AC Milan v Dortmund: Back defences to dominate

• Dortmund have conceded 1 in 4 in this season's CL
  

• Faves Milan have netted only 2 in 4
  

• Back Under 2.5 Goals
  

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AC Milan v Dortmund
Tuesday 20:00 (Live on TNT Sports 3)

With three points separating the four teams, Champions League Group F is wide open. We're focusing on table-toppers Dortmund and their trip to the San Siro on Tuesday evening.

Win today and the Germans would be through to the knockout stages. Lose and qualification would be in serious doubt. It's a high-reward, high-risk scenario that could see them clam up.

Indeed, despite German football's well-earned reputation for producing goals, each of Dortmund's last nine Champions League games have finished with Under 2.5 Goals - and that's the side of the line we want to be on tonight.

Despite their lofty position, Edin Terzic's visitors have scored just three times across four Group F games so far. The reverse fixture finished 0-0 in Germany and Dortmund have conceded only once in those four games.

The hosts have managed only two goals from their four previous Group F games. Their forward line is further blunted by the absence of Rafael Leao for this game.

Milan are favourites to take three points this evening. If you fancy them to get the result they'd love, Olivier Giroud is the man to watch. Coming in hot after missing the weekend's Serie A game through suspension, the veteran Frenchman will lead the home side's attack. He's scored four times across his last four club appearances in all competitions. At 9/52.80 to net tonight, he could be a key cog in any Bet Builders on the Sportsbook.

We think goals could be in short supply, however. Low-scoring games are more likely to finish all square, so the draw makes decent appeal as the outsider of the three outcomes.

Our focus, though, are the goals markets. At slightly better than even money, we'll take this one to be a tenth straight low-scorer for Dortmund in the Champions League.

Check out James Eastham's preview of tonight's other Group F game here

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