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Visitors have leaked 18 goals in seven games
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Hosts KuPS conceding freely too
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KuPS Akatemia v FCV
Thursday 30 May, 16:00
A Norwegian no-no for us last night, as league leaders Bodo Glimt were surprisingly held to a 1-1 draw at home by relegation-threatened Sandefjord. With a slight shake of the head, we move on.
We'll dip into the Finnish lower leagues now. KuPS Akatemia are up against struggling FCV in the Ykkonen, and I think we could see plenty of goals.
FCV (or FC Vaajakoski for completists) have lost six of their seven league games this term, including the last four. They have leaked 18 goals across those seven games, and four of the seven featured four goals or more.
KuPS Akatemia, as the sharp-eyed among you will have realised, are the second team of top-flight outfit KuPS. They have only claimed seven points from their seven games, and like FCV they have been leaking goals. KuPS II have conceded 14 times across their seven league outings, and three of their seven games have seen an Over 3.5 Goals bet land.
I think we should use the Goal Lines market here and back Over 3.0 Goals at 2.1411/10 on the Exchange. If there are three goals in the game, our stake is returned. If there are four or more, we get an odds-against payout. In the 14 league games these two have played between them this term, we'd have only lost our stake in five of them.