hammer-blow-240920-629.html" target="_blank" title="Twitter"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--twitter">Twitter</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--facebook"> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ffootball%2Fopta%2Fwhat-the-opta-stats-say-tips-wolves-can-inflict-hammer-blow-240920-629.html" target="_blank" title="Facebook"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--facebook">Facebook</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--reddit"> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/submit/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ffootball%2Fopta%2Fwhat-the-opta-stats-say-tips-wolves-can-inflict-hammer-blow-240920-629.html" target="_blank" title="Reddit"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--reddit">Reddit</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--whatsapp"> <a href="https://api.whatsapp.com/send?text=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ffootball%2Fopta%2Fwhat-the-opta-stats-say-tips-wolves-can-inflict-hammer-blow-240920-629.html" target="_blank" title="WhatsApp"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--whatsapp">WhatsApp</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--telegram"> <a href="https://t.me/share/url?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ffootball%2Fopta%2Fwhat-the-opta-stats-say-tips-wolves-can-inflict-hammer-blow-240920-629.html&text=What%20The%20Stats%20Say%3A%20Wolves%20can%20inflict%20Hammer%20blow" target="_blank" title="Telegram"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--telegram">Telegram</span></a> </div> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="#betslip">View the Betslip</a> </div> </div> <div class="entry_body has-odds"> <div class="entry_body__intro"><p><strong>Using Opta Stats, Dan Fitch picks out his best Premier League bets and he especially likes the price for Wolves to win away at West Ham.</strong></p></div> <div class="entry_body__quote"> <blockquote><p>“Wolves have won both of their Premier League visits to the London Stadium since their promotion in 2018 – it’s the first time they have ever won back-to-back away league games at West Ham.”</p> <p><a href="http://btfr.co/173043151" target="_blank">With West Ham losing both of their first two Premier League games, Wolves look a little overpriced to inflict another defeat at <b class="inline_odds" title="6/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">2.2</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">6/5</span></b>.</a></p></blockquote> </div> <div class="entry_body__content"> <div class="editor"> <p><strong><h2>More defensive issues for United</h2></strong><p><span>Brighton <b class="inline_odds" title="4/1"><span class="inline_odds__main">5.1</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4/1</span></b> v Manchester United <b class="inline_odds" title="4/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.83</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4/5</span></b>; The Draw 3.9</span><br> <strong>Saturday 26 September, 12:30</strong><br> <strong>Live on BT Sport 1</strong> </p><p>"Neal Maupay was involved in all three of Brighton's goals in their 3-0 win against Newcastle last weekend (2 goals, 1 assist.)"</p><p><span>With Brighton looking so dangerous going forward against Newcastle and Manchester United so poor defensively against Crystal Palace, both teams to score should land at <b class="inline_odds" title="5/6"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.84</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">5/6</span></b>.</span></p><p><strong><h2>Positional change not reflected by odds</h2></strong></p><p><span>Crystal Palace <b class="inline_odds" title="3/1"><span class="inline_odds__main">3.95</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">3/1</span></b> v Everton <b class="inline_odds" title="11/10"><span class="inline_odds__main">2.14</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">11/10</span></b>; The Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="5/2"><span class="inline_odds__main">3.5</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">5/2</span></b></span><br> <strong>Saturday 26 September, 15:00</strong><br> <strong>Live on Amazon Prime</strong> </p><p>"Crystal Palace's Wilfried Zaha has scored three goals in his two league games so far this season, netting the winner in both matches. It's just one goal fewer than he scored in 38 Premier League games last season."</p><p><span>Zaha has been playing as a striker and considering that positional change, odds of <b class="inline_odds" title="7/2"><span class="inline_odds__main">4.5</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">7/2</span></b> for him to continue his scoring streak are far too big.