Perfomance Index

European Football Tips: With Spurs and Liverpool closing in, United need three points

  • Published on
Will Jose have more success at the Etihad?
Will Jose have success at the Etihad?

Recommended Bet: Back Manchester City to win above a fair value of 8-5

Every weekend Walter Toner scours the major football leagues looking for value bets using his Performance Index algorithm. Here is his compilation of this weekend's most compelling value wagers...

Argentina Primera-Division
Boca Juniors v Defensa Y Justicia
Saturday, April 07, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.855/6 Draw 3.259/4 Away 4.131/10
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.454/9 Draw 4.67/2 Away 10.519/2

Recommended Bet: Back Boca Juniors above fair value


England Premier-League
Manchester City v Manchester United
Saturday, April 07, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.910/11 Draw 3.4549/20 Away 3.6553/20
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.564/7 Draw 4.57/2 Away 7.413/2

Recommended Bet: Back Manchester City above fair value


England Championship
Leeds v Sunderland
Saturday, April 07, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.9520/21 Draw 3.259/4 Away 3.6553/20
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.68/13 Draw 4.216/5 Away 7.206/1

Recommended Bet: Back Leeds above fair value


England League-One
Rotherham v Fleetwood Town
Saturday, April 07, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.75/7 Draw 3.55/2 Away 4.67/2
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.3811/8 Draw 3.5551/20 Away 3.412/5

Recommended Bet: Back Fleetwood Town above fair value


Italy Serie A
Sampdoria v Genoa
Saturday, April 07, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.747/4 Draw 3.185/40 Away 2.56/4
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.748/11 Draw 3.711/4 Away 6.25/1

Recommended Bet: Back Sampdoria above fair value


Netherlands Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam v Venlo
Saturday, April 07, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.26/5 Draw 3.259/4 Away 3.185/40
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.259/4 Draw 3.505/2 Away 2.486/4

Recommended Bet: Back Venlo above fair value


Italy Serie-A
Crotone v Bologna
Sunday, April 08, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.245/4 Draw 3.052/1 Away 3.211/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 4.2016/5 Draw 3.4012/5 Away 2.166/5

Recommended Bet: Back Bologna above fair value


Netherlands Eredivisie
Heerenveen v Groningen
Sunday, April 08, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.654/6 Draw 43/1 Away 4.57/2
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.206/5 Draw 3.8014/5 Away 3.5551/20

Recommended Bet: Back Groningen above fair value


Follow Walter and the Performance Index for later games and other selections on Twitter - @PerfIndex

Cumulative P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 394 pts
Returned: 424.1 pts
Profit: 30.1 pts or 108% ROI

Current (2017-2018) P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 205 pts
Returned: 205.1 pts
Profit: 0.1 pts or 100% ROI

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Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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