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Performance Index: Monaco looks like easy money at Montpelier

Performance Index: Monaco looks like easy money at Montpelier

Published on 11 Jan 2018 at 16:13

Falcao has 15 goals in 16 Ligue 1 matches

Best Bet: Back Monaco above fair value of 1.635/8 (Currently trading at 2.111/10)

Walter Toner returns with his first column of 2018 and attempts to seek out some value bets including Monaco to beat Montpelier and Burnley to win on the road again...

Germany BundesligaVfb Stuttgart v Hertha Berlin
Saturday, January 13, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.111/10 Draw 3.211/5 Away 3.4549/20
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.052/1 Draw 3.412/5 Away 2.6413/8

Recommended Bet: Back Hertha Berlin above fair value

Germany BundesligaHannover v 1. Fsv Mainz 05
Saturday, January 13, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.1411/10 Draw 3.39/4 Away 3.259/4
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.784/5 Draw 3.929/10 Away 5.49/2

Recommended Bet: Back Hannover above fair value

Germany BundesligaFC Augsburg v Hamburger
Saturday, January 13, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.910/11 Draw 3.412/5 Away 3.929/10
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.684/6 Draw 3.953/1 Away 6.611/2

Recommended Bet: Back FC Augsburg above fair value

England Premier-LeagueCrystal Palace v Burnley
Saturday, January 13, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.9520/21 Draw 3.1511/5 Away 43/1
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.915/8 Draw 3.185/40 Away 3.02/1

Recommended Bet: Back Burnley above fair value

France Ligue-1Montpellier v Monaco
Saturday, January 13, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 3.3512/5 Draw 3.211/5 Away 2.111/10
Fair Value Odds - Home 5.95/1 Draw 4.67/2 Away 1.635/8

Recommended Bet: Back Monaco above fair value

Spain Primera-DivisionEibar v Atl. Madrid
Saturday, January 13, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 43/1 Draw 3.1511/5 Away 1.9520/21
Fair Value Odds - Home 6.611/2 Draw 3.6553/20 Away 1.738/11

Recommended Bet: Back Atl. Madrid above fair value

Spain Primera-DivisionLevante v Celta Vigo
Sunday, January 14, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 3.052/1 Draw 3.211/5 Away 2.245/4
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.68/5 Draw 3.55/2 Away 3.02/1

Recommended Bet: Back Levante above fair value

Spain Segunda-DivisionHuesca v Numancia
Sunday, January 14, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.9520/21 Draw 3.185/40 Away 3.929/10
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.784/5 Draw 3.711/4 Away 6.05/1

Recommended Bet: Back Huesca above fair value

*Follow Walter and the Performance Index for later games and other selections on Twitter - @PerfIndex

Cumulative P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 291 pts
Returned: 309.4 pts
Profit: 18.1 pts or 106% ROI

Current (2017-2018) P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 102 pts
Returned: 89.7 pts
Profit: (12.3) pts or 88% ROI

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Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.