Money Talk continues to highlight the Betfair Sportsbook big-money moves to keep you in the loop. This section shows market moves between 1:00 am and 9:00 am.
14:45 Lingfield: Peggoty - 8.515/2 into 4.57/2
15:20 Lingfield: Diomed Spirit 1918/1 into 12.011/1
17:10 Beverley: Stripzee - 51.050/1 into 34.033/1
16;45 Warwick: Dindin - 17.016/1 into 13.012/1
16:51 Newcastle: Daaris - 13.012/1 into 9.08/1
18:00 Newcastle: Hildenley - 9.517/2 into 6.05/1
19:30 Newcastle: Reclaim Victory - 5.59/2 into 4.57/2
20:30 Newcastle: Villemacho - 13.012/1 into 8.07/1
17:10 Listowel: Atbay - 67.066/1 into 23.022/1
Which horses is the Betfair Sportsbook market suggesting to Lay?
14:52 Beverley: Squealer - 2.3811/8 out to 2.757/4
15:00 Warwick: Choral Work - 3.7511/4 out to 4.3100/30
16:10 Warwick: El Paso Wood - 3.211/5 out to 3.7511/4
Read about the best backed horses from 10:30am here
The Betfair Sportsbook is paying extra places today!
Mark your card
Tuesday sees eight Extra Place Special races on the Sportsbook for those looking for more of an each-way angle. Three come from the Westwood at Beverley including the opening 13:42 1m2f Apprentice Handicap. With a dry day and the ground looking likely to be on the quicker side, Hopeman Harbour has taken a big slide on the Sportsbook for that from 10s out to 20s.
Eleven runners in the 16:37 7f Handicap and El Bello and My Little Tip 13.012/1 were both betting positives from last night into this morning. My Little Tip is drawn in six and moved from 20s into 12s overnight and runs from a falling mark. However, David O'Meara's Autumn Festival is in rattling good form and will like the quick going.
With a big field of 15 runners, the closing 17:10 1m Handicap gives punters the extra place again and Bearwith remains in decent nick with two wins from his last four starts, while Motarajel for Tim Easterby is 9/1 into 7/1 and has CD winning form.
One All-Weather Lingfield Extra Place Special today in the 17:03 1m2f Handicap with 13 runners.
Plenty of runners too await at Newcastle tonight with 14 and 12 runners respectively for the 19:30 1m Handicap and the 20:00 7f Handicap.
El Jad 6.511/2 and Silver Dust 6.511/2 are positives to report in terms of the Sportsbook and the former looks to be well drawn down in trip for Antony Brittain. While Simon Whitaker's Variety Island 6.511/2 is one of plenty previous course winners in the field and has been backed from 13/2 into 11/2.
Two Extra Place Specials come from Listowel and 15 runners lie in wait for the 15:45 7f Handicap. Trainer Denis Hogan has two runners and one reserve, while handicap King Ado McGuiness is represented by Is That Love 8.515/2 and she ran well in soft ground last time at Cork.
Good to yielding ground will kick off Tuesday's action in County Kerry but a dry day is in store with no rain expected there until end of the week.
The 17:30 7f Handicap is a cracking race with the top weight running off 97, and with 16 runners it's the best punting race each-way of the day. I've had my eye on Spanish Tenor 13.012/1 this season, but could the remarkable Saltonstall pop up today for McGuinness? He hasn't won for nearly two years.
Stat Of The Day
Leading first-season sire Havana Grey has fired in 28 individual winners already this season and is well on his way to be crowned champion sire for 2yos. His record at Beverley is a mind-blowing 4-7 at 57%. His daughter Havana By The Sea 3.185/40 lines up in the 14:52 5f Novice Stakes race on the Westwood.
Horses for courses
This section highlights horses that have won twice or more at today's tracks and could be in with a chance today.
13:35 Lingfield: Prince Rock 29.028/1 has won here five times (17%) and Catch My Breath 21.020/1 has won here three times (20%).
14:45 Lingfield: Swiss Pride 8.07/1 has won here six times (32%) and Nordic Glory 21.020/1 has won here three times (38%).
15:55 Lingfield: Hey Ho Let's Go 11.010/1 has won here four times (21%).
15:27 Beverley: Judicial 5.04/1 has won here twice (50%).
