World Cup Day 4 Tipsheet: Best bets and predictions including a 6/1 treble

Germany v Curacao Tip - Back Kai Havertz to open the scoring

Click here for Germany v Curacao odds
Sunday, 18:00
Live on ITV

This is the biggest mis-match in the group stages with Germany just 1/331.03 to win and Curacao 25/126.00 to cause an upset. As a result, Germany are -3.5 on the Asian Handicap (2.0521/20) meaning they have to win by four or more goals. This means they are forecasted to score around four goals and Kai Havertz looks like the best candidate at the odds. He has a terrific record with 22 goals in 58 caps, he'll start as Germany's lone striker and is on penalties. He's 4/61.67 to score anytime but at a bigger price the 7/24.50 he scores first looks worth chancing.

He loves a shot, registering 33 in his last nine competitive games at an average of 3.67 per-game. He's hit the target a huge 17 times in that period so there's a better chance than the odds suggest that he finds the scoresheet here. He's opened the scoring seven times for Germany and he could do it again here.

Netherlands v Japan Tip - Back goals in big Group F clash

Click here for Netherlands v Japan odds
Sunday, 21:00
Live on ITV

Two in-form sides take on each other here in the opening game of Group F at the climate control assisted AT & T stadium in Dallas. Netherlands have won four of their last five competitive matches and eight of their last 12 including friendlies. Japan have won their last four competitive internationals and their last six games in a row, all friendlies, including impressively coming back from 2-0 down to beat Brazil 3-2, and beating England at Wembley. I'm very happy to swerve the Netherlands at odds-on at 19/201.95.

With two in-form sides it's goals that I like the look of, especially when Over/Under 2.5 is priced 50-50.

Fourteen of the Netherlands last 20 competitive games have seen three or more goals (70%), including five of six at EURO 2024. For Japan, it's 15 of their last 23 competitive matches have finished with Over 2.5 goals (65%) and at the last World Cup, both group matches against Spain and Germany produced winners. With the Netherlands scoring three or more goals in four of their last five and Japan scoring two or more in six of their last nine, we could be in for a goal fest.

Ivory Coast v Ecuador Tip - Back a tight clash in Philly

Click here for Ivory Coast v Ecuador odds
Monday, 00:00
Live on BBC1

Another match featuring two in-form sides at the Lincoln Financial Field stadium in Philadelphia. Ivory Coast 23/103.30 have kept a clean sheet in seven of their last 10 competitive internationals, winning six of them. They've also won all three of their friendlies this year, including defeating France in France.

Ecuador 11/82.38 were unbeaten in 16 of their 18 matches in South American qualifiers where they impressively finished second, conceding just five goals. Including friendlies, they are unbeaten in their last 19 games.

With it hard to pick to a winner, the draw is an option but at 17/102.70 it's far too short to back as a result of Under 2.5 goals being just 4/111.36.

I think the best bet here is to back No in the Both Teams to Score market. With both sides clean sheet prowess - Ecuador haven't conceded in their last five competitive games - getting 3/41.75 in what seems a tight game seems the best bet. Indeed, in matchday one, across all fixtures, this game is forecasted as the lowest scoring.

Notable winners for Mark so far at the 2026 World Cup...

A 38/139.00 Bet Builder in South Korea's MD1 defeat of Czechia

Sweden v Tunisia Tip - More goals on the agenda in Group F

Click here for Sweden v Tunisia odds
Friday, 03:00
Live on ITV

Two sides with relatively new managers in Group F here, so happy to avoid the match odds market.

Sweden are odds-on favourites at 17/201.85 but not sure they should be that short having conceded more goals than they've scored under the current coach. Graham Potter took over Sweden in October last year and his six games in-charge have seen two wins, two draws and two defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 13. A key theme has been goals, with both teams scoring in all six, at an average of 4.0 per-game.

Sabri Lamouchi only took over in February this year after previous manager Sami Treblsi was sacked after being knocked out in AFCON in the round of 16. Lamouchi has only been in-charge for four friendlies with his record reading one win, one draw and two defeats.

Six goals conceded doesn't make for pretty reading and I think the best way to attack this game is to back goals with two porous defences and a goal expectancy of just 2.40 offering us value.

Like Sweden, both teams have scored in five of Tunisia's last six games which can be backed at 20/211.95. However, given we've two fairly new managers, I prefer backing Over 2.25 goals at 2.09109/100 incase only one side turns up. We'll not lose our bet completely as long as there are two or more goals.

Stinch's Acca - Back my best bets in a treble at 6/17.00

With Betfair's Bet £10 Get £10 on ACCAs or bet builders at the World Cup let's back my best bets in a treble.

Now read more World Cup tips here!