Good morning. It's Tuesday, and there's stacks of racing to cover with the theme of the day quantity over quality, but Daryl Carter is on hand to guide you through the action.
"Backers should also be concerned that he has never won on ground better than good to soft over 5f, and his last victory over today's trip of five furlongs came five years ago (soft). Have a lay bet here at odds of 1.67."
There are five meetings to cover on Tuesday, with racing from Lingfield and Newcastle on the all-weather, while turf action comes from Beverley and Listowel on the flat, and jumps racing from Warwick.
Money Talk continues to highlight the Betfair Sportsbook big-money moves to keep you in the loop. This section highlights market moves between 1:00 am and 9:00 am.
The market says LAY!
Which horse is the Betfair Sportsbook market suggesting to Lay?
16:20 Lingfield - Time Interval 11/4 OUT 3/1
Time Interval is friendless in the morning markets, and with others being supported across the board, the market suggests lay.
Mark your card
The Betfair Sportsbook is paying extra places today!
It's a significant disadvantage to be drawn high at Beverley over trips between five furlongs and ten furlongs with high drawn numbers only scoring in 7.2% of races compared to low 10.6% and middle 9.1%.
Today in the opening 13:20 contest over five furlongs, the second favourite, and the popular Stylish Icon 3.7511/4, is drawn in stall 11 of 11.
John and Thady Gosden will look for a third straight success in the 15:45 at Lingfield with Emblem Empire 1.910/11.
At Warwick, jockey Liam Harrison and trainer Ian Williams have a 40% strike rate when teaming up. Today they partner with Ship Of The Fen 3.259/4 at 16:30.
Brando banker or blowout at Beverley?
The feature race at Beverley is the 15:00, and Brando 1.684/6 is receiving seven and eight pounds from his rivals and is upwards of 11 pounds clear on the ratings before considering the weight he receives.
On weight-adjusted ratings, he is 21 pounds clear of Dubai Station 6.511/2, 19 pounds clear of Tarboosh 7.06/1 and 19 pounds clear of Danzeno 8.515/2. However, it must not be forgotten that he earned that rating over 6f, not 5f, and his best work has always come in the latter stages of the race.
Backers should also be concerned that he has never won on ground better than good to soft over 5f, and his last victory over today's trip of five furlongs came five years ago (soft). Have a lay bet here at odds of 1.674/6.
Juicy jumps SP stat double?
At Warwick, SP favourites are profitable to back in handicap chases to the tune of £29 to a £1 level stake. There are two of these races today, and the favourites at the time of writing are Sir Tivo 1.910/11 14:45 and Quartz Du Rheu 3.55/2 15:55 but it may pay to side with the SP fav in the latter.
Horses for courses
This section highlights horses that have won twice or more at today's tracks and could be in with a chance today.
13:00 Lingfield - Delicate Kiss - Has won here four times (27%)
14:25 Beverley - Ugo Gregory - Has won here twice (40%)
14:35 Lingfield - Sir Hector - Has won here three times (33%)
15:10 Lingfield - Arabescato - Has won here four times (50%)
16:45 Beverley - Billy Roberts - Has won here three times (50%)
16:45 Beverley - Bit Of A Quirke - Has won here six times (67%)
16:50 Newcastle - Esspeegee - Has won here three times (43%)
17:20 Newcastle - Melgate Majeure - Has won here four times (33%)
Weighted to go well
"Weighted to go well" highlights horses running that are more than 10lbs below their last winning handicap mark.
This section highlights a trainer, owner or jockey who is in excellent current form and their runners or rides for the day.
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has sent out five winners from his last 14 runners and is operating at a 36% strike rate in the last 14 days. Today he saddles Almaan 15:45 Lingfield.
Today's furthest traveller is trainer Hughie Morrison to Newcastle with his runner Meadow Sprite 5.59/2 at 17:50. The trainer has travelled 286 miles for just his tenth runner at the venue (0-9) and has booked Oisin Murphy (22% together) for the ride.
Race of the day
Today's focus is over the sticks at Warwick for the 15:55, where handicap chase favourites have a profitable record (see above).
Quartz Du Rheu was fortunate to get his head in front at Worcester last time with the unseating of the likely winner on the run-in when four lengths down and looking unlikely to land a blow. Today's contest on paper looks like a stronger event, but he is well-handicapped on his old form when with Willie Mullins, albeit between two and two and a half miles.
He confirmed on his latest start that he is a stout stayer, but he hasn't really convinced for this yard.
He is not one of the strongest favourites of the day, and it would be a surprise should he go off at the head of the market.
Vivas has failed to complete five of his six starts since finishing runner-up in this contest last year, but his best efforts have come when fresh, and the return from wind surgery and a 153 day-break are reasons to be positive about his chances.
He is three pounds lower than when finishing runner-up here last term and has won at Warwick over the shorter trip of 2m4f.
He is hard to ignore on the pick of his form, and he does come with risks attached at the grand old age of ten but is more appealing than most!
Haul Away has failed to deliver on the sparks of the promise he has shown throughout his short career, but he did score off a 9lbs higher mark over hurdles at Worcester last time in good style.
He is still fairly lightly raced for an eight-year-old over fences after just six starts and is now 14lbs lower over fences than his hurdle rating.
However, it is hard to be confident in his chances back over the larger obstacles and is probably best watched at the prices with his powerful stable built into the current 4.03/1 on offer rather than his chase form.
Timeform turn up the heat at Listowel
The Timeform team head to Listowel in Ireland today in hopes of claiming some cash on Tuesday.
Newmarket on the horizon!
With Newmarket's Cambridgeshire meeting just around the corner, David Cleary has taken a look at Saturday's racing from HQ.
It's been a slow start to the week, but things do get better from tomorrow. Newmarket's excellent Cambridgeshire meeting gets underway from Thursday and will tow us into the weekend.
We are approaching that time of the year when the cross over begins between the flat and the National Hunt racing, and it's always wise to be very disciplined at this time of year with more unknowns than at any other time.
Until tomorrow, be lucky.
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