17:10 Beverley: Harry Love 13.012/1 has won here twice (29%).
16:10 Warwick: Bbold 6.511/2 has won here twice (50%).
19:30 Newcastle: Rocket Dancer 9.08/1 has won here twice (40%).
20:00 Newcastle: Saisons D'Or has won here three times (20%).
Weighted to go well
"Weighted to go well" highlights horses running that are more than 10lbs below their last winning handicap mark.
13:00 Lingfield: Mr Tyrell 13.012/1 has won off 79 and runs off 68.
13:35 Lingfield: Catch My Breath 21.020/1 has won off 69 and runs off 57.
18:00 Newcastle: International Law 10.09/1 has won off 62 and runs off 48.
16:45 Warwick: Eureu Du Boulay 3.259/4 has won off 113 and runs off 103.
14:35 Listowel: Treble Cone 19.018/1 has won off 58 and runs off 47.
15:45 Listowel: Sevenal 67.066/1 has won off 83 and runs off 72.
17:30 Listowel: Bucky Larson 17.016/1 has won off 91 and runs off 81, Saltonstall 21.020/1 has won off 102 and runs off 92 and Nebo 12.011/1 has won off 99 and runs off 81.
Today's furthest Beverley traveller is from the Beckhampton yard of Roger and Harry Charlton. It's All About You 2.26/5 in the 16:02 7f Novice Stakes will be out to justify the 6/5 favourite price and backed too from 2/1. The youngster makes the journey of 210 miles to Yorkshire.
Going over further down south is the Michael Dods' runner Dulla Bhatti 25.024/1 at Lingfield for the 13:00 1m Handicap Although it's hard to see the horse making an impact despite the 283-mile journey to "leafy".
The longest traveller for Warwick's jumping action today is the Peter Bowen-trained Gladys Eva Jane in the 17:20 NHF at 209 miles. She also had been well supported on the Sportsbook this morning from 16/1 into 9/1.
Clocking up the most by some way at Newcastle and indeed the day is Chasseral 2.26/5 for Andrew Balding in the 19:00 6f Novice. The 2yo filly has a good chance to get off the mark and make the 303 miles trek worthwhile.
Several hot trainers from a small sample are ones to look out for at Beverley today. Charlie McBride is 3-7 in the last month at a strike-rate of 42% albeit a small level stakes profit of +4.25. He has just the one runner entered on Tuesday with big price Hopeman Harbour 15.014/1 in the opening 13:42 1m2f Apprentice Handicap and the horse wears first-time blinkers.
Craig Lidster is showing a huge +34.25 profit in his recent run of 4-14 at 29% and is two from his last four runners. He also has just one on today and a seriously good chance too with Havana By The Sea 3.185/40 and she won her maiden at the track last time. Her sire Havana Grey is proving to be fine source of juvenile winners and has already clocked up 28 individual winners this campaign from his first crop. Astonishing numbers.
Saeed bin Suroor is worth a mention for Lingfield today as he's 5-19 in the last month at 26% showing a profit of +28.50 in that time. He is also 2-5 coming into Tuesday and his Chief Of Staff 6.511/2 runs in one of the better races for the 14:45 6f Handicap. The 4yo is his only runner today and with David Egan booked, they have a 31% placed record together on the AW, although today is their first at Lingfield.
Rookie trainer George Boughey is enjoying a grand time of things this season at Newcastle and he's ticking along at a fine strike-rate of 31% with 7-22 this term. He has two entered in the north east later this evening with Forceful Speed 3.211/5 in the 18:30 1m2f Novice Stakes and newcomer Calluna 7.06/1 in the 19:00 6f Novice. The latter has Saffie Osborne on, the Racing League sensation at Newcastle - and her numbers here read 4-13 at 31% with a massive level stakes profit of +68.50. Trainer and jockey stats on the AW together are 14% and another first for the pair at the course today.
A double on Boughey's runners pays 23.022/1 on the Sportsbook.
For the jumpers today, Luca Morgan is enjoying a golden spell for in-form trainer Ben Pauling. The jockey's stats in the past month are impressive at 4-6 at 67%. Bradley Roberts is also hot, hotter in fact with 3-4 at 75%.
