Today's Racing News: Williams' Dragon to fly at Kempton on Monday

Dragon Bones takes on My Sister Sarah in Listed clash at Kempton.

A brand new week of racing! Newbury's two-day meeting is one to look forward to on Friday and Saturday, but Daryl Carter is on hand with all the daily info to kick the week off.

"She has race-fitness over all of her rivals other than the 66/1 outsider, and she ticks every single box."

Today, there are four competitive meetings up and down the country from Ayr to Chelmsford and in between at Ludlow and Kempton for a busy day racing on Monday.

Money Talk

Money Talk continues to highlight the Betfair Sportsbook big-money moves to keep you in the loop. This section highlights market moves between 1:00 am and 9:00 am.

13:35 Ayr - Soivegotachance 13/2 into 9/2
15:05 Ludlow - Ship Of The Fen 7/2 into 11/4
15:25 Kempton - Timberman 7/2 into 3/1
18:30 Chelmsford - Cometh The Man 9/4 into 13/8

The market says LAY!

Which horse is the Betfair Sportsbook market suggesting to Lay?

15:35 Ludlow - Sergeant 7/4 OUT 2/1

Mark your card

The Betfair Sportsbook is paying extra places today!

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At Ayr today, trainer Donald McCain sends a strong team of five runners to the venue. He has a 25% strike rate.

Jockey JJ Slevin has ridden three winners from nine rides at Ayr. Today, he has two mounts, Ailie Rose 4.03/1 in the 12:30 and Burnt Ash 8.515/2 in the 13:35.

In-form trainer Olly Murphy sends just one runner to Ayr today. He has a 25% strike rate here and saddles Fearless 3.55/2 in the 15:15 Coral "Fail To Finish" Free Bets Handicap Chase.

A small field of three in the 12:40 EBF Stallions "National Hunt" Novices' Hurdle at Kempton. All four previous winners have gone on to be rated 130 plus - worth bearing in mind when it comes to handicaps down the line.

Today, Willie Mullins sends a rare runner to Kempton in the 13:50 Racing TV Mares' Hurdle with My Sister Sarah 1.84/5. However, he has only had two winners from 14 runners at this venue and is zero for two with Nico de Boinville riding.

In the same race, trainer Ian Williams has a 20% strike rate over obstacles with his runner, saddling Dragon Bones 3.7511/4.

In the 14:25 Handicap Chase at Kempton, no horse older than eight has won the race in the last ten years from 13 attempts (small sample size). Vision Des Flos 3.7511/4 is the eight-year-old in the field with his five other rivals, all older.

Trainer Kerry Lee sends two to Ludlow today, but she has a 30% strike rate with her runners over fences. She sends Magic Dancer 3.02/1 in the 14:35 G.C.Rickards Ltd. Handicap Chase.

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Horses for courses

This section highlights horses that have won twice or more at today's tracks and could be in with a chance today.

13:35 Ayr - Calvivingy - Has won here three times (38%)
14:25 Kempton - Mercian Prince - Has won here four times (80%)
15:15 Ayr - Ardera Cross - Has won here four times (44%)
18:00 Chelmsford - Garth Rocket - Has won here four times (57%)

Weighted to go well

"Weighted to go well" highlights horses running that are more than 10lbs below their last winning handicap mark.

15:15 Ayr - Doctor Sanderson - Has won off 132 runs off 112
15:15 Ayr - Ardera Cross - Has won off 125 runs off 98
18:30 Chelmsford - Moveonup - Has won off 62 runs off 50
19:00 Chelmsford - Agent Of Fortune - Has won off 76 runs off 50

Form Watch

This section highlights a trainer, owner or jockey who is in excellent current form and their runners or rides for the day.

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Jockey Paddy Brennan has ridden six winners from his last 29 rides for a 29% strike rate. Today he rides 13:25 Brief Ambition and 14:35 Bathiva at Ludlow.

Furthest traveller

Today's furthest traveller is trainer Olly Murphy. He makes the 323 mile journey from his base to Ayr with his sole runner Fearless at 15:15.

