Premier League Opta Stats: Best bets for Matchday 38
The Opta stats provide us with a best bet for every final day game in the Premier League, with the Matchday 38 fixtures settling a tense relegation battle and final European places...
- Back 12/53.40 Gunners for trademark win
- Richarlison backed to saved Spurs at 6/42.50
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West Ham v Leeds - Back Bowen to provide a goal
Sunday 24 May, 16:00 kick-off
The Opta Stat:
Jarrod Bowen has assisted eight of West Ham's last 12 Premier League goals. Overall, he has 10 assists in the competition this term, with only three Hammers players registering more in a campaign - Paolo Di Canio in 1999-00 (13), Dimitri Payet in 2015-16 (12) and Eyal Berkovic in 1998-99 (11).
The Bet: Back Jarrod Bowen anytime assist @ 9/52.80
Tottenham v Everton - Back Richarlison to save Spurs
Sunday 24 May, 16:00 kick-off
The Opta Stat:
Everton have won just one of their last 16 Premier League away games against Spurs (D4 L11), losing the last four by an aggregate score of 13-1. Richarlison has been involved in 15 Premier League goals this season (11 goals, 4 assists), and has also been involved in five goals in his last five league games against his former side Everton (4 goals, 1 assist).
The Bet: Back Tottenham to win & Richarlison goal or assist @ 6/42.50
Crystal Palace v Arsenal - Back trademark Gunners win
Sunday 24 May, 16:00 kick-off
The Opta Stat:
Arsenal have won 29 games while keeping a clean sheet in all competitions this season. A win to nil in this match would equal their club record across a campaign, doing so 30 times in 1970-71. Crystal Palace have lost six of their last seven Premier League games against Arsenal.
Back Arsenal to win to nil
Man City v Aston Villa - Back City to shine in Pep farewell
Sunday 24 May, 16:00 kick-off
The Opta Stat:
Man City have won their final league match in eight of their nine seasons under Pep Guardiola, losing the other at Brentford in 2022-23. The Citizens have won their last six when finishing the season at home since a 3-2 loss to Norwich City in 2012-13. Aston Villa have lost their final Premier League match of the season more often than any other side (16), including a 3-2 loss at Manchester City in 2021-22.
The Bet: Man City win and over 3.5 goals @ 6/52.20
Brighton v Man Utd - Back Welback to strike for Seagulls
Sunday 24 May, 16:00 kick-off
The Opta Stat:
Brighton have the highest win rate against Manchester United of any side in Premier League history both overall (47% - 8/17) and at home (63% - 5/8). Danny Welbeck has scored more goals in all competitions against his former side Manchester United (8) than any other side. It will be his 400th Premier League appearance if he plays in this game, the 46th player to reach this milestone.
The Bet: Brighton win and Welbeck to score anytime @ 6/42.50
Liverpool v Brentford - Back Bees to get a draw
Sunday 24 May, 16:00 kick-off
The Opta Stat:
Liverpool haven't lost their final league game in any of the last 10 seasons (W7 D3) since going down 6-1 at Stoke in 2014-15. When finishing a league campaign at home, they're unbeaten in 18 (W15 D3) since a 2-0 loss to Arsenal in 1988-89. Brentford have won just one of their last nine Premier League games (D6 L2), beating West Ham 3-0 earlier this month.
The Bet: Back the draw @ 31/104.10
Nottingham Forest v Bournemouth - Back a scoring stalemate
Sunday 24 May, 16:00 kick-off
The Opta Stat:
Bournemouth have drawn 17 Premier League games this season, the joint-most of any side in a 38-game campaign. It's also the most draws for a side to finish in the top half of the table since Newcastle in 2003-04 (17, finished 5th). Nottingham Forest have scored 19 goals in their last seven Premier League games, one more than they had in their previous 19 between November and March (18).
Back the score draw
Sunderland v Chelsea - Back one last Xhaka assist
Sunday 24 May, 16:00 kick-off
The Opta Stat:
No Sunderland player has more Premier League assists than Granit Xhaka this season (6), while only in 2017-18 and 2022-23 (both 7) has he provided more. The Swiss midfielder also provided two assists in his last home game against Chelsea (with Arsenal in May 2023).
The Bet: Back Xhaka anytime assist @ 4/15.00
Fulham v Newcastle - Back in-form Osula to strike
Sunday 24 May, 16:00 kick-off
The Opta Stat:
Only Bruno Guimarães (9) and Nick Woltemade (8) have scored more Premier League goals for Newcastle this season than William Osula (7), with six of his seven goals coming in his last eight appearances.
Back Osula to score anytime
Burnley v Wolves - Back a drab draw in basement battle
Sunday 24 May, 16:00 kick-off
The Opta Stat:
Only Wolves (19) have failed to score in more different Premier League games than Burnley (14) this season, with the Clarets also having the fewest shots (339), fewest shots on target (110) and lowest xG (31.5) this term.
The Bet: Back a 0-0 draw @ 12/113.00
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