Brazil v Norway Tip - Back Vinicus and Haaland to find the net
Click here for Brazil v Norway odds
Sunday, 21:00
Live on ITV1
Should Brazil really be a similar price to their match odds versus Japan? 3/41.75 this time around compared to 4/61.67 in the round before. Not for me, Japan gave them a big scare in a lacklustre first half before a combination of Ancelotti subs and The Blue Samurai retreating on top of their goalkeeper gave them a last minute winner.
I think it's the latter that was key to the match with Brazil being invited on time and time again as Japan got caught trying to defend their 1-0 lead. Goals wise, Over 2.5 is only 4/61.67 here with both teams to score just 4/71.57.
So the market anticipates Norway contributing so who better than expert marksman Erling Haaland? He's got an incredible 60 goals in only 53 caps and has already scored five goals in three games at the World Cup. Incredibly he's scored in his last 13 competitive games, bagging a staggering 25 goals.
From a Brazilian side, who better than Vinicius Junior? He had a fantastic second half of the season at Real Madrid after the arrival of Alvaro Arbeloa, scoring 15 goals and has carried that into the USA with four goals in four games.
Norway have failed to keep a clean sheet so far and have conceded multiple goals to both Senegal and France. Given both players are in top form along with the likes of Messi and Mbappe, these superstars look to be spurring each other on for more. So let's have a swing at a classic with both players scoring yet another brace between them at 9/25.50 and a brace each at 79/180.00.
Back Vinicius and Haaland anytime goalscorer
Back Vinicius and Haaland to score 2+
Mexico v England Tip - Back it not to come home for El Tri
Click here for Mexico v England odds
Monday, 01:00
Live on BBC1
Despite reaching the round of 16 unbeaten, England are now abigger price to win the tournament than when it started! 7/18.00 at the beginning of June they are now 9/110.00.
Some of that is due to a few lacklustre performances but it's also because they now face Mexico in Mexico city, where home advantage is further increased given the Azteca Stadium sits 2,200 metres above sea level meaning altitude plays a big factor.
This means there is less oxygen available and can impact the performance of players that are not acclimatised to the conditions. The recommendation is you should spend a week or two living at this level in-order to adjust but England have just a few days.
Having said that, this isn't a Mexico side that should be feared. Based on TransferMarkt values, England's squad is worth £1.17bn, £44.8M per player. Mexico's squad is worth £164.4M, £6.3M per player. England are lead by Harry Kane off the back of a 60 goal season for Bayern Munich. Mexico are lead by Raul Jimenez off the back of a 10 goal season for Fulham.
This is a Mexico side who were booed off at half-time against South Korea. That day they were 23/202.15 against a side who didn't even qualify. In England's biggest test so far they went off at 8/111.73 against Croatia. Here they are 7/52.40. Let's say at best, Mexico are level in ability with Croatia.
For England to go from 8/111.73 to 7/52.40 it's a swing of 0.70 goals. In Europe, home advantage generally accounts for 0.35 goals. So the odds are suggesting Mexico's home advantage is worth twice as much, and we've already been generous labelling them as good as Croatia.
I think England's odds are too big and as a result we can back them with a more risk averse approach. If this game is to go past the 90 minute mark, England's extra quality off the bench should tell as we saw against DR Congo, therefore I think England to qualify at 1.865/6 is the bet.
Back England to qualify
Stinch's Acca - Back a goalscorer treble at 13/114.00
With Betfair's Bet £10 Get £10 on ACCAs or bet builders at the World Cup let's back the main goalscorer threats in a treble on the Betfair Sportsbook. Harry Kane has five goals already at World Cup, including two braces.
Back Vinicius, Haaland and Kane anytime goalscorers
Back Vinicius, Haaland and Kane to score 2+