Morgan the conditional done wonders to get Gentleman Valley to even start last week at Uttoxeter with the horse whipping around at the start, and his only mount on the day is in-form Serjeant Painter 2.26/5 in the 16:45 2m4f Handicap Chase. He is 3-5 over fences and is most progressive, although Pauling has had a poor time of things over the past five seasons at the Midlands' venue at just 6.2%.
Roberts also has just one ride at Warwick in the 17:20 Mares' NHF with Indelible Spin 7.513/2.
Race of the day
Some real quality awaits us at Listowel today with a cracking handicap and the feature Listed Listowel Stakes at 16:20 over 1m1f.
Trainer William McCreery has won this twice in the last five seasons with Champagne Or Water and Devonshire, and his once-raced )and one win) 3yo Self Belief runs up in class today and looked quite impressive winning a big field Curragh maiden when beaten 19 others.
The second, fourth and fifth have all won races since and Self Belief should enjoy the bit of cut in the ground as he seemed to relish the softish conditions at HQ. So it needs to stay with a bit of yielding this afternoon.
Champion jockey Colin Keane as the star turn in County Kerry but his numbers this term at the track are poor with just 1-10 in 2022.
He rides the consistent Sh Boom for his boss Ger Lyons, a mare who has been running consistently this term without winning and the 6yo hasn't got the best draw in 13. She was placed in the Group 3 Gladness Stakes earlier in the season and a big field will suit her as she can be free early in her races. She could be one each-way at 9/1 and ran with credit again at Tipperary last time.
John Joseph Murphy's Charterhouse 4.57/2 holds the highest rating in the field at 105 and was a winner last time out in the Listed Vincent O'Brien Ruby Stakes at Killarney.
The 4yo is tough and is enjoying a good season with recent wins at Killarney (twice) and that track certainly suits his more prominent racing style, although he is drawn out wide today. I also have a soft spot for Ado McGuinness' Casanova 12.011/1.
He has been running between 7f and 1m2f but ran a super race in the BMW Mile at Galway earlier in the summer and could be an each-way bet at double figures.
Big race verdict
The edge goes to the unexposed Self Belief for me, with the 3yo impressing on his debut - especially with the winners to come out of the race.
McCreery's previous two winners of the race both had a lot of experience, so the trainer must be confident this horse has the minerals to deal with the rise in class, and we already know he can handle a big field. The ground was heavy on both occasions with Champagne Or Water and Devonshire's victories, and Self Belief will want it to remain on the easy side today.
It's a slight worry the trainer hasn't had a winner from his last 16 starts, but he gets weight from Charterhouse and Billy Lee has been one of the jockeys of the season for me in Ireland. Lee is the leading jockey at Listowel this term with 3-13 at 24%, which is a big improvement on his numbers in the past five seasons.
Look out for Timeform bets for Tuesday
Timeform will offer up the usual bets for the day on Tuesday and check out the latest on the horse racing pages for a busy afternoon.
I'm not one for self-praise as the cold spells often outweigh the hot spells. But a little plug for my Daily Racing Multiple column here, as the run since August 25th has taken the profit with 23 single winners at BSP to a profit of around 99.0 pts.
That's 23 winners in 21 days and a 10.5 double was landed on Sunday. I also agree with something Tony Calvin wrote a while ago and as a punter and tipster it's also right to recognise a cold spell and how to keep your confidence.
It had me thinking with what I have done differently since the end of August? Not a lot in short. I had a shocker in June and July, and small margins often went against me, with nose or heads defeats and horses nabbed on the line and done at 1.21/5 for example. They go for you or against you, and when out of form, they always seem to be against you.
One thing I have changed, though is shying away from the big races. For instance, the Ayr Bronze, Silver and Gold Cups I left alone last week. Races like the Northumberland Plate, Chester Cup etc, I have found I am just not very good in those big handicaps. The day-to-day means we don't get races like that from Monday to Thursday, so it's almost as if I am in day-to-day mode and recently have leant more towards a novice rather than a 95-rated handicapper.
The site has some great big priced tipsters anyway, including TC, so it means I am likely to leave this weekend's Cambridgeshire alone.
Good luck for Tuesday and I am in the Daily Racing News hotseat for the next few weeks with Daryl Carter away on holiday.