Race of the day

Today, we head to Kempton for their finale, the 15:25 Join Racing TV Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle, which sees a field of seven go to post.

A competitive and wide-open race in which a case can be made for most runners and Sea The See will attempt a four-timer.

See The Sea arrives off the back of three consecutive wins, and the rapidly improving seven-year-old takes on less exposed rivals in this attempt at a fourth.

She has been very impressive and has clocked some fast figures in her last three starts, and conditions suit her today. She is pretty straightforward, and this speed favouring track does lend itself well to front runners.

She will likely have competition for the lead here, but that's unlikely to deter connections from keeping with the same tactics.

She needs to improve again, now 16 pounds higher than three starts ago, but she has likeable claims despite this deeper contest.

Timberman very much caught the eye when third at Cheltenham last time, doing best of those from off the pace with the first, second, fourth and fifth all well placed in a race run at a stop-start gallop.

He has the potential to be better than this mark on the balance of his form, and the strong pace on offer here today will suit his hold-up style of racing.

He has very likeable claims under Liam Harrison, who claims three pounds off his back, and he is entitled to improve for his seasonal reappearance.

He needs to take a step forward, but it's highly possible under this scenario.

Just The Man did remarkably well in a slowly run event at Cheltenham last time from an unpromising position, and despite being denied a clear run in the home straight he finished a good fifth.

He remains fairly unexposed after just nine starts in this sphere, and given his flat rating of 81 (AW), he has plenty of scope off of this handicap mark of 114.

He was a comfortable winner at Ludlow on his penultimate start and handicap debut off five pounds lower, and there is no reason to think he is in the handicapper's grip yet.

He must be a big player in a wide-open contest.

Timeform offer up three of their best from Ayr

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The Timeform team offer their NAP, NB and each way shout.

Read Timeform tips here.

Dragon to burn Mullins' hot-pot at Kempton

There weren't too many bets on Monday for me, but one I do really like is Dragon Bones for Ian Williams at Kempton in the 13:50 Racing TV Mares' Hurdle.

She takes on a predictably short-priced Willie Mullins raider, My Sister Sarah, who is well clear on ratings but hasn't won since 2018 off the back of a break. She has hardly been convincing over this three-mile trip other than when a Listed winner at Limerick last October, but that came on soft ground, in first-time cheek-pieces and in a weak event.

Dragon Bones, in turn, is firmly on the upgrade and is likely to rate much higher than her current rating of 132, so it may not be as stiff as a task as the paper trail makes it look.

On seasonal return, she ran well at Cheltenham to go down by one length against the boys, which saw the third chase home, Sporting John, at the same venue next time.

She was also one length quicker than the 145 rated Gaurd Your Dreams from three-out to the finish line despite having run four furlongs further.

She is four for six with both defeats coming off the back of breaks, and she is highly likely to improve for her latest outing.

She has race-fitness over all of her rivals other than the 66/1 outsider, and she ticks every single box.

The official ratings and the Willie Mullins factor have played a big part in the pricing of this race, and she has been considerably underestimated.

Cheltenham Focus week three

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Missed Cheltenham Focus this week? Not to worry, you can see the 16/1 Cheltenham Festival tip here.

Read Cheltenham Focus here.

Final Word

Another great weekend passes, and time does fly when the racing comes thick, fast and full of quality. It's already Newbury's Ladbroke meeting this weekend, and the feeling is this season is only going to get better and better.

The Betfair Chase meeting was stacked to the rafters with excellent performances. People are already knocking the form of A Plus Tard's win on Saturday, which seems absurd to me as he couldn't have done it any easier than he did, and he is young and improving. Bravemansgame was just as eye-catching and looks sure to be suited to further this season.

We haven't even mentioned Bob Olinger across the Irish Sea, and it's highly likely we have seen two, perhaps three, Cheltenham Festival winners this weekend.

A good week to look forward to, so shake off those hangovers and let's get cracking!

Until tomorrow, be lucky.

Follow Daryl Carter on Twitter @DarylCarter7

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