Football Bet of the Day: More goals for Genoa

Francesco Magnanelli Sassuolo
Francesco Magnanelli can't believe how many goals there have been in Sassuolo matches this season
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Tobias Gourlay's hanging around Serie A for another day, hoping Sassuolo can do what they often do

"Last season, Genoa's trip to Sassuolo brought a 5-3 win for the hosts"

Back Over 3.0 Goals @ [2.06] in Sassuolo v Genoa

Sassuolo v Genoa
Wednesday 18:30

In Italy last night, Atalanta came from behind to beat Parma 2-1, but leave us a goal short of our target. With another eight Serie A matches, we're looking to make amends in Sassuolo.

Last season, Genoa's trip to Sassuolo brought a 5-3 win for the hosts. Heading into tonight's encounter, the headline facts are these: 28/36 of Sassuolo's league games have delivered Over 2.5 Goals; and so have 28/36 of Genoa's.

On those trends alone, Over 2.5 Goals should be [1.29] for tonight's game. At Mapei Stadium, a remarkable 16/17 of Sassuolo's Serie A matches have gone that way, with just over half (9/17) reaching Over 3.5 Goals.

Davide Nicola's visitors have not been slacking either. Fifteen of their 18 previous road trips have produced Over 2.5 Goals, with exactly 50% getting to Over 3.5 Goals. With all of this in mind - and with both teams in good scoring and conceding form - an odds-against price about Over 3.0 in the Goal Lines market is too good to ignore. If the game produces at least four goals, the bet's a winner, but you also get the insurance policy of your stake returned if it only gets to three goals.

2020 P/L (1pt per bet)

Staked: 95pts
Returned: 89.88pts
P/L: -5.12pts

Tobias Gourlay,

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