Football Bet of the Day: A song of ice and fire

Leaders to put on a show

Vestri v Keflavik
Friday 25 September, 17:15

The mighty red juggernaut was slowed, but not stopped. Sevilla took Bayern Munich to extra-time in the UEFA Super Cup (as Andy Brassell predicted they would here), and the 1-1 draw after 90 minutes landed our Under 3.5 Goals bet. For the record, Bayern won the trophy after an extra-time winner from Javi Martinez.

We're off to Iceland, because promotion-chasing Keflavik are in action in the 1.Deild, and I believe their game at Vestri will feature plenty of goals.

Keflavik have taken the league by storm, winning ten of their 16 games and rattling in 49 goals. 12 of those 16 matches have featured at least four goals, including eight of the last nine.

Vestri are a little more circumspect, but they are usually good for a goal or two themselves. They have scored at least once in 14 of their last 15 matches, and if you look at their last six home games, they have featured a pair of 3-3 draws and a 4-1 hammering of Thor (appropriate). In the clubs' last meeting, Keflavik won 4-1.

I'm amazed that Over 3.5 Goals is priced at 2.447/5, so take advantage, and if you want to be even bolder, you can back Over 4.5 Goals at 4.131/10.