</span></p><p><strong><h2>Three points for Chelsea</h2></strong></p><p><span>West Brom <b class="inline_odds" title="9/1"><span class="inline_odds__main">9.8</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">9/1</span></b> v Chelsea <b class="inline_odds" title="2/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.4</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">2/5</span></b>; The Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="9/2"><span class="inline_odds__main">5.3</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">9/2</span></b></span><br> <strong>Saturday 26 September, 17:00</strong><br> <strong>Live on Sky Sports Main Event</strong> </p><p>"West Brom have conceded more goals than any other Premier League side so far this season (8); indeed, their eight goals against is the most they've ever shipped in their first two games of a league campaign."</p><p><span>Chelsea have the attacking talent to take advantage of West Brom's defensive shortcomings, with an away win and over 2.5 goals available at <b class="inline_odds" title="1/1"><span class="inline_odds__main">2.0</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">1/1</span></b>.</span></p><p><strong><h2>Burnley will breach Saints defence</h2></strong></p><p><span>Burnley <b class="inline_odds" title="9/4"><span class="inline_odds__main">3.3</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">9/4</span></b> v Southampton <b class="inline_odds" title="7/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">2.42</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">7/5</span></b>; The Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="12/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">3.4</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">12/5</span></b></span><br> <strong>Saturday 26 September, 20:00</strong><br> <strong>Live on Sky Sports Main Event</strong> </p><p>"Since Ralph Hasenhüttl's first game in charge in December 2018, Southampton have dropped more points from winning positions than any other Premier League side (37), letting a further three slip from a 1-0 lead in their defeat vs Spurs last weekend."</p><p><span>Southampton's defensive issues were badly exposed against Tottenham and you can back both teams to score at <b class="inline_odds" title="5/6"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.87</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">5/6</span></b>.</span></p><p><strong><h2>Leeds are new entertainers</h2></strong></p><p><span>Sheffield United <b class="inline_odds" title="9/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">2.8</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">9/5</span></b> v Leeds <b class="inline_odds" title="9/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">2.8</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">9/5</span></b>; The Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="5/2"><span class="inline_odds__main">3.5</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">5/2</span></b></span><br> <strong>Sunday 27 September, 12:00</strong><br> <strong>Live on BT Sport 1 </strong></p><p>"Leeds United's first two Premier League games this season have seen 14 goals scored (7 for, 7 against), more than in any other team's first two matches of a Premier League campaign. They are the first top-flight side to both score and concede seven goals in their first two matches since Liverpool in the 1932-33 season."</p><p><span>It looks like Leeds are going to be an extremely entertaining team to watch this season and over 2.5 goals seems big at <b class="inline_odds" title="11/10"><span class="inline_odds__main">2.08</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">11/10</span></b>.</span></p><p><strong><h2>Kane is able</h2></strong></p><p><span>Tottenham <b class="inline_odds" title="1/2"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.49</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">1/2</span></b> v Newcastle <b class="inline_odds" title="7/1"><span class="inline_odds__main">8.2</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">7/1</span></b>; The Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="4/1"><span class="inline_odds__main">4.8</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4/1</span></b></span><br> <strong>Sunday 27 September, 14:00</strong><br> <strong>Live on Sky Sports Main Event</strong> </p><p>"Harry Kane assisted all four of Son Heung-min's goals in Tottenham's 5-2 victory at Southampton last weekend. Since the start of 2015-16, the pair have combined for more Premier League goals than any other duo in the competition (24)."</p><p><span>Kane's fine form since returning from injury after lockdown has gone under the radar a little. The England captain is <b class="inline_odds" title="4/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.83</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4/5</span></b> to score.