Premier League Matchday 4: Opta stats and tips for every game

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Premier League Matchday 4 Opta Stats and Tips

Aston Villa v Nottm Forest - Back visitors to frustrate hosts

Saturday 12 September, 15:00

The Opta Stat: Only Bournemouth (12), Brentford (11) and Leeds United (11) have drawn more Premier League games in 2026 than Nottingham Forest (10), while only Andoni Iraola (33) has overseen more draws than Forest boss Oliver Glasner since arriving in the competition in February 2024 (31).  

Aston Villa rank 19th for expected goals (2.6), 18th for touches in the opposition's box (45) and 16th for xG per shot (0.1) in the Premier League so far this season.  

Betfair Bet: Back the Draw and Under 2.5 goals @ 10/34.33

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Bournemouth v Brentford - Back Scott to draw fouls

Saturday 12 September, 15:00

The Opta Stat: Only Yoane Wissa (11), João Pedro (11) and Bukayo Saka (10) have won more fouls in the Premier League so far this season than Bournemouth's Alex Scott (9), while the midfielder ranks joint fourth for carries into the attacking third (9). 

Betfair Bet: Back Scott to be fouled 3+ time @ 11/102.11

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Crystal Palace v Ipswich - Back BTTS in Eagles win

Saturday 12 September, 15:00

The Opta Stat: Crystal Palace won both of their Premier League meetings with Ipswich Town 1-0 in 2024-25, last winning three league games in a row against them in February 1995.

Ipswich are without a clean sheet in their last 22 Premier League games, conceding 57 goals in that time (2.6 per game); this term only Crystal Palace (6.5) and Fulham (6.2) have a higher expected goals against total than the Tractor Boys (6.1).  

Betfair Bet: Back Palace to win and BTTS 'Yes' @ 11/43.75

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Chelsea v Hull - Back Blues to strike early

Saturday 12 September, 15:00

The Opta Stat: Chelsea have scored inside the opening five minutes in all three of their Premier League games so far this season - only Brentford in September/October 2024 have ever done so in four consecutive matches.  

Betfair Bet: Back Chelsea to lead at 10 minutes @ 10/34.33

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Liverpool v Fulham - Back Isak to pile pressure on Arbeloa

Saturday 12 September, 15:00

The Opta Stat: This will be Fulham boss Álvaro Arbeloa's first Premier League game against Liverpool, for whom he played 66 games in the competition. Ex-Premier League players for the Reds have lost all five of their managerial games against them in the competition: Paul Ince with Blackburn in December 2008, Mauricio Pellegrino twice with Southampton in 2017-18, and Steven Gerrard twice with Aston Villa in 2021-22. 

Liverpool's Alexander Isak has already equalled his Premier League goals return for last season (3) following his brace against Ipswich Town; the Swede is looking to score in three successive league matches for the first time since a run of eight between December 2024 and January 2025. 

Betfair Bet: Back Liverpool and Isak to score @ 10/92.11

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Tottenham v Everton - Back a low-scoring game

Saturday 12 September, 17:30, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: Tottenham are one of three teams yet to score in the Premier League this season along with Aston Villa and Coventry City. Spurs have never failed to score in any of their first four league games in a single campaign before. 

Betfair Bet: Back under 2.5 goals @ 20/231.87

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Sunderland v Arsenal - Back Gunners to win tight game

Saturday 12 September, 20:00, Live on TNT Sports

The Opta Stat: Arsenal have the lowest xG against of any side in the Premier League this season (0.93), while only opponents Sunderland (5) have faced fewer shots on target than the Gunners (6). 

Betfair Bet: Back Arsenal and Under 2.5 goals @ 23/103.30

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Want EFL tips? Get Jack Critchley's best bets for every Championship game this weekend

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Coventry v Brighton - Back Seagulls to sink Lampard again

Sunday 13 September, 14:00, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: Coventry boss Frank Lampard has lost 12 of his last 15 Premier League games (W1 D2), a run which includes two home defeats against Brighton (1-4 in January 2023 with Everton, 1-2 in April 2023 with Chelsea).

Coventry have lost all three of their Premier League games by an aggregate score of 0-5 this season. In the competition's history, only Crystal Palace in 2017-18 have lost each of their first four without scoring, ultimately finishing 11th that season. 

Betfair Bet: Back Brighton to win to nil @ 23/103.30

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Man Utd v Man City - Back Reds and plenty of goals

Sunday 13 September, 16:30, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: Manchester United have conceded twice in all three of their Premier League games this season. Only in 1926-27 (first 5), 1930-31 (12) and 1969-70 (4) have they shipped 2+ goals in each of their first four in a league campaign. 

Manchester City have won just one of their last four Premier League games against Manchester United (D1 L2), this after winning five of their six beforehand (L1). 

Manchester City striker Erling Haaland has scored eight goals in seven Premier League appearances against Manchester United, although just two of those have come at Old Trafford. Only Mo Salah (13) and Betfair ambassador Alan Shearer (10) have scored more times against the Red Devils in the
competition.

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Leeds v Newcastle - Back Calvert-Lewin to hurt Magpies again

Sunday 14 September, 20:00, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: Against no side has Leeds' Dominic Calvert-Lewin scored more Premier League goals (7), have more goal involvements (9) or more yellow cards (6) than he does against Newcastle. 

Betfair Bet: Back Calvert-Lewin to score @ 8/52.60

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Now read Ste Tudor's early betting tips for this weekend

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