Football Bet of the Day: Bedlam by the Bosphorus

Chastened Turks to play out a cracker

Turkey v Montenegro
Wednesday 01 September, 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Our game in Sweden was suitably sterile last night, as Trelleborgs only edged out Osters 1-0, landing the Double Chance and Under 2.5 Goals parts of our bet.

We're going international now, because Turkey are up against Montenegro in the World Cup qualifiers, and the home side has a point to prove.

Senol Gunes is under pressure as the coach of Turkey after a disastrous European Championship. A 3-0 defeat to eventual champions Italy was followed by a 2-0 reverse against Wales and a 3-1 loss to Switzerland. In the World Cup qualifiers, Turkey have secured excellent wins over the Netherlands and Norway, but they also drew 3-3 in a chaotic game against Latvia.

Montenegro were edged out 1-0 by Norway last time out, and they are an inconsistent side. For example, last year they thrashed Cyprus 4-0 but also lost 2-1 at home to Luxembourg. They are unbeaten in their last five games on the road, although tonight's match-up represents a step up in quality.

Even when at full-strength, Turkey can't be trusted defensively, and it's worth noting that five of their last six competitive games have featured at least three goals. Including the Nations League, Montenegro have scored at least once in seven of their last nine competitive matches, and I think they can help push us over the 2.5 goals line tonight.