</span> </p><p><strong><h2>Home win but Foxes can steal goal</h2></strong></p><p><span>Manchester City <b class="inline_odds" title="30/100"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.31</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">30/100</span></b> v Leicester <b class="inline_odds" title="10/1"><span class="inline_odds__main">11.0</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">10/1</span></b>; The Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="11/2"><span class="inline_odds__main">6.6</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">11/2</span></b></span><br> <strong>Sunday 27 September, 16:30</strong><br> <strong>Live on Sky Sports Main Event</strong> </p><p>"Manchester City have won six of their last seven Premier League games against Leicester City, losing the other 1-2 on Boxing Day in the 2018-19 season."</p><p><span>The hosts should have too much for Leicester again, but it seems likely to be competitive. A home win and both teams to score is <b class="inline_odds" title="6/4"><span class="inline_odds__main">2.5</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">6/4</span></b>.</span></p><p><strong><h2>Third straight defeat for Hammers</h2></strong></p><p><span>West Ham <b class="inline_odds" title="14/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">3.8</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">14/5</span></b> v Wolves <b class="inline_odds" title="6/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">2.2</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">6/5</span></b>; The Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="5/2"><span class="inline_odds__main">3.5</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">5/2</span></b></span><br> <strong>Sunday 27 September, 19:00</strong><br> <strong>Live on BT Sport 1 </strong></p><p>"Wolves have won both of their Premier League visits to the London Stadium since their promotion in 2018 - it's the first time they have ever won back-to-back away league games at West Ham."</p><p><span>With West Ham losing both of their first two Premier League games, Wolves look a little overpriced to inflict another defeat at <b class="inline_odds" title="6/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">2.2</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">6/5</span></b>.</span></p><p><strong><h2>No clean sheets at Cottage</h2></strong></p><p><span>Fulham <b class="inline_odds" title="85/40"><span class="inline_odds__main">3.1</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">85/40</span></b> v Aston Villa <b class="inline_odds" title="13/8"><span class="inline_odds__main">2.62</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">13/8</span></b>; The Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="12/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">3.4</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">12/5</span></b></span><br> <strong>Monday 28 September, 17:45</strong><br> <strong>Live on Sky Sports Main Event </strong></p><p>"Aston Villa haven't kept a clean sheet in any of their last 26 away games in the top-flight, since a 0-0 draw vs West Brom in January 2016."</p><p><span>Fulham have conceded seven goals in two games, so both teams to score seems a safe bet at <b class="inline_odds" title="5/6"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.84</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">5/6</span></b>.</span></p><p><strong><h2>Goals will flow at Anfield</h2></strong></p><p><span>Liverpool <b class="inline_odds" title="8/15"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.53</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">8/15</span></b> v Arsenal <b class="inline_odds" title="11/2"><span class="inline_odds__main">6.6</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">11/2</span></b>; The Draw <b class="inline_odds" title="4/1"><span class="inline_odds__main">5.0</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4/1</span></b></span><br> <strong>Monday 28 September, 20:00</strong><br> <strong>Live on Sky Sports Main Event</strong> </p><p>"Since Jürgen Klopp's first Premier League game in charge of Liverpool, only Manchester City (35 v Watford & 30 v Bournemouth) have scored more goals against a side than his Liverpool team has versus Arsenal (27)."</p><p><span>Arsenal have started the season in fine goalscoring form and over 3.5 goals is worth backing at <b class="inline_odds" title="6/4"><span class="inline_odds__main">2.5</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">6/4</span></b>.</span></p></p> </div> </div> <div class="recommended_bets betslip_goto auto_banners" data-banner_cta="Join"> <h3>Recommended bets</h3> <div class="editor editor--reversed"> <p><span>Back Wolves to beat West Ham at <b class="inline_odds" title="6/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">2.2</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">6/5</span></b></span></p> </div> </div> <section class="betting_copy"> <div class="editor"> <h2></h2> <p><strong>Dan Fitch 2020/21 Season P/L</strong><p>Staked: 66.00 pts<br> Returned: 69.28 pts <br> P/L: +3.28 pts</p></p> </div> </section> <section class="betting_copy"> <div class="editor"> <h2 class="promo-name bf-refer_and_earn" data-qa="promo-name">Bet £5 Get £20 in free bets for new customers</h2> <p>New customers can earn £20 in free Sportsbook bets when they place a £5 bet upon sign up. 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