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Today's Racing News: Chil Chil is getting me hot under the collar for Stewards Cup triumph

Daryl Carter
30 July 2022
4:00 min read

Qatar Glorious Goodwood runners and crowd.

It's the final day at Goodwood with the feature the 15:20 Stewards Cup.

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Saturday brings an abundance of racing action from Goodwood, Galway, Newmarket, Doncaster, Thirsk, Lingfield and Hamilton. Here with a weekend special Daily News is Daryl Carter...

"She ended last season in cracking form, contesting four Group 1 races and finished on a high note with a 3/4 length defeat in the Haydock Sprint Cup to Emaraaty Ana when the winner broke the race speed record."

Money Talk

Money Talk continues to highlight the Betfair Sportsbook big-money moves to keep you in the loop. This section highlights market moves in the last 24hrs.

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Mark your card

The Betfair Sportsbook is paying extra places today!

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In the opening 13:05 at Goodwood, Classic 2.47/5 heads the market for Richard Hannon and caught the eye with a fast finishing effort at Newbury on debut. Interestingly, he recorded a Racing Post rating of 90 on that occasion, which would have been good enough to win this race for eight of the last ten years. Seven of the previous 11 winners had at least one run.

The 13:40 Stewards Sprint Handicap (The consultation race for the Stewards Cup) sees Lethal Levi 2.47/5 nine pounds well in (due to go up to 100) and effectively dropping into a 0-90 after winning a 0-105 last time out.

Jockey Hollie Doyle is currently operating at 23%, but her best strike rate comes with older horses (18%). She teams up with George Baker in the 14:10 at Goodwood with Cemhaan 9.08/1.

The three-year-old fillies have been below-par this season, notably from the Aidan O'Brien yard, which has had just two winners from 13 runners in Britain since the turn of the year. Ryan Moore hopes to turn that around with Emily Dickenson 2.56/4 in the 14:45 at Goodwood. There has only been one winner in recent years to score at a double-figure price tag, so looking to the top of the market could pay.

Only two horses have won the 15:55 at Goodwood in the last ten years carrying more than 9st. Four in here fit that stat, and backing them all to a level stake could yield profit from this contest.

William Buick leaves Goodwood in favour of Newmarket today where he has a full book of rides but just one for his boss Charlie Appleby on Art Of Magic in the 13:20. Appleby has a 27% strike rate with two-year-olds at this venue.

David Simcock sends two to Thirsk, where he has a 26% strike rate. Still, it's worth looking at his two-year-olds that run there. He has scored with three of his six runners (50%). Today he sends Harry Brown in the 14:06.

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Horses for courses

This section highlights the best bets from horses that have won twice or more at today's tracks.

13:40 Goodwood - The Lamplighter - Has won here three times (30%)
14:10 Goodwood - Themaxwecan - Has won here twice (40%)

Weighted to go well

"Weighted to go well" highlights horses running that are more than 10lbs below their last winning handicap mark.

16:35 Doncaster - True Blue Moon - Has won off 77 runs off 67
18:20 Hamilton - Surprise Picture - Has won off 85 runs off 75
20:30 Hamilton - Granite City Doc - Has won off 71 runs off 59

Furthest traveller

Today's furthest traveller at Goodwood is Jim Goldie, who has made the 443-mile journey to Goodwood with his sole runner on the card Euchen Glen 13.012/1 in the 14:10.

Race of the day

Today's feature race at Goodwood is the 15:20 Stewards Cup, where I have a strong fancy for this 28-runner-handicap.

No. 5 (20)

Mr Wagyu (Ire)

Trainer: John Quinn
Jockey: Jason Hart
Age: 7
Weight: 9st 8lbs
OR: 106

Mr Wagyu has an excellent record in June and July, scoring 15 times from 29 runs. He won the consulation race on this card last season in excellent style, and he is better than ever, and there is little reason why he won't go well again today.

No. 13 (27)

Regional

Trainer: Edward Bethell
Jockey: Ryan Moore
Age: 4
Weight: 9st 2lbs
OR: 100

Regional has been the gamble of the race thus far after a fast finishing effort at Doncaster last time. Despite not scoring since his debut for this yard, he has gone up nine pounds in the ratings. He is three pounds well in and is no forlorn hope but was readily outpaced at Epsom by Mr Wagyu.

No. 1 (11)

Chil Chil

Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: Harry Davies
Age: 6
Weight: 9st 12lbs
OR: 110

Chil Chil drops back into handicap company after making her seasonal return at Newbury in the Group 3 Hackwood Stakes when touched off by three lengths. She is entitled to improve a good deal considering that came after 303 days off the track. She has been a horse to catch a second time out after such a break with form figures of 91112, and the nine was a four-length defeat to Starman in the Group 1 July Cup.

She ended last season in cracking form, contesting four Group 1 races and finished on a high note with a 3/4 length defeat in the Haydock Sprint Cup to Emaraaty Ana when the winner broke the race speed record.

Andrew Balding aimed her at this race last year before the ground went against her. Still, today's rattling quick surface will prove right up her street. Harry Davies' five pounds claim means she is effectively running off a handicap mark of 105 and carrying just 9st7lb, and this drop in grade could see a career-best performance with plenty in her favour.

Big race verdict

By the write-up, you can tell I fancy Chil Chil. She is lightly raced and not masquerading - she is a group horse in a handicap. She must go well.

Moore from Ryan

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Betfair Ambassador Ryan Moore has a few rides that should be in contention on the final day of Glorious Goodwood. Get his exclusive insight on them all...

Read Ryan's thoughts here.

Ajero must have a big chance down in grade

16:30 Goodwood

Ajero 8.07/1 broke my heart at Royal Ascot when my best bet of the meeting. I backed him down from 33/1 into 9/1 - thankfully each way, but he did too much too soon on the front end of a furious gallop. He deserved a big upgrade for that effort, and the form has worked out well to think that the drop in trip and grade would see him score off this measly two-pound higher mark.

No. 2 (4)

Ajero (Ire)

Trainer: Kim Bailey
Jockey: Jim Crowley
Age: 7
Weight: 9st 12lbs
OR: 91

Jim Crowley is a positive booking in the saddle, and his draw in stall four should see him gain a prominent racing position ready to strike. He would be a confident each-way selection down into a class 3.

Final Word

It's been a frustrating flat season, and I must admit, with so many god damn near misses, it can try your patience. Super Superjack was the latest to test me and my pen throwing skills yesterday. That's another that has got away - I don't even want to talk about my cliff horse Orbaan!

It's swings and roundabouts in this game, and the most significant part is dealing with the mental aspect of the job. It's been a strange season. There have been very few horses I have wanted to throw a good wedge at. You know, the ones that really excite you because you have found a handicap good thing or one that you refresh the page clicking like a mad man because you are hoping it's gone under the radar. Perhaps it's down to the small field sizes? Perhaps it's just been one of those seasons. Either way, today is a day I have thrown a few quid at a couple.

Both Chil Chil and Ajero excite the hell out of me for a bet. I think they have huge chances, and I am hoping to get redemption! Good luck if you're on with me - and you should be!

Until Monday.

Follow Daryl Carter on Twitter @DarylCarter7