Ipswich vs Millwall: Back Town to tame the Lions

Kieran McKenna - Ipswich
Ipswich have scored at least three goals in seven of eight home outings

High-flying Ipswich welcome Millwall to at Portman Road in midweek. Betfair writer Mark O'Haire is backing the hosts to bounce back from their weekend defeat here.

  • Ipswich average 3.13 goals per-game at home

  • Millwall overachieving away from home

  • Town eager to bounce back from rare defeat

  • Read Betfair's new 90 Minute Payout offer here


  • Ipswich vs Millwall
    Wednesday November 29, 20:00
    Live on Sky Sports

    Ipswich 1.654/6 boss Kieran McKenna said his side must improve their starts, as well as their defending from set-plays, after seeing their 12-match unbeaten Championship run ended at West Brom on Saturday.

    The Tractor Boys suffered a 2-0 reverse at The Hawthorns with the opening strike arriving via a corner inside the first 15 minutes.

    It was the fifth successive Championship match in which McKenna's men had conceded a goal inside the first quarter-of-an-hour with the Ipswich chief complaining, "That's three games in a row, we've conceded (from) a set play. The goal comes at the start of the game as well, it's not something we're ignoring, and we must address it going forward."

    Ipswich did force West Brom back at the start of the second half as they chased an equaliser but the visitors were caught by a classic counter-punch.

    Town failed to land a single effort on-target yet despite the defeat, the Tractor Boys' first in an away league game since January, Ipswich remain second, a healthy seven points clear of Leeds in third.

    New Millwall 6.005/1 head coach Joe Edwards wants to see an improvement in basic standards from his team on Wednesday night.

    The Lions were 4-0 winners at Sheffield Wednesday in his first match in charge before the international break but were beaten 3-0 by Coventry in the former Chelsea and Everton coach's first fixture at The Den.

    He said, "The first point, before we look at Ipswich, is to look at us. Coventry did the basics better than us. We were looking to build from the back and get the ball down and control the game through possession, but we looked like we were running out of ideas in the final third. We lacked that imagination and that quality in the opposition's half."

    Millwall expect to have Danny McNamara available again after narrowly missing out on the squad for Saturday following a knee knock.

    Duncan Watmore returned on Saturday and is pushing for inclusion from the off, with Joe Bryan the only confirmed absentee with the full-back expected to be out of action until Christmas with a groin injury.

    Ipswich to impress at Portman Road

    Ipswich suffered only their second defeat since promotion on Saturday and the Tractor Boys will be eager to bounce back to winning ways. Kieran McKenna's crew have been especially impressive at Portman Road since returning to the Championship, taking top honours in all bar one of their eight encounters here, averaging a huge 3.13 home goals per-game.

    Town top the home Expected Goals (xG) charts and sit second in home Expected Points (xP) standings with Ipswich racking up at least three goals in seven of eight outings, alongside a fearsome xG output of 2.46 xG per-game.

    Despite their Portman Road dominance, the hosts have only recorded two clean sheets in front of their own supporters.

    Millwall have only been beaten once on their travels this term (W3-D4-L1), keeping shutouts in half of their first eight away days.

    However, Expected Points (xP) rankings suggest the Bermondsey boys have overachieved on the road and the Lions head to Suffolk this midweek having returned just W1-D3-L4 when facing-off against top-half teams.

    With that in-mind, I'll happily support Ipswich to win and Over 1.5 Goals at 5/61.84. The selection has paid-out in all seven of Ipswich's home victories this season and makes sense when you consider remain in transition as they look to overhaul their playing style from Gary Rowett's pragmatism to Joe Edwards' possession-heavy approach.

    Back Ipswich to win and Over 1.5 Goals @ 5/61.84

    Bet now

    Need more Championship? Jack's midweek tipsheet with all the Opta facts is here!

Mark's 2023/24 Profit/Loss

Staked: 33 pts

Returned: 39.43 pts

P/L: +6.43 pts

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