World Cup 2018 Qualifying Tips: Greece to make it five successive wins in Estonia
Paul Robinson has cast his eye over the World Cup Qualifying fixtures on Monday evening and picked out his three best bets...
"Greece especially look capable of challenging for a top two finish in this group and they are much stronger than they were when finishing bottom in European Championship Qualifying."
All matches kick-off on Monday at 19:45 BST
Belarus [1.36] v Luxembourg [12.0]; The Draw [5.1]
Live on Sky Sports Interactive
One of the strongest European Qualifying Groups for the World Cup is Group A and unfortunately that is where Belarus and Luxembourg have been drawn.
Neither team are expected to get anywhere near the top two and after a couple of matches they are already bottom and second from bottom having picked up just one point between them.
The hosts are clearly the stronger side and they are long odds-on to get the job done - especially as they have home advantage. Luxembourg have a dreadful away record - eight defeats in a row and not much better prior to that, but I don't think that they will be beaten out of sight.
Belarus aren't big scorers and their two most recent home games ended 0-0. They rarely net more than twice despite having a fair record in their own country and that makes under 2.5 goals at [1.92] much better value than the home win.
Recommended Bet: Back Under 2.5 Goals @ [1.92]
Estonia [5.4] v Greece [1.91]; The Draw [3.4]
This is a Group H fixture that sees two teams come into the game on the back of a decent result. Estonia recorded their first win in five matches with a routine success over Gibraltar on Friday, while the Greeks won their fourth successive game by beating Cyprus 2-0.
Greece especially look capable of challenging for a top two finish in this group and they are much stronger than they were when finishing bottom in European Championship Qualifying.
A recent 2-1 win in Holland shows that Michael Skibbe's men should be taken seriously and while Estonia have won plenty of home matches over the course of the last couple of years, when they face one of the better nations, they generally lose.
Recommended Bet: Back Greece @ [1.91]
Sweden [1.49] v Bulgaria [8.6]; The Draw [4.6]
Live on Sky Sports 2
Back to Group A now as Sweden and Bulgaria will hope to pick up all three points and capitalise on either Netherlands or France dropping points in Amsterdam.
It's a new era for Sweden as Zlatan Ibrahimovic has hung up his international boots and that has been reflected in their lack of goals since he retired. They drew 1-1 at home to Holland which is a fair enough result, but then they could only win 1-0 in Luxembourg on Friday.
We could be in for a similar scoreline here as they are a better side than Bulgaria, but lack the firepower to run away with the game. I certainly wouldn't want to be backing the Swedes at [1.49], however, assuming they do indeed win, 1-0 at [6.6] offers much better value as I couldn't see them winning by many other scorelines.
Recommended Bet: Back Sweden to win 1-0 @ [6.6]