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Romania v France - Match odds, Correct score, first goal odds, over/under 1.5 goals

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Where would any tournament be without a so-called 'Group Of Death' - and, as they go, this one is pretty gruesome. It all starts here... France, ranked No.7 in the world, have been a major player on the world stage in recent times and despite a few veteran performers they have enough youth to remain a force. Romania, slightly lower at No.12, have proven themselves to be a nation worthy of respect even if they lack that little something to push them onto the next level. The pressure is on France as Romania are viewed as the weakest side in this section. Failure to win here would require good results against the group's other sides (Italy and Holland). However, Romania have the ability to make life difficult for the favourites. As with every match in Euro 2008 we will be providing you with a two-pronged attack on the betting markets. Firstly, we will highlight the 10 Year Trends of the two sides competing in each match. Secondly, we will further our analysis with a look at Match Facts which are specific head-to-head meetings, tournament qualification and general statistical analysis. Together this will provide an insight into four key markets for each match. We will discuss the outright match result, the correct score market, first goalscorer and also the Over/Under 1.5 goals market. Armed with this information you'll be ready to get stuck into the Betfair markets. France v Romania - 10 Year Trends These are all competitive matches since January 1998. No friendlies just World Cup qualifiers and finals plus Euro qualifiers and finals. France - P67 W41 D19 L7 F126 A39, clean sheets 38/67 (56%) Romania - P60 W36 D12 L12 F112 A48, clean sheets 26/60 (43%) France are mighty tough to beat. Just seven losses in 10 years (10%) and a frugal defensive record of a mere 0.59 goals/game conceded with 56% clean sheets. Romania concede a relatively low number (0.80 goals/game) but their clean sheet record of 43% is much worse than the French. Goals per game is pretty even, 1.88 France/1.86 Romania. France v Romania - Match Facts France hold the whip hand on the head-to-heads with 6 wins from 10 encounters. They have also won three of the last four in recent memory. However, goals are shared quite evenly with France netting 14 and Romania 12 in these matches. Raymond Domenech has, if anything, improved France's performances. Under his reign their win/loss/draw record isn't much different but defensively it's 62% clean sheets and just 0.45 goals/game conceded. They will give up nothing easily. Victor Piturca is in the Romanian hotseat second time around. This time his record is impressive with 66% wins and a tight defence which has given up just 0.63 goals/game but his side do draw very few matches, just 5 of 36 (14%). France v Romania - Market Analysis Outright result - Romania, on previous meetings, are a shade big at [5.3] but the draw is way too short at [3.55]. France at [1.87] are the bet given a 60% win ratio in earlier encounters and popular support will probably drive that price even shorter. Correct Score - Given past scoring patterns, a French 1-0 win [6.6] has most appeal with 2-0 [8.8] the logical saver. France won two qualifiers 1-0 and Romania's only qualifying loss was 1-0. This is the first match in a tough group and it could be a cagey affair. First Goalscorer - Both sides share the goals around hence this is a tough market to call. Ribery [9.6] takes penalties but is carrying a knock and it might be a case of Thierry Henry [6.4] proving to be the man for the big stage, although he too is not 100% fit. Over/Under 1.5 goals - no surprise to see the 'over' price at a relatively big [1.55]. This game could easily be a very tight affair and there seems more logic to take a punt on the 'under' on this occasion at [2.78]. Conclusion This is a big match for the French and Romania not the easiest of opponents to come up against. That said, Domenech's side should have enough guile to get the job done - but it might not be pretty. The likes of Scotland have frustrated the French in recent years and an organised Romania could very well do the same. So it's not the best match in terms of obvious bets but the sensible, statistical call would be for France to win [1.87] with the 1-0 [6.6] a decent scoring option. They look the best value on Betfair for a match that could prove to be a very tight encounter.

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