Ryan has five rides on day three of the Cambridgeshire meeting at Newmarket. Here, he gives Betting.Betfair his exclusive thoughts...
"He is a pretty dependable type in these races, and it is simply a matter of whether he is too high in the weights these days. He may well be but he looks to have returned as good as ever this season, though – he wasn’t ideally drawn in the Hunt Cup, where the ground may have also been a bit too soft for him as well – and he has run to form in Listed company on his last two starts over 1m2f."
- Ryan Moore on GM Hopkins
14:20 Newmarket - Douglas Macarthur
This lacks a stand-out performer so plenty will be fancying their chances. There really doesn't look to be a great deal between a few of those likely to be at the top of the betting. Best Of Days could be suited by stepping up to a mile after his Acomb second, Montataire looked an improved horse at Salisbury last time, and Arcada beat Capri before finishing third to Churchill in the Futurity. Good form, but they don't set too daunting a standard going into the race.
Although you could throw a blanket over the first six home in the Doncaster maiden won by Glencadam Glory, The Anvil was stepping up on his debut effort in finishing third there, though he clearly needs to come on considerably again here. But plenty of Aidan's do. I ride Douglas Macarthur, though. He was impressive when winning his maiden by five lengths at Leopardstown and may have disappointed a few people when only third of five in a Group 3 last time. But that was still a fair step up from his maiden form, and if he comes forward again then he has a good a chance as any in here. It's a tough race to call.
14:55 Newmarket - Roly Poly
If the Queen Mary version of Lady Aurelia turns up here, then the rest of us are probably all playing for places. But she certainly wasn't as dominant when winning the Morny over 6f last time, so maybe she is coming back to the field in precocity and ability terms, and over the furlong-longer trip, too. However, this track will suit her attacking style better than Deauville did last time and I think the Morny was a pretty good race, too, for all that they ended up in a bit of a heap at the line.
The Lowther is the obvious race to focus on if Lady Aurelia is to be beaten. Queen Kindly did it well at York and has plenty of scope for improvement but you have to remember that Roly Poly was only beaten ¾ length and was giving the winner 3lb, so my filly came out best at the weights. So I am surprised that my filly is twice her price, especially as she has made giant strides since her win in a Group 3 at the Curragh in June, and the quicker the ground the better for her. She is a typically tough, juvenile of Aidan's, improving as she gains experience.
15:30 Newmarket - Peace Envoy
This looks a very good Middle Park. Blue Point is probably the right favourite on his impressive Gimcrack win, but then again Mehmas beat him giving him 3lb in the Richmond and he will be suited by the return to 6f after his second to Churchill over 7f in Ireland last time. Then you have the improving Mutbasim, and Mokarris looks like getting the fast ground he wants. But I think Aidan has a very strong hand in there with Intelligence Cross and my mount Peace Envoy, as they are both horses I rate.
Intelligence Cross bustled up Mehmas off levels in the July Stakes and got back on track after disappointing at Goodwood with a decisive win in a Group 3 at the Curragh last time. I have ridden Peace Envoy a few times this season and he just keeps on improving, with this third to Lady Aurelia in the Morny last time his best effort yet. If the ground gets even faster, it will probably suit Intelligence Cross more. It's another very tough 2yo race to call, with four of five possible winners.
16:10 Newmarket - GM Hopkins
He is a pretty dependable type in these races, and it is simply a matter of whether he is too high in the weights these days. He may well be but he looks to have returned as good as ever this season, though - he wasn't ideally drawn in the Hunt Cup, where the ground may have also been a bit too soft for him as well - and he has run to form in Listed company on his last two starts over 1m2f. He finished sixth in this off a 3lb lower mark last season, so there are no secrets from the handicapper, but he easily won the Silver Cambridgeshire two years ago and tends to excel in these big-field handicaps and over this 1m1f trip.
16:45 Newmarket - Blushing Rose
She probably ran well at Newbury last week considering she pretty much pulled her chance away. She was sixth, but only beaten 3 lengths, there, and maybe this better ground will suit her, too. She had earlier looked good when beating a subsequent winner at Kempton, and if she settles better here then I think she may make her presence felt off a mark of 78. It's competitive, though.