Perfomance Index

European Football Tips: Boca should handily dispatch struggling Arsenal

  • Published on
An important relegation battle for the Islanders
Boca has celebrated a lot outscoring opponents 37-12 this season

Recommended Bet: Back Boca Juniors to win above fair value of 2.15 (available currently at 2.56/4)

Every weekend Walter Toner scours the major football leagues looking for value bets using his Performance Index algorithm. Here is his compilation of this weekend's most compelling value wagers...


England League-One
Plymouth v Southend
Friday, March 30, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.447/5 Draw 3.052/1 Away 2.89/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.26/5 Draw 3.55/2 Away 3.8514/5

Recommended Bet: Back Plymouth above fair value


Portugal Portuguese-Liga
Rio Ave v Estoril
Friday, March 30, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.84/5 Draw 3.4549/20 Away 4.131/10
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.511/2 Draw 4.47/2 Away 9.28/1

Recommended Bet: Back Rio Ave above fair value


Austria Bundesliga
Admira v Lask Linz
Saturday, March 31, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 3.613/5 Draw 3.4549/20 Away 1.9520/21
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.747/4 Draw 3.613/5 Away 2.89/5

Recommended Bet: Back Admira above fair value


Germany 2-Bundesliga
Heidenheim v Ingolstadt
Saturday, March 31, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 3.39/4 Draw 3.39/4 Away 2.111/10
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.6613/8 Draw 3.55/2 Away 32/1

Recommended Bet: Back Heidenheim above fair value


Italy Serie A
Chievo v Sampdoria
Saturday, March 31, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.245/4 Draw 3.211/5 Away 3.185/40
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.5551/20 Draw 3.5551/20 Away 2.35/4

Recommended Bet: Back Sampdoria above fair value


Scotland Premiership
Kilmarnock v Hamilton
Saturday, March 31, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.654/6 Draw 3.55/2 Away 54/1
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.9420/21 Draw 3.6553/20 Away 4.84/1

Recommended Bet: Back Hamilton above fair value


Argentina Primera-Division
Boca Juniors v Arsenal Sarandi
Sunday, April 01, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.47/5 Draw 2.915/8 Away 32/1
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.1211/10 Draw 3.259/4 Away 4.67/2

Recommended Bet: Back Boca Juniors above fair value


Netherlands Eredivisie
Heracles v Heerenveen
Sunday, April 01, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.915/8 Draw 3.4549/20 Away 2.26/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.3811/8 Draw 3.814/5 Away 3.1511/5

Recommended Bet: Back Heracles above fair value /strong>


Follow Walter and the Performance Index for later games and other selections on Twitter - @PerfIndex


Cumulative P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 386 pts
Returned: 417.9 pts
Profit: 31.9 pts or 108% ROI

Current (2017-2018) P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 197 pts
Returned: 198.9 pts
Profit: 1.9 pts or 101% ROI

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Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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